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    ‘Swicy’ items take over restaurant menus as Gen Z seeks heat

    “Swicy,” a portmanteau of sweet and spicy, has become the popular term to describe the resurgence of sweet and spicy food and drinks appearing on menus this year.
    Nearly a tenth of U.S. restaurants have “sweet and spicy” menu items, according to Datassential.
    While sweet and spicy pairings are nothing new, a more diverse population and Gen Z’s desire for heat have fueled the latest iteration of the trend.

    A general view of atmosphere during ‘Sonic Desert’ presented by Coca-Cola Spiced and Topo Chico in partnership with BPM Music on April 13, 2024 in Thermal, California. 
    Randy Shropshire | Getty Images

    The hottest food and drink trend this year isn’t just spicy — it’s also sweet.
    “Swicy,” a portmanteau of sweet and spicy, has taken over restaurant marketing. While the term hasn’t actually appeared on menus, the shorthand has become a popular way to describe the resurgence of foods and drinks marrying sweet and spicy flavors. The Food Institute even dubbed it the “Summer of Swicy” this year.

    Nearly 10% of restaurant menus have “sweet and spicy” items, up 1.8% over the last 12 months, according to market research firm Datassential. Over the next four years, its menu penetration is expected to rise 9.6%.
    A slew of restaurant chains have embraced the trend, from Shake Shack’s swicy menu to Burger King’s Fiery Strawberry & Sprite to Starbucks’ Spicy Lemonade Refreshers. Common menu items have paired fruity flavors and chili powder, or used sauces like hot honey and gochujang, a red chili paste that’s a popular Korean condiment.

    Starbucks Spicy Lemonade Refreshers.
    Courtesy: Starbucks

    Although the menu items were largely only available for a limited time, culinary experts think that the swicy trend has staying power.
    Buzzy, trendy menu items are more important now to restaurants, which are leaning on both discounts and innovation to attract diners and reverse declining sales. In August, traffic to U.S. restaurants fell 3.6%, the industry’s second-worst monthly performance this year since January, according to Black Box Intelligence. Limited-time menu items are particularly attractive to Gen Z customers, a key demographic because they account for roughly a fifth of Americans.

    The ‘swicy’ story

    While the swicy portmanteau might be new, the flavor pairings have been around for decades, according to trendologist Kara Nielsen. The one element that might have changed over time are the spice levels.

    “I’m sure food is hotter now than it was 20 years ago,” Nielsen said.
    She remembers when Jeffrey Saad opened a fast-casual Mexican restaurant in San Francisco called Sweet Heat in 1993, before he became a celebrity chef and Food Network star.

    Fudio | Istock | Getty Images

    The second coming of the sweet heat trend started when Mike’s Hot Honey started blowing up around 2010, according to Nielsen. Korean cuisine, especially its sweet and spicy gochujang sauces have become more popular, too, helping to drive more people to the flavor combination.
    The pandemic also led more consumers to return to classic comfort foods: burgers, fried chicken sandwiches and pizza. But the desire for familiar favorites has faded, and now diners are once again seeking novelty — or at least a twist.
    “Now, four years on, we’re moving out of this and adding more spicy flavors,” Nielsen said.
    Experts at McCormick first called out the reemerging trend in its 2022 flavor forecast report, according to Hadar Cohen Aviram, executive chef for the spice and flavoring company’s U.S. consumer division.
    McCormick highlighted “plus sweet,” when sweetness acts as a flavor enhancer rather than being the star of the show. The forecasters were even considering naming the trend “swicy” in their report but went with “plus sweet” because it was broader, she said.
    The following year, McCormick, which owns Frank’s RedHot and Cholula, called out “beyond heat,” or using other flavors to bring out more flavor in addition to the spiciness.
    “We see lots of different people wanting to add some heat to their plates, but they do want to make sure that there’s something for everyone,” Cohen Aviram said.

    Gen Zwicy?

