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    Walmart says prices are coming down — except in one key area

    Walmart said inflation was flat in its latest quarter, and revenue growth came from selling more items and drawing more visits to its stores and website, rather than higher prices.
    Yet prices have remained high in some parts of the store, such as dry groceries and processed foods.
    Prices at consumer brands, including Walmart, have faced more scrutiny from both consumers and politicians.

    A customer pushes her shopping cart through the aisles at a Walmart store in the Porter Ranch section of Los Angeles.
    Kevork Djansezian | Reuters

    Prices of many groceries and other items have fallen at Walmart, according to CEO Doug McMillon.
    Yet the leader of the nation’s largest retailer said Thursday that inflation “has been more stubborn” in one particular part of the store: The aisles that carry dry groceries and processed foods. Those include items like carbonated soft drinks.

    On a call after the discounter posted second-quarter earnings, he said Walmart has pressured suppliers that stock its shelves to cut prices. But he called on those companies to do more.
    “We have less upward pressure, but there are some that are still talking about cost increases, and we’re fighting back on that aggressively because we think prices need to come down,” he said.
    Walmart’s overall inflation was flat for the quarter, and revenue growth came from selling more units, not charging higher prices, Chief Financial Officer John David Rainey told CNBC. But price dynamics weren’t consistent across products: prices continued to go up for dairy, eggs, sugar and meat, and leveled off or dropped for items including pet food, apples, potatoes, strawberries, sporting goods and lawn and garden items.
    Walmart’s quarterly results sparked a rally of other retail stocks, including Target, Best Buy and Macy’s on Thursday. Both the big-box discounter’s results and better-than-expected retail sales numbers defied concerns of a consumer slowdown.
    Walmart beat on the top and bottom line and raised its forecast to reflect a stronger first half of the year. Rainey told CNBC consumers have continued to be “choiceful, discerning [and] value-seeking,” but the company’s leaders “don’t see any additional fraying of consumer health.”

    All consumer brands, including Walmart, have been under more scrutiny from shoppers and even politicians as frustration with pricier goods persists — and McMillon’s comments about Walmart’s suppliers underscore how much pressure grocers have faced. Walmart drew criticism on TikTok for rolling out electronic price labels for store shelves, with some users contending the company will use the technology to hike prices when demand spikes. (Walmart, for its part, has said it has no plans to change its approach to pricing and added the new price tags to save store workers’ time.)
    Many brands have taken pains to emphasize value or roll out new deals, particularly as consumers get more selective about where they spend their dollars.
    McDonald’s, for example, launched a $5 value meal in late June and decided to extend the offer in most markets. Target in late May said it would cut prices on about 5,000 frequently shopped items throughout the summer, such as peanut butter, milk and meat.
    Walmart is also touting discounts. The retailer said it had 7,200 “rollbacks,” its term for short-term deals, across categories in the quarter that ended July 31. That number included a 35% year-over-year increase in the number of rollbacks for food.
    While Walmart’s profits are growing faster than sales, McMillon said that’s because of growth outside of retail in higher-margin businesses like advertising — not higher prices on goods.
    “We’re not raising prices. We’re lowering prices,” McMillon said. “We don’t want product margins to go up. When we talk about margin improvement in our company, it’s business mix.” More

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    TikTok and fast-food rivalry fuel Chili’s sales as parent Brinker says turnaround is taking hold

    Chili’s reported same-store sales growth of 14.8% in its latest quarter, fueled by the popularity of its Triple Dipper and its $10.99 Big Smasher meal.
    Brinker International has been trying to turn around the chain for the last two years, and its results this quarter showed the efforts are bearing fruit, CEO Kevin Hochman said.
    But Brinker disappointed investors with its outlook as the company waits to see if the economy worsens.

    Chili’s Grill & Bar and restaurant entrance in Orlando, FL.
    Jeff Greenberg | Universal Images Group | Getty Images

    An ad campaign targeting fast-food chains and a TikTok-viral appetizer helped Chili’s same-store sales climb nearly 15% in its latest quarter.
    But Kevin Hochman, CEO of parent company Brinker International, told CNBC that the chain’s strong performance is just a sign that customers are finally catching onto the chain’s two-year turnaround.

    Shares of Brinker have climbed 53% this year, bringing its market value up to $2.99 billion. However, the stock closed 10.7% lower Wednesday after the company disappointed analysts with weaker-than-expected earnings and a conservative outlook for its fiscal 2025.
    Shares were up 7% in afternoon trading on Thursday, rebounding from what BMO Capital Markets called an “overreaction” from investors. KeyBanc Capital Markets also upgraded the stock on Thursday, saying that its quarterly results were misunderstood.
    Forecast aside, Chili’s made even StreetAccount’s same-store sales estimates of 8.6% growth look cautious. Its 14.8% same-store sales growth puts it in rare company, joining Chipotle and Wingstop as the few public restaurants reporting strong traffic and same-store sales growth at a time when many consumers are pulling back their spending, putting pressure on the industry. Chili’s casual-dining rivals like Applebee’s, owned by Dine Brands, and Bloomin’ Brands’ Outback Steakhouse, reported same-store sales declines for their latest quarters.
    “This is just a whole ‘nother step change in the business,” Hochman said. “I think sky’s the limit for this brand.”
    About 60% of Chili’s growth in its latest quarter came from its $10.99 Big Smasher meal, according to Hochman. The chain promoted the deal by taking aim at fast-food rivals in TV ads.

