More stories

  • in

    Carnival shares pop on earnings beat and raised full-year outlook

    Carnival reported strong second-quarter results, with record profitability and demand.
    Net income sharply improved year over year, the company said.
    The cruise line also raised its full-year guidance on continued booking strength.

    Carnival shares climbed nearly 7% on Tuesday after the cruise line posted stronger-than-expected second-quarter results and raised its full-year guidance.
    According to the company’s earnings report, the cruise operator posted adjusted earnings of 35 cents per share while beating analysts’ estimates of 24 cents, according to LSEG. Adjusted revenue came in at a record $6.3 billion compared with the expected $6.2 billion.

    Net income rose to $565 million, which was a significant increase from $92 million a year ago.
    CEO Josh Weinstein said on Tuesday’s earnings call with analysts that there was a “strong momentum” across all of the company’s brands.
    Due to outperformance, Carnival raised its full-year guidance and said it now expects adjusted net income to be 40% higher than 2024, which is about $200 million more than its March forecast.
    Meanwhile, the cruise line said it expects full-year adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization, or EBITDA, to be $6.9 billion, up from a prior estimate of $6.7 billion.
    Weinstein noted in the earnings call that it is less than a month away from the opening of the island Celebration Key in the Bahamas. Carnival’s island is expected to open on July 19.
    Cruise demand remains strong post-pandemic, with higher prices and fuller ships expected to push profits closer to pre-pandemic levels, according to NerdWallet.

    Don’t miss these insights from CNBC PRO More

  • in

    Home price hikes are slowing more than expected

    Home prices in formerly hot pandemic markets are now starting to fall.
    Mortgage rates remain stubbornly high, with no sign of dropping.
    Prices are unlikely to drop dramatically, as there are still too few homes for sale.

    A Compass Realty sign is posted in front of a home for sale on June 23, 2025 in Greenbrae, California.
    Justin Sullivan | Getty Images News | Getty Images

    Rising supply and slowing demand in the housing market are finally causing prices to cool off, and the weakness is accelerating.
    Home prices nationally rose just 2.7% in April compared with the previous year, according to the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Index released Tuesday. That is down from a 3.4% annual increase in March and is the smallest gain in nearly two years.

    The report is slightly backdated, as it is a three-month running average of prices ended in April. Other more current readings of the market, such as one from Parcl Labs, shows prices nationally are now flat compared with a year ago.
    S&P Case-Shiller found the deceleration in prices was taking hold across the 10- and 20-city composites its index measures. Both are now substantially below their recent peaks. In addition, much of the annual increase in the April reading occurred in just the past six months, meaning prices got a boost from the spring market rather than showing up throughout the year.
    “What’s particularly striking is how this cycle has reshuffled regional leadership—markets that were pandemic darlings are now lagging, while historically steady performers in the Midwest and Northeast are setting the pace. This rotation signals a maturing market that’s increasingly driven by fundamentals rather than speculative fervor,” said Nicholas Godec, head of fixed income at S&P Dow Jones Indices, in a release.
    New York saw the biggest increase in prices, with a 7.9% annual gain, followed by Chicago at 6% and Detroit at 5.5%. This is a shift from the first years of the pandemic, when the Sun Belt was seeing huge demand and big price gains.
    Prices in those previously hot markets are now falling. Both Tampa, Florida, and Dallas turned negative, down 2.2% and 0.2%, respectively. San Francisco prices were basically flat, and both Phoenix and Miami eked out gains of just over 1%.

    Higher mortgage rates, which shot over 7% in April and have settled back just under that mark since then, are keeping potential monthly payments near generational highs and pricing out significant pools of buyers, especially first-timers. That share dropped to just 30% of May sales, according to the National Association of Realtors. First-time buyers historically make up 40% of the market.
    The supply of homes for sale is rising sharply, but is still below pre-pandemic levels. Just 6% of sellers are at risk of selling at a loss, according to a new report from Redfin. That is slightly higher than a year ago, but still historically low.
    While prices are certainly weakening, they are nowhere close to being at risk of the major declines last seen following the subprime mortgage crisis and the Great Recession over a decade ago.
    “Housing supply remains severely constrained, with existing homeowners reluctant to surrender their sub-4% pandemic-era rates and new construction failing to meet demand. This supply-demand imbalance continues to provide a price floor, preventing the sharp corrections that some had feared,” said Godec.

