Evelyn Reynolds

Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac know increasing floods and wildfires are a problem. Dealing with them, however, would require trade-offs.As sea levels rise and natural disasters become more intense, homes in low-lying coastal areas or tinder-dry mountains are starting to lose value.That’s a problem for the finances of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, the government-sponsored enterprises that back half of the nation’s outstanding mortgages — and keep the residential real estate market liquid by buying mortgages from banks and repackaging them into securities.In the first year of the Biden administration, financial regulators seemed to recognize the risk, identifying the mortgage market as one of the main channels through which climate change could destabilize the financial system.Since then, reports have been published, comments gathered and summits held. But when it comes to insulating the two enterprises and borrowers from climate-related catastrophe, the Federal Housing Finance Agency — which regulates Fannie and Freddie — has issued only vague guidance.“It came out and I thought, where’s the rest of it?” said Carlos Martín, director of the Remodeling Futures Program at the Harvard Joint Center for Housing Studies.The issue comes with risk for taxpayers as well, since the federal government took Fannie and Freddie into conservatorship in 2008 after the financial crisis. Fannie and Freddie have reserve capital buffers, but large losses could force the government to intervene.We are having trouble retrieving the article content.Please enable JavaScript in your browser settings.Thank you for your patience while we verify access. If you are in Reader mode please exit and log into your Times account, or subscribe for all of The Times.Thank you for your patience while we verify access.Already a subscriber? Log in.Want all of The Times? Subscribe. More

About a third of the way through “Farewell, Amethystine,” the latest novel in the author Walter Mosley’s series about a private investigator named Ezekiel (Easy) Rawlins, Easy sets out for a late-night meeting with a gun and a hunch.The book is on a narrative precipice in which our gumshoe has knocked on enough doors and been told enough lies that both he and the reader understand that the simple missing-person case presented in Chapter 2 is about to become violent.But before it goes down, Easy pauses the action to make a weird declaration: He doesn’t need this job. He makes more than enough money renting real estate.Easy is a Black World War II veteran who fled the Jim Crow South for a better life in Los Angeles. In “Devil in a Blue Dress,” the 1990 classic that started both the series and Mosley’s career, Easy takes his first case so he can pay his mortgage and uses a windfall to add a rental property. The ups and downs of real estate continue as a recurring theme and story engine, especially in the early books, where the remedy for some tax lien or underwater mortgage is often to solve whatever mystery is driving the plot.Now, two decades of buying and holding later, Easy is flush. As he explains in “Farewell, Amethystine,” his 12 buildings have a total of 101 rental units that a friend manages for a 0.8 percent fee. Subtract that commission along with mortgage payments and general upkeep, and his take-home is $26,000 a year in 1970 (the year the novel takes place), which, adjusted for inflation, would be about $217,000 today.“I wasn’t rich,” Easy says. “But I sure didn’t need to be going out among the hammerhands and scalawags in the middle of the night.”We are having trouble retrieving the article content.Please enable JavaScript in your browser settings.Thank you for your patience while we verify access. If you are in Reader mode please exit and log into your Times account, or subscribe for all of The Times.Thank you for your patience while we verify access.Already a subscriber? Log in.Want all of The Times? Subscribe. More

While the overall jobless rate inched higher to 4.2%, the figure jumped sharply among Black women and rose to 6% in November.
Though the data reflects a labor market that is still strong and gradually cooling, signs are showing that marginalized workers are not benefiting as much, according to the Washington Center for Equitable Growth’s Kevin Rinz.
The overall labor force participation rate edged lower to 62.5%.

Job seekers talk to a recruiter at the Albany Job Fair in Latham, New York, on Oct. 2, 2024.
Angus Mordant | Bloomberg | Getty Images

The unemployment rate climbed sharply for Black women in November.
The overall jobless rate edged up slightly last month to 4.2% from 4.1% in October, according to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics on Friday. But some groups experienced more significant rises in unemployment relative to others.

Black women experienced the most significant increase, with the jobless rate surging to 6% from 4.9%. In comparison, the jobless rate for white women ticked up slightly to 3.4%, compared to 3.3% in October.

“The increase for Black women has been more pronounced than for white women,” said Kevin Rinz, senior fellow and research advisor at the Washington Center for Equitable Growth.
Black workers as a group also saw the highest unemployment rate last month, which jumped to 6.4% from 5.7%. For Black men, the jobless rate hit 6%, but it held steady at 3.5% for white men.

“This a broader picture of a gradually cooling labor market that is still relatively strong by recent historical standards, but less able to deliver the gains for more marginalized workers that we saw immediately after the pandemic,” Rinz added, while highlighting the volatility in month-to-month data.
The overall labor force participation rate — a measure of the population employed or seeking work — edged lower to 62.5%. For Black women, the figure slipped to 62.3% in November, compared with 62.6% in the prior month. The rate dipped to 68.7% last month, down from 69.3% among Black men.
Other demographic groups that also experienced a rise in unemployment last month include Hispanic men. The unemployment rate climbed to 4.4% in November, up from 4% in October.