    “We had tapped into this insight that we were seeing in social media months prior, that customers were upset about where fast-food prices were going,” Hochman said. “The advertising clearly touched a nerve on that.”
    Another successful menu item for Chili’s this quarter was its Triple Dipper, which lets diners select three appetizers and dips. The item went viral on TikTok in May. Hochman estimates that the Triple Dipper accounted for about 40% of the chain’s sales growth.
    But the popularity of both the Triple Dipper and the Big Smasher created new problems for Chili’s. Its restaurants have to be prepared to serve the influx of customers, many of whom were trying Chili’s for the first time or returning after a long time away. Hochman said Chili’s has been investing in labor for the last two years — from hiring bussers to adding more cooks — but those steps pressured its bottom line this quarter.
    Chili’s turnaround has touched more than just its workforce, according to Hochman.
    Under his leadership, the company has spent the last two years trying to grow sales profitably. Chili’s has culled its menu, shedding about 22% of items.
    Brinker has also ended some less profitable strategies to attract customers. Chili’s doesn’t offer as many coupons as it once did, and Brinker pulled the plug on its Maggiano’s Italian Classics virtual brand.
    At the same time, Chili’s also leaned into value ahead of the competition, who are now rolling out their own deals. But Hochman is confident that Chili’s can hold onto its lead — and the new customers that TikTok and TV ads have brought.
    “We’ve been advertising our value for almost 18 months, and a lot of folks are coming late to the game, and sometimes it’s more aggressive value, and they just don’t have the awareness that we have, because we’ve been at it a while,” he said.
    But as Brinker heads into a new fiscal year, holding onto its new customers could prove to be difficult. A plethora of restaurants, from McDonald’s to Outback Steakhouse, have unveiled value meals meant to appeal to diners seeking discounts. And customers could keep cutting back their restaurant visits to save money. Prices for food away from home, which have risen 4.1% over the last 12 months, have stayed relatively sticky.
    For Brinker’s fiscal 2025, which kicked off in July, the company is anticipating earnings per share of $4.35 to $4.75 and revenue growth of 3% to 4.6%. Investors were expecting a stronger outlook for growth, given Chili’s recent success. But Brinker is playing it safe in case the economy worsens.
    “It’s important for our team to set goals that we think are achievable,” Hochman said.
    “[The economy] certainly has taken a turn for the worse in the past three to four months,” he added. More

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    NBCUniversal is pinning Peacock’s streaming success on its $2.45 billion per year NBA deal

    NBCUniversal signed a $2.45 billion per year deal with the NBA to broadcast games for 11 years, beginning with the 2025-26 season.
    Research showed that people who signed up for NBC’s Peacock streaming service for January’s NFL Wild Card game not only stayed but also watched non-sports content, helping to convince NBC Sports to bid aggressively for the NBA.
    Bank of America estimates the NBA deal will be quickly be profitable for NBCUniversal.

    The NBA logo is seen outside an NBA fan store in New York on July 8, 2024. 
    Angela Weiss | AFP | Getty Images

    Executives at Comcast’s NBC Sports targeted the NBA’s media rights renewal on their calendars for years. They wanted the NBA back after losing the games to Disney in 2002. But it wasn’t until this January that NBC Sports President Rick Cordella became confident the company could go big on a bid.
    On Jan. 13, NBCUniversal’s subscription streaming service Peacock showed its first-ever exclusive NFL playoff game — a 26-7 victory by the eventual Super Bowl-winning Kansas City Chiefs over the Miami Dolphins. There was little doubt the game would be popular. It reached 27.6 million total viewers, according to Nielsen, the biggest live-streamed event in U.S. history.

    What happened after the game made NBCUniversal comfortable with shelling out a whopping $2.45 billion per year to distribute NBA games starting in the 2025 season — a bet on making Peacock profitable as the pay-TV model erodes.
    Research firm Antenna estimates Peacock added 3 million new subscribers from getting the rights to that one NFL game, which cost $110 million. More than 70% of those subscribers stayed with Peacock about two months later, Antenna said in March.
    That gave Cordella confidence NBA fans would stick with Peacock even after the season concluded. But it wasn’t just the lack of churn that convinced him of the value of popular sports. It was what those new subscribers watched once they signed up.
    NBC Sports executives assumed the millions of new Peacock subscribers might engage with other live sports on the service, which include the NFL’s “Sunday Night Football,” golf, Premier League, WWE, and IndyCar. What they didn’t expect was how much subscribers watched the platform’s non-sports entertainment, such as movies and episodes of “The Office,” “30 Rock” and “Parks and Recreation.”

    Patrick Mahomes #15 of the Kansas City Chiefs
    Jamie Squire | Getty Images Sport | Getty Images

    “Our highest video-on-demand usage was the week after the Wild Card game,” Cordella said in an interview. “Churn rates among those new subscribers have been lower than the average. Sports fans are not monolithic. You’re getting a whole household to watch other entertainment around what NBCU has.”

    Media executives broadly understand the traditional pay-TV ecosystem will continue to shrink in the coming decade, and their companies will need to rely on streaming to survive and flourish. For NBCUniversal, obtaining NBA rights helps guarantee sustainability in a fight for eyeballs against streaming behemoths such as Netflix, Amazon Prime Video and Disney+.
    Sports fans may subscribe to a streaming service to watch a particular game, but evidence suggests they’ll stick around and watch other content once they’ve made the commitment to spending money.
    “We know based on Paramount+, having multiple genres of content on the same platform is very beneficial,” said David Berson, the head of CBS Sports, in an interview. “We know that when a fan comes in to Paramount+ for sports, they spend 90% of their time in the service on entertainment programing, on non-sports content.”