    Don’t miss these insights from CNBC PRO More

  • in

    Back-to-school spending persists despite economic pressure, consumer survey says

    Nearly three-quarters of back-to-school shoppers expect to spend the same amount or more this year than they did in 2024, according to a new PwC survey.
    The results indicate a value-oriented consumer, said Kelly Pedersen, PwC’s U.S. retail leader, but back-to-school spending is insulated because “this is just necessary spend every year.”
    Technology and clothing are the top two categories where shoppers are planning to pull back, according to PwC, while essentials like books and school supplies are more shielded.

    A variety of school supplies, including lunch boxes and backpacks in different colors and patterns, are on display for the upcoming school year.
    Deb Cohn-Orbach | UCG | Universal Images Group | Getty Images

    Families are not holding back on back-to-school spending this year, despite growing economic pressure, according to a new PwC consumer survey.
    Nearly three-quarters of back-to-school shoppers expect to spend the same amount or more this year than they did in 2024, according to PwC’s survey of nearly 2,000 parents. In fact, more than 1 in 3 parents anticipate spending more than they did last year.

    “A lot of it is necessities. It’s people knowing that they’re going to have to get this specific book, or these specific supplies for school or they require technology for their kids,” said Kelly Pedersen, PwC’s U.S. retail leader.
    The results indicate a value-oriented consumer, Pedersen said, but at the same time, back-to-school spending is insulated because “this is just necessary spend every year.”
    The results come as consumers grapple with an uncertain economic environment due to global trade dynamics. While consumer confidence for May was stronger than expected, spending for the month pulled back sharply.
    The temporary pauses on some of President Donald Trump’s tariffs have been viewed as a positive indicator for consumers, although the long-term path forward for tariffs remains unclear, especially as some retailers have said they will raise prices.
    Among the back-to-school shopping destinations, Walmart and Target said they plan to hike some prices, while Best Buy is among the retailers that said it has already raised some prices.

    “A lot of the average consumers in the U.S. sort of feel this cloud hanging above of, when are the tariffs going to hit, and what are those going to do to prices,” Pedersen said.
    He said value will be important moving forward, as he has seen consumers shifting toward more discount retailers over the past couple of months.
    Indeed, buying items only on discount and reusing items from previous years are among the top ways consumers plan on saving during back-to-school season, according to the survey.
    For those who are cutting back on back-to-school spending, technology and clothing are the top two categories where they’re planning to pull back, according to PwC, while essentials like books and school supplies are more insulated.
    On back-to-school technology, 25% of parents plan to spend more than $500, while 42% expect to pay under $50.
    While the amount of back-to-school spending has stayed relatively constant overall, parents are changing the ways they shop.
    Artificial intelligence in particular is impacting how parents handle the back-to-school season. One in 5 shoppers plan to use AI tools to find online deals, according to the survey.
    When it comes to physical retail, Gen Z is leading the way. Gen Z parents surveyed were more likely than millennials or Gen X parents to shop exclusively in store, suggesting the younger generation could be contributing to brick-and-mortar resilience, PwC said. More

  • in

    McDonald’s and Krispy Kreme will end doughnut partnership next month

    McDonald’s and Krispy Kreme will end their doughnut partnership on July 2.
    The companies said the deal has not been as profitable as expected for the doughnut chain.
    McDonald’s at one point planned to roll out Krispy Kreme doughnuts nationwide by next year.