    One reason why so many U.S. consumers are seeking out spicy foods and drinks? Increasing diversity.
    “The reason that sweet heat or swicy is sort of everlasting is that it’s a key component of traditional global cuisines like Mexican, like Thai, like Korean, that a lot of people of those ancestries and heritages are familiar with it. Then it gets introduced and repackaged,” Nielsen said.
    For example, Shake Shack’s culinary team was inspired to make Korean-inspired items for a limited-time menu, according to John Karangis, the company’s executive chef and vice president of culinary innovation.
    One of the menu items was a Korean fried chicken sandwich, coated in a sweet and spicy gochujang glaze. After it created the limited-time menu, Shake Shack’s marketing team pitted the chicken sandwich against the Korean BBQ burger, with savory and salty flavors. It told customers to pick a side: team swicy or team umami.
    The swicy trend also appeals to Gen Z, the cohort born between 1997 and 2012.
    “We have a new generation, Generation Z, that’s really excited about complex flavor profiles — but there’s only so many you can taste: sweet, salty, bitter, umami,” Nielsen said.
    Here’s one example of the generation’s heat-seeking behavior: over half of Gen Z consumers identify as “hot sauce connoisseurs,” according to a survey conducted by NCSolutions.
    And with swicy, achieving the perfect ratio can be tough because it’s so personal, McCormick’s Cohen Aviram said.
    Feedback from Shake Shack’s customers reflects that, too.
    “Of course, we hear a lot of great feedback from guests, and we also heard other feedback like ‘Hey, you could have punched it up a little bit,'” Karangis said.
    Cohen Aviram prefers about 40% sweet, 60% spicy when she’s creating swicy concoctions, like a Frank’s RedHot ice cream bar.
    “The thing with sweetness if that it kind of hijacks your palate, so if you use too much of it, you’re just not going to sense the nuance,” she said.
    When Burger King released its Fiery menu this summer, it ranked the items on a scale of spiciness. At one – meaning the least spicy – was its Fiery Strawberry & Sprite drink. The swicy menu item was inspired by another trend: “dirty sodas,” the combination of soda, creamers and syrups started in Utah, according to Pat O’Toole, Burger King North America’s chief marketing officer.
    The drink marked the first time that Burger King tweaked a classic fountain beverage, but it previously introduced a Frozen Fanta Kickin’ Mango, with a similar swicy flavor profile.
    “Guests can easily and accessibly try a ‘swicy’ beverage offering and work their way up the spice scale with other food items, if they so choose,” O’Toole said, adding that the chain saw strong interest across its focus groups for a spicy take on Sprite.
    Of course, not all swicy profiles resonate with customers. For example, Coca-Cola in September discontinued its spiced Coke just six months after it hit shelves, after it initially intended it as a permanent offering.
    But despite some missteps, the swicy pairing is likely here to stay – at least for a while.
    “The flavors will stick around, for sure. I think the name will get tiresome. … It probably still has a couple of years to go,” Nielsen said.

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    More startups are being spun out of Klarna than any other European fintech unicorn

    Alumni from Klarna have gone on to create 62 new startups — more than any other fintech unicorn in Europe, according to a new report from venture capital firm Accel.
    Out of 98 venture-backed fintech unicorns in the region, 82 have produced 635 new tech-enabled startups, according to Accel’s report.
    Accel labels these companies “founder factories,” on the basis that they have become breeding grounds for talent that often go on to establish their own firms.

    Buy now, pay later firms like Klarna and Block’s Afterpay could be about to face tougher rules in the U.K.
    Nikolas Kokovlis | Nurphoto | Getty Images

    LONDON — More startups are being spun out of Swedish digital payments firm Klarna than any other financial technology unicorn in Europe, according to a new report from venture capital firm Accel.
    Accel’s “Fintech Founder Factory” report shows that alumni from Klarna have gone on to create a total of 62 new startups, including the likes of Swedish lending technology firm Anyfin, regulatory compliance platform Bits Technology and AI-powered coding platform Pretzel AI.

    That is more than any other venture-backed fintech startup worth $1 billion or more in the region.
    This includes the digital banking app Revolut, whose former employees have founded 49 startups. It also includes money transfer app Wise and online-only bank N26, where ex-staff at both firms have started 33 companies each, according to Accel’s data.