    Staying power

    The streaming wars have increasingly become a fight for engagement. Companies invest in algorithms and user interface technology to keep viewers tied to their particular service. With the future of Paramount+ hazy as Paramount Global looks to merge with Skydance Media, and with Warner Bros. Discovery actively looking for mergers or partnerships, Comcast wants Peacock to have staying power for years — and even decades — to come.
    That’s why it was so important for NBCUniversal to have games that consumers can only see on Peacock. Beginning with the 2025-26 season, Peacock will have about 50 exclusive national regular-season and postseason NBA games, including national Monday night games and doubleheaders. 
    “The NBA is a must-have for the sports fan,” Cordella said. “We need to build Peacock for the future. Having exclusive NBA games is really important for that mission.”
    Peacock, which is thus far a U.S.-only service, has 33 million subscribers — far fewer than platforms with international reach such as Netflix (about 278 million) or even Paramount+ (68 million). While Netflix has been profitable for years and Disney’s collection of streaming services turned a profit for the first time last quarter, Peacock remains unprofitable, losing $348 million in the second quarter and $639 million in the first quarter.
    That makes spending $2.45 billion per year a major risk. Cordella hopes a steady stream of live sports content will help make the service an essential for sports fans no matter the season. The NBA, including the playoffs, runs from October to June.

    Making the math work

    Comcast has a number of levers to pull to make its investment profitable — a feat Bank of America analyst Jessica Reif Ehrlich acknowledged was plausible.
    “We see a path to profitability for Comcast under the new agreement,” Ehrlich wrote in a note to clients earlier this month.
    While consistent Peacock subscriber growth will help, NBCUniversal will also rely on the NBA to help drive higher retransmission fees for NBC among pay TV operators and generate higher advertising revenue.
    The NBA can also help market other NBC ventures, including TV series, movies and theme parks — though the league’s viewership pales in comparison to the NFL. This was one of the reasons Warner Bros. Discovery decided not to compete with NBCUniversal for NBA rights once the price tag ballooned past $2 billion per year. While “Sunday Night Football” averaged 21.4 million viewers per game last year across NBC and Peacock, NBA regular reason games averaged 1.6 million viewers last season across TNT, ABC and ESPN. 
    Ehrlich noted that Comcast cable may also benefit from the NBA by driving broadband usage by shifting more people to Peacock. Comcast may also be able to save on future affiliate fee payments to Warner Bros. Discovery if the rival media company loses its NBA media rights.
    There are other competitive advantages NBC gains by taking away the package of games from Warner Bros. Discovery, which is suing the NBA in an attempt to hold on to some live rights. NBCUniversal can use the NBA as a show of strength, relative to other media companies, when it next negotiates with other sports leagues selling rights or even with Hollywood creators looking for the best streaming service for their next project.
    Even without factoring in potential cost savings from lowering Warner Bros. Discovery affiliate payments, Ehrlich anticipates the NBA deal will be profitable for Comcast by its second year. She estimates the company will see $192 million in incremental Peacock revenue attributed to new subscribers in the deal’s first year, increasing to $420 million by year four. She models $850 million in additional year one advertising revenue for NBC from the NBA and $160 million for Peacock’s advertising tiers.
    Disclosure: Comcast’s NBCUniversal is the parent company of CNBC.
    WATCH: NBA commissioner Adam Silver on the league’s new $77 billion media rights deal More

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    Biden administration releases prices of 10 drugs in Medicare negotiations, says U.S. will save $6 billion in first year

    The Biden administration released prices for the first 10 prescription drugs that were subject to landmark negotiations with Medicare.
    The government estimates that the new prices could produce $6 billion in net savings for Medicare in 2026 alone, based on data from 2023.
    It is a milestone in a controversial process that aims to make costly medications more affordable for older Americans, a policy the pharmaceutical industry has opposed.
    It comes one day before the second anniversary of President Joe Biden’s signature Inflation Reduction Act.

    Activists protest the price of prescription drug costs in front of the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services building in Washington, D.C., on Oct. 6, 2022.
    Anna Moneymaker | Getty Images

    The Biden administration on Thursday released prices for the first 10 prescription drugs that were subject to landmark negotiations between drugmakers and Medicare, a milestone in a controversial process that aims to make costly medications more affordable for older Americans. 
    The government estimates that the new negotiated prices for the medications will lead to around $6 billion in net savings for the Medicare program in 2026 alone when they officially go into effect, or 22% net savings overall. That is based on the estimated savings the prices would have produced if they were in effect in 2023, senior administration officials told reporters on Wednesday.

    The Biden administration also expects the new prices to save Medicare enrollees $1.5 billion in out-of-pocket costs in 2026 alone.
    “For so many people, being able to afford these drugs will mean the difference between debilitating illness and living full lives,” Chiquita Brooks-LaSure, the administrator for the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services, told reporters. “These negotiated prices. They’re not just about costs. They are about helping to make sure that your father, your grandfather or you can live longer, healthier.”
    It comes one day before the second anniversary of President Joe Biden’s signature Inflation Reduction Act, which gave Medicare the power to directly hash out drug prices with manufacturers for the first time in the federal program’s nearly 60-year history.
    Here are the negotiated prices for a 30-day supply of the 10 drugs, along with their list prices based on 2023 prescription fills, according to a Biden administration fact sheet Thursday.
    What Medicare and beneficiaries pay for a drug is often much less than the list price, which is the what a wholesaler, distributor or other direct purchaser paid a manufacturer for a medication before any discounts.