    Glazed Krispy Kreme doughnuts.
    Joe Raedle | Getty Images News | Getty Images

    Krispy Kreme and McDonald’s are ending their partnership for good.
    The chain will stop selling its doughnuts at McDonald’s restaurants on July 2, the companies said in a press release Tuesday. McDonald’s USA’s Chief Marketing and Customer Experience Officer Alyssa Buetikofer said the collaboration was going well for the burger chain and its franchisees, but it “needed to be a profitable business model for Krispy Kreme as well.”

    Their deal had placed Krispy Kreme doughnuts in 2,400 McDonalds locations. The companies paused their partnership in May after sales slowed down, and Krispy Kreme withdrew its full-year financial outlook in part due to economic “softness.” The chains are scrapping the deal after they announced plans last year to roll out Krispy Kreme doughnuts at McDonald’s locations nationwide by 2026.
    “Ultimately, efforts to bring our costs in line with unit demand were unsuccessful, making the partnership unsustainable for us,” Krispy Kreme CEO Josh Charlesworth said in a statement Tuesday.
    Krispy Kreme said it will now focus on expansion through “high-volume retail points of distribution” and international franchise growth. The companies also said the agreement only represented a “small, non-material” part of McDonald’s breakfast business.
    McDonald’s shares dipped slightly Tuesday, while Krispy Kreme’s stock rose more than 1%.
    McDonald’s has seen sluggish sales as diners reduce restaurant spending, and has tried to lure consumers back with deals. In the first quarter, the chain posted its largest same-store sales decline since 2020.
    Krispy Kreme shares have plunged about 73% this year. In its first quarter, the company posted a loss of about $33 million.

    Don’t miss these insights from CNBC PRO More

  • in

    Powell emphasizes Fed’s obligation to prevent ‘ongoing inflation problem’ despite Trump criticism

    Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on Tuesday said he expects policymakers to stay on hold until they have a better handle on the impact tariffs will have on prices.
    The cautious tones could further antagonize President Donald Trump, who has ramped up his long-standing criticism of Powell.
    Powell will present his speech, along with the Fed’s monetary policy report, first to the House Financial Services Committee on Tuesday morning, then the Senate Banking Committee a day later.

    Chair of the US Federal Reserve Jerome Powell speaks during a press conference following the Federal Open Market Committee meeting in Washington, DC, on June 18, 2025.
    Saul Loeb | Afp | Getty Images

    Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on Tuesday emphasized the central bank’s commitment to keeping inflation in check, saying he expects policymakers to stay on hold until they have a better handle on the impact tariffs will have on prices.
    In remarks to be delivered to two congressional committees this week, Powell characterized economic growth as strong and the labor market to be around full employment.

    However, he noted that inflation is still above the Fed’s 2% target, with the impact that President Donald Trump’s tariffs will have still unclear.
    “Policy changes continue to evolve, and their effects on the economy remain uncertain,” Powell said. “The effects of tariffs will depend, among other things, on their ultimate level.”
    Repeating what has become familiar language from the Fed chief, Powell said policymakers are “well positioned to wait to learn more about the likely course of the economy before considering any adjustments to our policy stance.”
    The cautious tones could further antagonize Trump, who has ramped up his long-standing criticism of Powell. In his latest broadside, posted early Tuesday on the president’s Truth Social platform, Trump said he hopes “Congress really works this very dumb, hardheaded person, over.”
    Powell will present his comments, along with the Fed’s monetary policy report, first to the House Financial Services Committee on Tuesday morning, then the Senate Banking Committee a day later.