    ‘Founder factories’

    Accel labels these companies “founder factories,” on the basis that they have become breeding grounds for talent that often go on to establish their own firms.

    “We now have a very long list of large, durable, successful companies in Europe across the different ecosystems — including London, Berlin and Stockholm — that have been generating interesting outcomes,” Luca Bocchio, partner at Accel, told CNBC.
    Out of 98 venture-backed fintech unicorns in Europe and Israel, 82 have produced 635 new tech-enabled startups, according to Accel’s report, which was published Tuesday ahead of a fintech event the firm is hosting in London Wednesday.

    The data also factors in fintech unicorns based in Israel. However, most of the biggest fintech founder factories come from Europe.

    Klarna’s workforce reduction

    Klarna has attracted headlines in recent months due to commentary from the buy now, pay later giant’s founder and CEO, Sebastian Siemiatkowski, about using artificial intelligence to help reduce headcount.

    Klarna, which currently has a company-wide hiring freeze in place, cut its overall employee headcount by roughly 24% to 3,800 in August this year. Siemiatkowski has said that Klarna was able to reduce the number of people it hires thanks to its implementation of generative AI.
    He is looking to further reduce Klarna’s headcount to 2,000 employees — but has yet to specify a time for this target.
    Klarna’s ability to produce so many new startups had little to do with cutbacks at the company or its focus on using AI to boost worker productivity and hiring less people overall, according to Accel’s Bocchio.
    Asked about why Klarna topped the ranking of fintech founder factories in Europe, Bocchio said: “Klarna is an organization that is coming of age now.”
    That means it is currently “well positioned to produce interesting founders,” Bocchio added — both because it’s large and has been around for a long time, and because of the “interesting” ways its staff work internally.

    Staying close to home

    Another notable finding from Accel’s report is that most companies founded by former fintech unicorn employees tend to do so in the same cities and hubs their employer was founded in.
    Nearly two-thirds (61%) of companies founded by former employees of fintech unicorns were founded in the same city as the unicorn, according to Accel.
    More broadly, the numbers show that Europe is seeing a “flywheel effect,” according to Bocchio, as tech firms are scaling to such a large size that staff can take learnings from them and leave to set up their own ventures.
    “I think the flywheel is spinning because that talent is remaining inside the flywheel. That talent is not going anywhere.” This, he said, “speaks to the maturity and appetite” of individuals within Europe’s fintech founder factories. “We expect this trend to continue. I don’t see any reason why it should stop.” More

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    HSBC embarks on major restructuring, names first female CFO

    HSBC has unveiled a major overhaul, announcing a new geographic setup, consolidated operations and a new CFO — the lender’s first female finance chief.
    This is the second heavyweight leadership shakeup for HSBC in recent months, after former finance boss Georges Elhedery was named CEO of the group back in July.
    The bank also announced plans to restructure into four divisions: Hong Kong, U.K., international wealth and premier banking, and corporate and institutional banking.

    Aaron P | Bauer-Griffin | GC Images | Getty Images

    HSBC on Tuesday unveiled a new geographic setup and consolidated its operations into four business units, amid a key overhaul that delivered the lender’s first female finance chief.
    The bank’s shares were flat in early London trade Tuesday. The U.K.-listed stock is up more than 6% over the year-to-date.

    As part of the restructuring outlined in regulatory filings with the Hong Kong bourse, HSBC plans to divide its operations between an “Eastern markets” branch, reuniting Asia-Pacific and the Middle East, along with a “Western markets” division, comprising the non-ringed-fenced U.K. bank, the continental European business and the Americas.
    Chinese insurer Ping An, HSBC’s largest shareholder with a more-than-9% stake, has previously campaigned for the spinoff of HSBC’s Asian business from the rest of the group’s operations — although this was ultimately rejected during the bank’s annual general meeting last year.
    The bank on Tuesday also announced plans to streamline its businesses in a bid to “reduce the duplication of processes and decision making.” From January, it will operate through four divisions: Hong Kong, U.K., international wealth and premier banking, and corporate and institutional banking.
    “The new structure will result in a simpler, more dynamic, and agile organisation as we focus on executing against our strategic priorities, which remain unchanged,” Elhedery said Tuesday in a statement, adding that the shakeup will help propel HSBC in its “next phase of growth.”
    The bank’s new corporate and institutional banking unit will bring together its commercial banking business (outside of Hong Kong and the U.K.), global banking and markets business, and Western markets wholesale banking operations.