    Eliquis, made by Bristol Myers Squibb – $231.00 negotiated price, $521 list price
    Jardiance, made by Boehringer Ingelheim and Eli Lilly – $197.00 negotiated price, $573.00 list price
    Xarelto, made by Johnson & Johnson – $197.00 negotiated price, $517.00 list price
    Januvia, made by Merck – $113.00 negotiated price, $527.00 list price
    Farxiga, made by AstraZeneca – $178.50 negotiated price, $556.00 list price
    Entresto, made by Novartis – $295.00 negotiated price, $628.00 list price
    Enbrel, made by Amgen – $2,355.00 negotiated price, $7,106.00 list price
    Imbruvica, made by AbbVie and J&J – $9,319.00 negotiated price, $14,934.00 list price
    Stelara, made by J&J – $4,695.00 negotiated price, $13,836.00 list price
    Fiasp and NovoLog, made by Novo Nordisk – $119.00 negotiated price, $495.00 list price

    Notably, it is difficult to compare the new negotiated price of a drug with its current list price. That’s because most of the 10 medications are already subject to significant rebates after private negotiations with Medicare Part D plans.
    But the heavily rebated net price that Part D plans pay for a given drug is unknown since those talks are confidential, according to Leigh Purvis, a prescription drug policy principal with AARP Public Policy Institute. AARP, the influential lobby group that represents people older than 50, has advocated for Medicare’s new negotiation powers.
    “So that’s I think what people are going to be trying to get to – are these negotiated prices lower than the net prices that Medicare Part D were already paying?” Purvis told CNBC. “And so that’s the comparison that people are looking for. Now, recognizing that rebates are confidential, it’s going to be a tough ask.”
    A senior administration official confirmed that a direct comparison between the negotiated prices and net prices paid by Medicare is “commercially confidential information.”
    The administration unveiled the first set of medications selected for the price talks in August 2023, kicking off a nearly year-long negotiation period that ended at the beginning of the month.
    The final prices give drugmakers, which fiercely oppose the policy, a glimpse of how much revenue they could expect to lose over the next few years. It also sets a precedent for the additional rounds of Medicare drug price negotiations, which will kick off in 2025 and beyond. 

    First 10 drugs subject to Medicare price negotiations

    Eliquis, made by Bristol Myers Squibb, is used to prevent blood clotting to reduce the risk of stroke. 
    Jardiance, made by Boehringer Ingelheim and Eli Lilly, is used to lower blood sugar for people with Type 2 diabetes. 
    Xarelto, made by Johnson & Johnson, is used to prevent blood clotting, to reduce the risk of stroke.
    Januvia, made by Merck, is used to lower blood sugar for people with Type 2 diabetes.
    Farxiga, made by AstraZeneca, is used to treat Type 2 diabetes, heart failure and chronic kidney disease. 
    Entresto, made by Novartis, is used to treat certain types of heart failure.
    Enbrel, made by Amgen, is used to treat autoimmune diseases such as rheumatoid arthritis. 
    Imbruvica, made by AbbVie and J&J, is used to treat different types of blood cancers. 
    Stelara, made by Janssen, is used to treat autoimmune diseases such as Crohn’s disease.
    Fiasp and NovoLog, insulins made by Novo Nordisk.

    In a statement Thursday, President Joe Biden called the new negotiated prices a “historic milestone” made possible because of the Inflation Reduction Act. He specifically touted Vice President Kamala Harris’ tie-breaking vote for the law in the Senate in 2022.
    Harris, the Democratic presidential nominee, said in a statement that she was proud to cast that deciding vote, adding there is more work to be done to lower health-care costs for Americans.
    “Today’s announcement will be lifechanging for so many of our loved ones across the nation, and we are not stopping here,” Harris said in a statement Thursday, noting that additional prescription drugs will be selected for future rounds of negotiations.
    But Steve Ubl, the CEO of the pharmaceutical industry’s biggest lobbying group, PhRMA, said in a statement Thursday there are “no assurances patients will see lower out-of-pocket costs because the law did nothing to rein in abuses by insurance companies and [drug supply chain middlemen] who ultimately decide what medicines are covered and what patients pay at the pharmacy.”
    He added that the price talks could result in fewer treatments for cancer, mental health, rare diseases and other conditions because it “fundamentally alters” the incentives for drug development.
    The Biden administration released the so-called maximum fair price of each drug, the highest price that a Medicare Part D plan sponsor or beneficiary can pay for the treatment. Medicare Part D plans, which are administered by private insurers, cover prescription medications that older Americans fill at retail pharmacies.
    The lengthy negotiation process involved months of back-and-forth price offers between companies and Medicare, which determined its initial offer for each medication using sales volume data, federal financial support for the drug’s development and data on pending or approved patent applications and exclusivities, among other information.

    President Joe Biden signs the Inflation Reduction Act of 2022 at the White House on Aug. 16, 2022.
    Mandel Ngan | Afp | Getty Images

    The negotiations are the centerpiece of the Biden administration’s efforts to rein in the rising cost of medications in the U.S. Some congressional Democrats and consumer advocates have long pushed for the change, as many seniors around the country struggle to afford care.
    The price talks are expected to save money for people enrolled in Medicare, who take an average of four to five prescription drugs a month. Almost 10% of Medicare enrollees ages 65 and older, and 20% of those under 65, report challenges in affording drugs, a senior administration official told reporters last year. 
    But the pharmaceutical industry views the process as a threat to its revenue growth, profits and drug innovation. Several drugmakers and trade groups filed lawsuits last year seeking to derail the negotiations and declare them unconstitutional. 
    Suits brought by Merck and Novartis against the price talks are awaiting decisions from district courts. Each case brings claims that overlap with suits from Novo Nordisk, AstraZeneca, Boehringer Ingelheim, Bristol Myers Squibb and J&J that have been rejected in recent months.