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Hiring bounced back after disruptions from storms and a major strike.Job creation bounced back in November after disruptions from storms and a major strike, reinforcing a picture of modest employment expansion over the past several months.The U.S. economy added 227,000 jobs, seasonally adjusted, the Labor Department reported on Friday. With upward revisions to September and October figures, the three-month average gain is 173,000, slightly higher than the average over the six months before that.The unemployment rate ticked up to 4.2 percent, from 4.1 percent in October, as fewer people were able to find work. But for those who had jobs, wages jumped more than expected and were 4 percent higher than they were a year earlier.Unemployment rate More

Jobs rebounded in November, with nonfarm payrolls increasing more than expected.
Employment growth came from many different areas of the economy, with health care and social assistance leading the way.
The gains come after October’s employment performance across industries showed a mixed bag for the U.S. economy.

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The jobs report for November came in better than expected, and that growth came from several different areas of the U.S. economy, according to the data.
Health care and social assistance led the way yet again last month, seeing 72,300 new positions added in that area, per the Bureau of Labor Statistics. This comes after the group had the biggest contribution in October.

When including private education with the health-care category, as some economists do, the group’s growth would have increased even more to 79,000.

Leisure and hospitality had the second-biggest contribution last month, with 53,000 positions added. That also marks significant growth compared to its performance in October. The November gains were supported by employment in food services and drinking places, which trended up by 29,000.
Meanwhile, government, a category that had the second-biggest contribution two months ago, came in just behind leisure and hospitality last month. In November, the group grew by 33,000 jobs.
More notably, there was a stark rebound in manufacturing and professional and business services, two areas that suffered major losses in October as a result of the seven-week Boeing machinist strike and the effects of Hurricanes Helene and Milton. Last month, those categories saw gains of 22,000 jobs and 26,000 jobs, respectively.
“After a prior month of hurricanes and worker strikes, we did get a bounce back in the headline payroll numbers plus positive revisions,” Byron Anderson, head of fixed income at Laffer Tengler Investments, said in a statement. “Jobs creation may not be as robust as in the past years, but we are not seeing a disaster in the job market.”

While there were some gains in other areas as well such as construction, Julia Pollak of ZipRecruiter noted that the gains are “very narrowly” concentrated and told CNBC that the growth in manufacturing is actually smaller than she expected to see.
Retail trade, which lost 28,000 jobs, was also a key weak spot of the report. Unless there is a turnaround in other sectors soon, Pollak believes the pace of overall job growth will “slow further.”
“Some people are calling this a bounceback, [but] I think one should not be misled by the seemingly healthy payroll gain,” the firm’s chief economist said in an interview. “We always knew going in that this report would overstate the underlying strength of the labor market [and] be inflated by the return of workers following strikes and storms.”
On the other hand, Pollak pointed to financial activities as one bright spot. That group experienced a gain of 17,000 jobs in November.
“Banks are getting … sort of bullish and excited about a Trump administration, which is seen as likely to relax financial regulations and take a more favorable approach towards mergers and acquisitions,” she added. “So, that is definitely one sector where we’re seeing more optimism and a bit more hiring in some places.”

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Nonfarm payrolls rose by 227,000 for the month, compared with an upwardly revised 36,000 in October and the Dow Jones consensus estimate for 214,000.
The unemployment rate edged higher to 4.2%, as expected.
Traders accelerated their bets on an interest rate cut this month following the payrolls release.
Job gains were focused in health care (54,000), leisure and hospitality (53,000), and government (33,000).

Job creation in November rebounded from a near-standstill the prior month as the effects of a significant labor strike and violent storms in the Southeast receded, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Friday.
Nonfarm payrolls increased by 227,000 for the month, compared with an upwardly revised 36,000 in October and the Dow Jones consensus estimate for 214,000. September’s payroll count also was revised upward, to 255,000, up 32,000 from the prior estimate. October’s number was held back by impacts from Hurricane Milton and the Boeing strike.

The unemployment rate edged higher to 4.2%, as expected. The jobless figure rose as the labor force participation rate nudged lower and the labor force itself declined. A broader measure that includes discouraged workers and those holding part-time jobs for economic reasons moved slightly higher to 7.8%.
The data likely gives the Federal Reserve a green light to lower interest rates later this month.
“The economy continues to produce a healthy amount of job and income gains, but a further increase in the unemployment rate tempers some of the shine in the labor market and gives the Fed what it needs to cut rates in December,” said Ellen Zentner, chief economic strategist at Morgan Stanley Wealth Management.
Job gains were focused in health care (54,000), leisure and hospitality (53,000), and government (33,000), sectors that have consistently led payroll growth for the past few years. Social assistance added 19,000 to the total.