    Inflation seen drifting up

    Most of the speech was boiler-plate language that Powell has used to describe the economy, which he said “remains solid,” a word he also used to characterize the labor market.
    However, on inflation he said the Fed’s preferred measure is likely to move up to 2.3% in May, with the core measure excluding food and energy to edge up to 2.6%. The respective readings for April were 2.1% and 2.5%.
    Tariffs historically have resulted in one-time price increases and only occasionally have been responsible for longer-term inflation pressures. Powell said he and his Federal Open Market Committee colleagues will be weighing that balance and feel in no hurry to adjust policy until they have more data to view on how tariffs are working this time around. The FOMC is the central bank’s rate-setting arm.
    “The FOMC’s obligation is to keep longer-term inflation expectations well anchored and to prevent a one-time increase in the price level from becoming an ongoing inflation problem,” Powell said. He added that the Fed will seek to balance its dual goals of full employment and low inflation “keeping in mind that, without price stability, we cannot achieve the long periods of strong labor market conditions that benefit all Americans.”
    The FOMC voted unanimously last week to hold rates steady.
    However, an update to individual members’ future expectations — the “dot plot” grid — showed a split among members. Nine of the 19 officials favored either zero or one cut this year, while eight saw two cuts and two others expected three. The plot is done anonymously, so there is no way of knowing the outlook of individual members.
    Over the past several days, however, two key FOMC voters, governors Michelle Bowman and Christopher Waller, said they would favor a reduction in July so long as the inflation data remains in check. The consumer price index rose just 0.1% in May, echoing other indicators showing muted prices pressures so far from tariffs.
    Futures market pricing indicates only a 23% probability of a cut at the July 29-30 meeting, with a much higher probability of the next cut coming in September, according to the CME Group’s FedWatch gauge. More

  • in

    Goldman Sachs and Citadel back crypto firm Digital Asset in $135 million funding round

    Crypto firm Digital Asset raised $135 million in a funding round backed by Goldman Sachs, BNP Paribas and Ken Griffin’s Citadel Securities.
    The company said it will use the funding to advance adoption of the Canton Network, a blockchain for financial institutions.
    The investment highlights how large financial institutions are embedding themselves in the once murky world of cryptocurrencies.

    Nurphoto | Getty Images

    Crypto company Digital Asset said Tuesday that it’s netted $135 million in funding from a raft of major names in banking and finance.
    The firm, which touts itself as a regulated crypto player, said it raised the fresh cash in a funding round co-led by DRW and Tradeweb, with Goldman Sachs, BNP Paribas and Ken Griffin’s Citadel Securities also investing.

    The investment highlights how large financial institutions are embedding themselves in the once murky world of cryptocurrencies.
    Previously associated with fraud, money laundering and other illicit activities, digital assets have become a more mainstream asset class over the years as big names like JPMorgan Chase, Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley warmed to the space.
    Just last week, JPMorgan launched its own version of a stablecoin, a deposit token called “JPMD.”

    “With growing participation from global financial institutions and market participants, we expect this funding round to help us solidify our role as the backbone of digital finance,” Yuval Rooz, Digital Asset’s CEO and co-founder, told CNBC. 
    Digital Asset sells a number of digital asset services to its clients, which include major Wall Street players like Goldman Sachs, Citadel and Virtu. Co-founded in 2014 by Rooz, a trader turned entrepreneur, the firm competes with the likes of Ripple, R3 and Consensys.

    The firm will use the new funding to advance adoption of the Canton Network. Initially developed by Digital Asset but now open-source, Canton is a public blockchain designed for financial institutions to move assets and data around while meeting regulatory and privacy requirements.
    Banks and trading firms are using Canton to tokenize real-world assets such as bonds, commodities and money market funds.
    “This raise will allow us to build upon the continuing momentum around the Canton Network and accelerate the onboarding of more high-quality assets, finally making blockchain’s transformative promise an institutional-scale reality,” Rooz told CNBC.
    The network now supports trillions of dollars in tokenized assets, according to Digital Asset’s CEO. More

  • in

    Getting Trump’s full tax break on car loans may mean buying a $130,000 vehicle

    President Donald Trump proposed a tax break on car loan interest while on the campaign trail last year.
    House and Senate Republicans have pitched a $10,000 tax deduction on auto loan interest as part of the so-called “one big beautiful bill” being debated in Washington.
    Households would likely need to buy luxury cars that cost $130,000 or more to get the maximum benefit, one economist said.
    Models with such price tags include “exotic” brands like Rolls-Royce, Ferrari, Bentley, Aston Martin, Lamborghini, McLaren, Porsche, Land Rover, Cadillac, Maserati, Lotus or Mercedes-Benz, the economist said.