    Drugmaker reactions

    Drugmakers said they still strongly oppose what many of them called “government price setting” through the Inflation Reduction Act. 
    “The price setting provision of the Inflation Reduction Act does nothing to benefit patients and will only harm the scientific innovation that makes the development of life-changing treatments possible,” a spokesperson for AbbVie said in a statement Thursday.
    But the spokesperson said the price that was set for Imbruvica is within the range the company had expected. 
    A spokesperson for J&J similarly contended that U.S. patients will see higher costs, restricted access and fewer medicines as a result of the negotiations. 
    Bristol Myers Squibb is the only company so far to release specific information on the expected financial impact of the new negotiated prices. 
    In a release on its website, the company said it expects Eliquis revenue in 2026 to come in between $8.5 billion and 10.5 billion in the U.S., and between $10.5 billion to $12.5 billion worldwide. Bristol Myers anticipates Eliquis sales in 2027 will be between $8 billion and $10 billion in the U.S. and $8.5 billion to $11 billion worldwide. 
    In 2023, Eliquis booked $8.59 billion in revenue in the U.S. and $12.21 billion in sales worldwide, according to a company release.
    The company noted that Eliquis is slated to lose patent exclusivity and face competition from cheaper generic drugs in the U.S. starting on April 1, 2028. The blood thinner also faces patent expirations in certain EU markets in 2026.

    George Frey | Reuters

    A spokesperson for Novo Nordisk said that while its lawsuit against the price talks progresses, the company will make sure the new negotiated price is available to Medicare beneficiaries in 2026. The spokesperson also noted that rejecting the new prices would have resulted in steep penalties for the Danish drugmaker. 
    If a drugmaker declines to negotiate with Medicare, it must either pay an excise tax of up to 95% of its medication’s U.S. sales or pull all of its products from the Medicare and Medicaid markets.
    An AstraZeneca spokesperson similarly said “walking away is not an option.” The company accepted the negotiated price because it believes “that everyone who needs our medicines should have access to them.”
    The companies’ 10 drugs are among the top 50 with the highest spending for Medicare Part D.
    The 10 medicines accounted for $50.5 billion, or about 20%, of total Part D prescription drug costs from June 1, 2022, to May 31, 2023, according to CMS. In 2022, 9 million seniors spent $3.4 billion out of pocket on the 10 drugs, and some paid more than $6,000 per year for just one of the medications on the list, according to the Biden administration.
    The medications have been on the market for at least seven years without generic competitors, or 11 years in the case of biological products such as vaccines. 
    Medicare covers roughly 66 million people in the U.S., and 50.5 million patients are enrolled in Part D plans, according to 2023 data from health policy research organization KFF.

    What happens next?

    CMS has until March next year to publish an explanation for the negotiated prices for each drug. Those new prices will go into effect on Jan. 1, 2026. 
    By February 2025, the Biden administration will also unveil up to 15 more drugs that will be subject to the next round of price talks, with agreed-upon prices going into effect in 2027. Drugmakers will have until the end of that month to decide whether to participate in the program. 
    After that second round, CMS can negotiate prices for another 15 drugs that will go into effect in 2028. The number rises to 20 negotiated medications a year starting in 2029.
    “Sometimes I think people get caught up in the fact that their drug isn’t on the list, but it will be on the list at some point in the future if they’re taking a drug that’s resulting in high costs,” Purvis said. 
    CMS will only select Medicare Part D drugs for the medicines covered by the first two years of negotiations. It will add more specialized drugs covered by Medicare Part B, which are typically administered by doctors, in 2028. 
    Notably, Harris would likely try to expand the scope of negotiations if elected president, experts told CNBC. 
    Purvis emphasized that Medicare is “only going to get better at this process as it moves forward.”
    “We do expect billions of dollars in savings to taxpayers to start flowing as this negotiation program gets off the ground and Medicare gets better at the drug negotiation process,” she told CNBC.  More

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    Walmart beats estimates, raises outlook as it sees stable consumer health

    Walmart beat quarterly earnings and revenue expectations.
    The discounter raised its full-year outlook on strength in the first half of the year and said it has seen steady consumer health, but was more cautious about the second half.
    As the largest U.S. retailer, Walmart can give particularly strong insight into the health of consumers and the economy.

    Walmart raised its forecast for the year on Thursday, as quarterly revenue grew nearly 5%, the company’s stores and website drew more visits and sales outside the grocery department improved. 
    The discounter beat Wall Street’s expectations for sales and profits, and its shares climbed about 6% in premarket trading.

    Walmart said it now expects sales to rise by 3.75% to 4.75% for the full year, and adjusted earnings to come in between $2.35 and $2.43 per share. It previously said it expected to be on the high end or slightly above its initial full-year guidance, which called for net sales growth of 3% to 4% and adjusted earnings per share of between $2.23 and $2.37.
    While Walmart raised its outlook, its projected second half of the year may not be as strong as Wall Street anticipated. The retailer expects adjusted earnings of 51 to 52 cents per share in the third quarter, below analysts’ expectations of 54 cents. Analysts also expected adjusted earnings of $2.43 per share for the year — the highest point of Walmart’s guidance.
    In an interview with CNBC, Chief Financial Officer John David Rainey said the company’s brighter outlook reflects strength in the first half of the year. He said Walmart decided against raising expectations for the back half of the year, especially since the 2024 election, unrest in the Middle East and other dynamics may influence consumer sentiment.
    “In this environment, it’s responsible or prudent to be a little bit guarded with the outlook, but we’re not projecting a recession,” he said.
    He said Walmart has not noticed a shift in consumer behavior. He said every month of the quarter was “relatively consistent” and the back-to-school season “is off to a pretty good start.” 