    UBS analysts said the magnitude of the required restructuring was currently “unknown and important.”
    “Aligning functions for a group with 213,978 staff involves exceptional costs, a divisional shift provides the opportunity for new CEO cost reductions,” they wrote in a Tuesday note entitled “Simpler, faster, better?”.
    “Also important is whether this structure will prompt other changes: for example, (i) where does Australian retail (65% of loans are [residential] mortages) fit in this structure? (ii) is insurance manufacturing key to international wealth? and (iii) does HSBC need a bigger corporate Latam presence?”

    Change at the top

    Like many European lenders, HSBC has benefitted from a high interest rate environment since the Covid-19 pandemic, but now faces the loss of that support after the European Central Bank started loosening monetary policy in June.
    Back in July, HSBC posted estimates-beating pretax profit of $21.56 billion in the first half of the year, announcing a share buyback program of up to $3 billion. The bank is set to next report its financial results on Oct. 29.
    Earlier this month, the Financial Times reported that Elhedery was targeting the bank’s senior management as part of cost-cutting restructuring plans that could save as much as $300 million.
    Amid the managerial overhaul announced Tuesday, HSBC said Pam Kaur — currently group chief risk and compliance officer — will assume the CFO post on Jan. 1, taking over from interim Chief Financial Officer Jon Bingham.
    This is the second heavyweight leadership shakeup for HSBC in recent months, after former finance boss Georges Elhedery was named CEO of the group back in July. More

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    Lucid CEO says Wall Street misinterpreted $1.75 billion capital raise

    Lucid Group announced a public offering last week to raise roughly $1.75 billion.
    CEO Peter Rawlinson said the raise was a timely, strategic business decision to ensure the EV maker has enough capital for its ongoing operations and growth plans.
    He told CNBC that investors should have expected the move, saying it was “misinterpreted and misreported” after the company’s stock fell.

    Lucid Motors CEO Peter Rawlinson poses at the Nasdaq MarketSite as Lucid Motors (Nasdaq: LCID) begins trading on the Nasdaq stock exchange after completing its business combination with Churchill Capital Corp IV in New York City, New York, July 26, 2021.
    Andrew Kelly | Reuters

    DETROIT — Investors misinterpreted a public offering on Wednesday by Lucid Group that raised roughly $1.75 billion — and led to the stock’s worst daily performance in nearly three years, CEO Peter Rawlinson told CNBC.
    Rawlinson said the raise, which included a public offering of nearly 262.5 million shares of its common stock, was a timely, strategic business decision to ensure the electric vehicle company has enough capital for its ongoing operations and growth plans. It also should alleviate any potential worries that the company would need to issue a “going concern” disclosure regarding its operations, he said.

    “We’d signaled that we had a cash runway to Q4 next year. As a Nasdaq company, we have to avoid a going concern. And a going concern is issued within 12 months of your financial runway,” Rawlinson said Monday from the company’s newly opened offices in suburban Detroit. “So, it should have been no surprise to anybody.”
    But Wall Street analysts largely took a negative view of the move due to its timing. Several said the raise was unnecessary or came earlier than expected for the company, which had $5.16 billion of total liquidity to end the third quarter. That included more than $4 billion in cash, cash equivalents and investment balances.
    The announced transactions also come two months after Lucid said Saudi Arabia’s Public Investment Fund had agreed to supply the company with $1.5 billion in cash, as the EV maker looks to add new models to its product line.
    “A cap raise was slightly larger and earlier than we had expected,” Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas wrote following the raise being announced Wednesday after markets closed.