    A Rolls-Royce Spectre all electric luxury coupe is displayed at Rolls-Royce Motor Cars dealership showroom in London.
    John Keeble | Getty Images News | Getty Images

    Republicans are trying to make good on President Donald Trump’s campaign promise to give Americans a tax break on their car loan interest. However, as structured, most households wouldn’t get a substantial financial benefit, economists said.
    House and Senate Republicans proposed giving drivers a tax deduction of up to $10,000 on annual interest for new auto loans in their so-called “One Big Beautiful Bill Act.” The tax break would be temporary, ending after 2028.

    But few drivers pay that much annual interest, said Jonathan Smoke, chief economist at Cox Automotive, an auto market research firm.
    It’s “pretty rare,” he said.
    Auto loans don’t have annual interest charges of $10,000 or more outside of large loans on “exotic” vehicles, Smoke said.

    A ‘laundry list of exotic names’

    How large would the loan have to be?
    It would take a loan of roughly $112,000 to use up the full $10,000 deduction in the first year of car ownership, Smoke said.

    Only about 1% of new auto loans are this big, according to Cox Automotive data.
    Cars most likely to see loans of that magnitude include a “laundry list of exotic names” like Rolls-Royce, Ferrari, Bentley, Aston Martin, Lamborghini, McLaren, Porsche, Land Rover, Cadillac, Maserati, Lotus and Mercedes-Benz, Smoke said.
    Smoke’s analysis assumes drivers use the most popular loan length, 72 months at the current new loan average of around 9.5%. It includes a 10% down payment and various fees like taxes and registration.
    The example implies a vehicle purchase price of about $130,000, he said.
    Vehicles with an average purchase price near this level include a Porsche Panamera or Cadillac Escalade, he said. Monthly car payments under those loan terms would likely be more than $2,000, Smoke said.
    More from Personal Finance:The salary Americans say they need to live comfortablyWhy electricity prices are surging for U.S. householdsHouse, Senate tax bills both end many clean energy credits
    House Republicans included the tax break on auto loan interest in a massive domestic policy bill, the “One Big Beautiful Bill Act,” which lawmakers narrowly passed along party lines in May. The Senate may vote on a similar measure as soon as this week.
    In practice, few if any households would likely claim the full benefit due to an income limitation, experts said.
    Both versions of the legislation reduce the value of the car loan interest tax deduction once an individual’s annual income exceeds $100,000, or $200,000 for married couples filing a joint tax return. Households below those thresholds may qualify for the full tax benefit, but are unlikely to buy an expensive enough car to do so, economists said.
    Those drivers who might qualify to take on a six-figure car loan are unlikely to maximize the tax break, either. Taxpayers don’t get a financial benefit once income exceeds $150,000 (or $250,000 for married couples), according to the Institute on Taxation and Economic Policy, a left-leaning think tank.
    Qualifying cars must also receive final assembly in the U.S., according to current legislative text, potentially further limiting the potential roster of vehicles.

    The average car loan and interest charges

    People walk by a Ferrari dealership in New York City.
    Spencer Platt | Getty Images News | Getty Images

    The average car loan so far in 2025 is about $43,000, according to Cox Automotive data.
    Under Republicans’ tax plan, the average buyer would get a tax deduction of about $3,000 in the first year of a six-year loan (and a roughly $2,000 average annual deduction over the loan’s life), Smoke said.
    However, based on the way tax deductions work, this wouldn’t mean car buyers get $3,000 in their pocket the first year.
    That $3,000 would be deducted from the buyer’s taxable income.
    “The math basically says you’re talking about [financial] benefit of $500 or less in year one,” and a declining value in subsequent years, Smoke said. That’s less than the average monthly payment on a new loan, he said. More