    “We see, among our members and customers, that they remain choiceful, discerning, value-seeking, focusing on things like essentials rather than discretionary items, but importantly, we don’t see any additional fraying of consumer health,” Rainey said.
    Walmart saw another promising indicator: Sales of general merchandise, such as lawn and garden supplies, were positive for the first time in 11 quarters. He said those sales were up only slightly, but were an “encouraging sign for us.”
    Here’s what the discounter reported for the fiscal second quarter compared with what Wall Street expected, according to a survey of analysts by LSEG:

    Earnings per share: 67 cents adjusted vs. 65 cents expected
    Revenue: $169.34 billion vs. $168.63 billion

    Walmart’s net income dropped to $4.5 billion, or 56 cents per share, in the three-month period that ended July 31, compared with $7.89 billion, or 97 cents per share, in the year-ago period.
    Revenue rose from $161.63 billion in the year-ago quarter. 

    Comparable sales for Walmart U.S. rose 4.2% in the second quarter, excluding fuel, compared with the year-ago period, which topped analysts’ expectations. The industry metric includes sales from stores and clubs open for at least a year.
    At Sam’s Club, comparable sales rose 5.2%, excluding fuel, in line with analysts’ expectations.

    E-commerce sales jumped 21% globally and 22% in the U.S.
    Walmart’s customers in the U.S. visited the company’s stores and website more and spent slightly more during the quarter than they did in the year-ago period. Transactions rose 3.6% and average ticket was up 0.6% compared with the year-ago quarter.
    Walmart provided the latest window into the health of American households and the outlook for the broader economy as investors and economists seek clarity.

    As the nation’s largest retailer, Walmart is uniquely positioned to offer insights into where the consumer is spending and scrimping. The company’s reputation for value has boosted sales over the past two years, as inflation drove more higher-income shoppers to its stores and website.
    Inflation has moderated and returned to historic levels, according to July data from the U.S. Department of Labor. The consumer price index, which measures prices of a broad mix of goods and services, rose 2.9% last month compared to a year earlier. That is the lowest level since March of 2021.
    On the campaign trail, many politicians — including presidential candidates Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump — have spoken about how they will take on the higher prices of everyday items, including groceries. Harris, in particular, has blamed companies for “price gouging.”
    Walmart, for its part, said it is pushing vendors to reduce prices. Rainey said that’s long been a focus for the company.
    He told CNBC that inflation was flat for Walmart year over year, so its sales growth was driven by selling more units rather than higher prices. He said it had 7,200 “rollbacks,” or short-term deals on items, in the quarter, including a 35% increase in the number of rollbacks on food.
    Yet prices are hovering much higher than pre-pandemic, frustrating and stretching consumers. A jobs report from the Labor Department early this month also raised concerns and prompted a sharp stock market selloff, as jobs growth slowed and the unemployment rate rose more than expected.
    Some companies’ earnings reports have added to worries about the economy. Home Depot on Tuesday beat quarterly expectations for earnings and revenue, but warned of slow sales in the back half of the year and consumer caution, even among its more middle- and upper-income customer base.
    Along with attracting inflation-weary shoppers, Walmart has made its own moves to drive growth. It has looked outside of traditional retail channels, as it has sought to add more sellers to its third-party marketplace, sell more advertisements and attract more members to its subscription service, Walmart+. It also launched a new grocery brand, Bettergoods, with most items under $5 — including meal solutions like frozen pizzas and chicken wings.
    Rainey said Walmart is likely benefitting as customers look for cheaper alternatives to fast food. He referred to inflation data, which came out this week and showed that the gap in price between food at home and food away from home continues to grow.
    “It stands to reason that customers are shifting to prepare more meals at home versus versus eating out,” he said.
    Shares of Walmart closed Wednesday at $68.66. So far this year, the company’s stock is up nearly 31%, outpacing the approximately 14% gains of the S&P 500.

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    Lockheed Martin to take struggling spacecraft manufacturer Terran Orbital private in $450 million deal

    Lockheed Martin is buying Terran Orbital, the company announced Thursday.
    The agreement will see Lockheed acquire Terran at an enterprise valuation of nearly $450 million, below Lockheed’s previous bid in March.
    Expected to close in the fourth quarter, the deal would help Terran dodge a cash-and-debt cliff.

    Terran Orbital’s banner above the New York Stock Exchange on March 28, 2022.
    Terran Orbital

    Lockheed Martin is buying Terran Orbital, the company announced Thursday, with the defense giant reaching a deal to take the struggling spacecraft manufacturer private.
    The agreement will see Lockheed acquire Terran at an enterprise valuation of nearly $450 million, below Lockheeed’s previous bid of nearly $600 million in March.

    Lockheed would acquire Terran Orbital’s outstanding common stock at 25 cents a share in cash. Additionally, Lockheed will pay off Terran’s debt and established a $30 million capital facility to keep the company going while the deal closes.
    Terran’s stock closed at 40 cents a share on Wednesday.
    Expected to close in the fourth quarter, the deal would help Terran dodge a cash-and-debt cliff that the company is staring down. Terran’s cash reserves were less than $15 million at the end of July, it reported in a filing on Monday, and it also has about $300 million in debt.