At the same time, retail trade saw a decline of 28,000 heading into the holiday season. With Thanksgiving coming later than usual this year, some stores may have held off hiring.

Worker pay continued to rise, with average hourly earnings up 0.4% from a month ago and 4% on a 12-month basis. Both numbers were 0.1 percentage point above expectations.

Stock market futures edged higher after the report while Treasury yields were lower.
The report comes with questions over the state of the labor market and how that will impact Federal Reserve decisions on interest rates.
Traders accelerated their bets on a rate cut following the payrolls release, with market-implied odds rising above 88% for a quarter percentage point reduction. when central bank policymakers make their next decision on Dec. 18.
“Data this morning was a Thanksgiving buffet with payrolls spot on, revisions positive, but unemployment ticking higher despite the participation rate falling,” said Lindsay Rosner, head of multi-service investing at Goldman Sachs Asset Management. “This print doesn’t kill the holiday spirit and the Fed remains on track to deliver a cut in December.”
Earlier this week, Fed Chair Jerome Powell said the generally strong state of the economy affords him and his colleagues the ability to be patient when making interest rate decisions. Other officials have said they see additional interest rate cuts as being likely but subject to changes in the economic data.
While inflation is well off the boil from its 40-year high in mid-2022, recent months have shown prices drifting up. At the same time, the October jobs report and various other reports have pointed to a labor market that is still growing but slowing.
The survey of households, which is used to calculate the unemployment rate, painted a different picture as the establishment survey that provides the headline payrolls count.
According to the BLS, household employment fell by 355,000 on the month even as the labor force contracted by 193,000. The labor force participation rate, which measures the share of the working-age population either at work or looking for a job, declined to 62.5%, a decrease of 0.1 percentage point.
Full-time job holders decreased by 111,000 while part-time workers were off by 268,000.
The unemployment rate for Black workers jumped to 6.4%, an increase of 0.7 percentage point.

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The unemployment rate, at 4.1 percent in October, remains low by historical standards. But under the surface, there are signs that it can be difficult to land a job.The share of unemployed workers finding jobs has been falling, and the average duration of unemployment has been rising — two indications of mounting strain for job seekers.The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported a steep drop in the job-finding rate in October, extending previous months’ declines. That points to a potentially challenging dynamic: Layoffs remain relatively low, but people who lose their jobs could be struggling to find new ones.The average number of weeks of unemployment also hit a two-and-a-half-year high in October, at 22.9 weeks, up from another recent high of 22.6 weeks in September. In the past few months, more people have been falling into the category of long-term unemployment, typically defined as being out of work for more than six months.A recent downturn in open roles could have been contributing to the strain on job seekers, keeping many unemployed for longer. Available positions in September tumbled to 7.4 million, resembling prepandemic levels.Job openings did tick up in October, surpassing expectations, according to data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics released this week. And in a survey conducted last month by the Conference Board, roughly 15 percent of consumers said jobs were hard to get, down from the almost 18 percent who said the same in October, hinting at easing conditions. More

From Facebook political debates to college classrooms, the St. Louis Fed’s data tool has gained a major following.Fans post about him on social media. Swag bearing his name sells out on the regular. College professors dedicate class sessions and textbook sections to him. Foreign government officials have been known to express jealousy over his skills, and one prominent economist refers to him as a “national treasure.”Meet FRED, a 33-year-old data tool from St. Louis, Mo., and the economics world’s most unlikely celebrity.Even if you have not interacted with FRED yourself, there is a good chance you’ve encountered him without knowing it. The tool’s signature baby blue graphs dot social media and crop up on many of the world’s most popular news websites. (Paul Krugman, an opinion writer for The New York Times, has referred to FRED as “my friend.”)Many people feel that way about FRED. The website had nearly 15 million users last year, and it is on track for even more in 2024, up from fewer than 400,000 as recently as 2009. Their reasons for clicking are diverse: FRED users are coming for freshly released unemployment data, to check in on egg inflation or to find out whether business is booming in Memphis.The Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis building.Kate Munsch for The New York TimesThat appeal crosses political lines. Larry Kudlow, who directed the National Economic Council during the first Trump administration, has tweeted and retweeted FRED charts. Groups as disparate as the spending-focused Alaskans for a Sustainable Budget and the pro-worker advocacy organization Employ America have used its charts to back up their arguments. It is even occasionally used by professional and White House economists, who tend to have access to sophisticated data tools, for quick charts.We are having trouble retrieving the article content.Please enable JavaScript in your browser settings.Thank you for your patience while we verify access. If you are in Reader mode please exit and log into your Times account, or subscribe for all of The Times.Thank you for your patience while we verify access.Already a subscriber? Log in.Want all of The Times? Subscribe. More