    Read more CNBC space news

    The small spacecraft maker went public via a special purpose acquisition company in early 2022 at a $1.8 billion valuation. Like several other space stocks that debuted in the past few years, the yet-unprofitable company has been hit hard by the shifting risk environment in the market.
    Lockheed Martin is already a significant stakeholder in Terran Orbital, having bought in during the company’s SPAC process and again in late 2022. Lockheed Martin is also an important customer for Terran, making up 70% of Terran’s $30.4 million in revenue during the second quarter.

    Terran signed a blockbuster spacecraft production contract 18 months ago from prospective satellite communications operator Rivada Space Networks, worth $2.4 billion for 300 satellites. But the deal has yet to drive meaningful funds for Terran, which reported that it recognized just $6.2 million from the Rivada agreement in the first half of this year.
    On Monday, Terran said it was removing the Rivada deal from its total contract backlog — which reduced the backlog of orders by 88%, from $2.7 billion to $312.7 million. Of its non-Rivada orders, 91% of Terran’s contracts are “programs associated with Lockheed Martin.” More

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    China’s bond market intervention reveals financial stability worries

    China’s latest efforts to stem a bond market rally shows that authorities are worried about financial stability, analysts said.
    The sovereign bond market is “the backbone of the financial sector, even if you run a bank-driven sector” like China or Europe, said Alicia Garcia-Herrero, chief economist for Asia-Pacific at Natixis.
    Because of rapidly falling yields, Chinese insurance companies have parked much of their assets in the bond markets after guaranteeing fixed return rates for life insurance and other products, said Edmund Goh, head of China fixed income at Abrdn. That’s a major problem for the industry.

    People walk past the headquarters of the People’s Bank of China (PBOC), the central bank, in Beijing, China September 28, 2018. 
    Jason Lee | Reuters

    BEIJING — China’s latest efforts to stem a bond market rally reveals wider worries among authorities about financial stability, analysts said.
    Slow economic growth and tight capital controls have concentrated domestic funds in China’s government bond market, one of the largest in the world. Bloomberg reported Monday, citing sources, that regulators told commercial banks in Jiangxi province not to settle their purchases of government bonds.

    Futures showed prices for the 10-year Chinese government bond tumbled to their lowest in nearly a month on Monday, before recovering modestly, according to Wind Information data. Prices move inversely to yields.
    “The sovereign bond market is the backbone of the financial sector, even if you run a bank-driven sector like China [or] Europe,” said Alicia Garcia-Herrero, chief economist for Asia-Pacific at Natixis.
    She pointed out that in contrast to electronic trading of the bonds by retail investors or asset managers in Europe, banks and insurers tend to hold the government bonds, which implies nominal losses if prices fluctuate significantly.

    The 10-year Chinese government bond yield has abruptly turned higher in recent days, after falling all year to a record low in early August, according to Wind Information data going back to 2010.
    At around 2.2%, the Chinese 10-year yield remains far lower than the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield of nearly 4% or higher. The gap reflects how the U.S. Federal Reserve has kept interest rates high, while the People’s Bank of China has been lowering rates in the face of tepid domestic demand.

    “The problem is not what it shows [about a weak economy],” Garcia-Herrero said, but “what it means for financial stability.”
    “They have [Silicon Valley Bank] in mind, so what that means, corrections in sovereign bond yields having a big impact on your sovereign balance sheet,” she continued, adding that “the potential problem is worse than SVB and that’s why they’re very worried.”
    Silicon Valley Bank collapsed in March 2023 in one of the largest U.S. bank failures in recent times. The company’s struggles were largely blamed on shifts in capital allocation due to aggressive rate hikes by the Fed.
    PBoC Governor Pan Gongsheng said in a speech in June that central banks need to learn from the Silicon Valley Bank incident, to “promptly correct and block the accumulation of financial market risks.” He called for special attention to the “maturity rate mismatch and interest rate risk of some non-bank entities holding a large number of medium and long-term bonds.” That’s according to CNBC’s translation of his Chinese.
    Zerlina Zeng, head of Asia credit strategy, CreditSights, noted that the PBoC has increased intervention in the government bond market, from increased regulatory scrutiny of bond market trading to guidance for state-owned banks to sell Chinese government bonds.
    The PBoC has sought to “maintain a steep yield curve and manage risks arising from the concentrated holding of long-end CGB bonds by city and rural commercial banks and non-bank financial institutions,” she said in a statement.
    “We do not think that the intention of the PBOC’s bond market intervention was to engineer higher interest rates, but to guide banks and non-bank financials institutions to extend credit to the real economy rather than parking funds in bond investments,” Zeng said.

    Insurance hole in the ‘trillions’

    Stability has long been important for Chinese regulators. Even if yields are expected to move lower, the speed of price increases pose concerns.
    That’s especially an issue for Chinese insurance companies that have parked much of their assets in the bond market — after guaranteeing fixed return rates for life insurance and other products, said Edmund Goh, head of China fixed income at Abrdn.
    That contrasts with how in other countries, insurance companies can sell products whose returns can change depending on market conditions and extra investment, he said.
    “With the rapid decline in bond yields, that would affect the capital adequacy of insurance companies. It’s a huge part of the financial system,” Goh added, estimating it could require “trillions” of yuan to cover. One trillion yuan is about $140 billion USD.
    “If bond yields move lower slower it will really give some breathing space to the insurance industry.”

    Why the bond market?

    Insurance companies and institutional investors have piled into China’s bond market partly due to a lack of investment options in the country. The real estate market has slumped, while the stock market has struggled to recover from multi-year lows.
    Those factors make the PBoC’s bond market intervention far more consequential than Beijing’s other interventions, including in foreign exchange, said Natixis’ Garcia-Herrero. “It’s very dangerous what they’re doing, because losses could be massive.”
    “Basically I just worry that it will get out of control,” she said. “This is happening because there [are] no other investment alternatives. Gold or sovereign bonds, that’s it. A country the size of China, with only these two options, there’s no way you can avoid a bubble. The solution isn’t there unless you open the capital account.”
    The PBoC did not immediately respond to a request for comment.
    China has pursued an economic model dominated by the state, with gradual efforts to introduce more market forces over the last few decades. This state-led model has steered many investors in the past to believe Beijing will step in to stem losses, no matter what.
    The news of a local bank canceling a bond settlement “came as a shock to most people” and “shows the desperation on the Chinese government side,” said abrdn’s Goh.
    But Goh said he didn’t think it was enough to affect foreign investor confidence. He had expected the PBoC to intervene in the bond market in some form.

    Beijing’s yield woes

    Beijing has publicly expressed concerns over the speed of bond buying, which has rapidly lowered yields.
    In July, the PBoC-affiliated “Financial News” criticized the rush to buy Chinese government bonds as “shorting” the economy. The outlet later diluted the headline to say such actions were a “disturbance,” according to CNBC’s translation of the Chinese outlet.
    Chang Le, fixed-income senior strategist at ChinaAMC, pointed out that the Chinese 10-year yield has typically fluctuated in a 20 basis-point range around the medium-term lending facility, one of the PBoC’s benchmark interest rates. But this year the yield hit 30 basis points below the MLF, he said, indicating the accumulation of interest rate risk.
    The potential for gains has driven up demand for the bonds, after such buying already outpaced supply earlier this year, he said. The PBoC has repeatedly warned of risks while trying to maintain financial stability by tackling the lack of bond supply.
    Low yields, however, also reflect expectations of slower growth.
    “I think poor credit growth is one of the reasons why bond yields have moved lower,” Goh said. If smaller banks “could find good quality borrowers, I’m sure they would rather lend money to them.”
    Loan data released late Tuesday showed that new yuan loans categorized under “total social financing” fell in July for the first time since 2005.
    “The latest volatility in China’s domestic bond market underscores the need for reforms that channel market forces toward efficient credit allocation,” said Charles Chang, managing director at S&P Global Ratings.
    “Measures that enhance market diversity and discipline may help reinforce the PBOC’s periodic actions,” Chang added. “Reforms in the corporate bond market, in particular, could facilitate Beijing’s pursuit of more efficient economic growth that incurs less debt over the long term.” More

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    Klarna takes on banks with a personal account and cashback rewards ahead of IPO

    Klarna, best known for its buy now, pay later loans, is launching a personal account for deposits and cashback rewards in the U.S. and Europe.
    The move signals how Klarna is pushing deeper into banking with features that encourage people to move their spending and saving onto its platform.
    It comes as the fintech giant edges closer toward a much-anticipated U.S. IPO.

    Buy now, pay later firms like Klarna and Block’s Afterpay could be about to face tougher rules in the U.K.
    Nikolas Kokovlis | Nurphoto | Getty Images

    Financial technology firm Klarna is pushing deeper into banking with its own checking account-like product and a cashback offering that rewards users for shopping via its app.
    The company — best known for its buy now, pay later loans that let consumers pay for purchases via interest-free monthly installments — said Thursday that it is launching the new products as it seeks to “disrupt retail banking” and encourage customers to move their spending and saving onto its platform.

    “These new products make it easier for customers to manage multiple scheduled payments, helping our customers use Klarna for more frequent purchases and driving loyalty,” Sebastian Siemiatkowski, Klarna’s CEO and founder, told CNBC.
    Siemiatkowski said that Klarna wants to “support all consumers with their everyday spending,” adding that the products will allow people to “earn money while they shop and manage it in a Klarna account.”
    The two new products, which are being rolled out in 12 markets including the U.S. and across Europe, will show up in the Klarna app as “balance” and “cashback.”
    Klarna balance lets users store money in a bank-like personal account, which they can then use to make instant purchases and pay off their buy now, pay later loans.

    Users can also receive refunds for returned items directly in their Klarna balance.

    Cashback offers customers the ability to earn up to 10% of the value of their purchases at participating retailers as rewards. Any money earned gets automatically stored in their balance account.
    It’s not Klarna’s first foray into more traditional banking; the company has offered checking accounts and savings products in Germany since 2021.
    Now, the company is expanding these banking products in other markets.
    Customers in the EU — where Klarna has an official bank license — will be able to earn as much as 3.58% interest on their deposits. Customers in the U.S., however, will not be able to earn interest.
    The launch marks a major step up in Klarna’s product range as the fintech giant edges closer toward a much-anticipated U.S. IPO.

    Klarna has yet to set a fixed timeline for the stock market listing. However, in an interview with CNBC’s “Closing Bell” in February, Siemiatkowski said an IPO this year was “not impossible.”
    “We still have a few steps and work ahead of ourselves,” he said. “But we’re keen on becoming a public company.”
    In the meantime, Klarna is in discussions with investors about a secondary share sale to provide its employees with some liquidity, a person familiar with the matter told CNBC.
    Klarna’s valuation on the open secondary market is currently in the high-teen billions, said the source, who was speaking on condition of anonymity as details of the share sale are not yet public. More