    Stock chart icon

    Lucid’s stock

    RBC Capital Markets analyst Tom Narayan shared similar thoughts: “We suspect that investors will wonder why LCID is raising more capital just after it secured the PIF capital in August, and at currently depressed share price levels. We expect Lucid shares to trade sharply lower as a result,” he wrote in an investor note Wednesday night.

    Rawlinson on Monday reiterated that the company would raise capital “opportunistically.” He said the company’s current funds now secure its capital into 2026, ahead of it launching a new midsize platform later that year.
    “This is exactly as expected. It is exactly to the playbook. It should have come as zero surprise to anyone,” he said. “And why did I choose this moment? Because I didn’t want to string it out to the end, because I didn’t have to.”
    Shares of Lucid declined about 18% on Thursday after the announcement — marking the worst daily decline for the company since December 2021.
    Rawlinson said Lucid is currently in a highly capital-intensive investment period as it expands its sole U.S. factory in Arizona; builds a second plant in Saudi Arabia; prepares to launch its second product, an SUV called Gravity; develops its next-generation powertrain; and builds out its retail and service network.
    “Those five categories are the long-term investment for the future that we’re making now,” Rawlinson said. “Have we got to cut costs with every car we’re making? Absolutely.”

    Read more CNBC auto news

    Wednesday’s announcement was made in conjunction with plans for Lucid’s majority stockholder and affiliate of PIF, Ayar Third Investment Co., to purchase more than 374.7 million shares of common stock from Lucid to maintain its roughly 59% ownership of the company.
    Such a transaction is called pro rata, which allows an investor such as PIF to participate in future rounds of financing and retain its ownership stake. It’s something the PIF has routinely done with Lucid.
    Individual investors were likely concerned by share dilution following the action, but Rawlinson said the continued support of the PIF should be viewed as a positive.
    “I think it’s been misinterpreted and misreported,” Rawlinson said. “The norm is to go pro rata. If we didn’t go pro rata, it surely would be a signal that the PIF were losing faith in us.”
    Lucid last week said the public offering was expected to raise about $1.67 billion, with a 30-day option for underwriter BofA Securities to purchase up to nearly 39.37 million additional shares of Lucid’s common stock as well.
    Lucid has reported record deliveries in 2024 of its current model, an all-electric sedan called Air. The company expects to produce 9,000 vehicles this year. Production of its Gravity SUV is expected to start by the end of this year.
    However, Lucid’s sales and financial performance have not scaled as quickly as expected following higher costs, slower-than-expected demand for EVs, and marketing and awareness problems for the company. More

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    Nike renews uniform partnership with NBA, WNBA as NFL opens bidding process to competitors

    Nike will be the exclusive uniform provider for the NBA and WNBA for another 12 years.
    The sneaker giant, which also designs uniforms for the MLB and NFL, has shored up its relationship with one of its most important allies as it struggles with falling sales and looks to hang on to its contract with the NFL.
    Nike’s previous contract with the NBA was reportedly worth $1 billion and its latest contract is “much bigger,” a person familiar with the matter told CNBC.

    The NBA logo is seen outside an NBA store in New York on July 8, 2024.
    Angela Weiss | AFP | Getty Images

    Nike will be the exclusive uniform and apparel provider for the National Basketball Association and Women’s National Basketball Association for another 12 years after they renewed their partnership with the sneaker giant, the leagues announced Monday.
    Under the terms of the deal, Nike will be the leagues’ global outfitting, merchandising, marketing and content partner until 2037. The company will also be in charge of designing and manufacturing uniforms, on-court apparel and fan merchandise.

    Nike’s last deal with the basketball leagues, which kicked off during the 2017-18 NBA season, was reported to be worth $1 billion and marked the first time an apparel partner had its logo on an NBA or WNBA jersey. It is unclear how much Nike’s contract renewal with the leagues is worth, but a source familiar with the deal characterized it as “much bigger” than the previous contract.
    As the largest athletic apparel company in the world, Nike has long been a favorite among professional sports leagues and their athletes. Even so, its contract renewal with the NBA comes at a time when the sneaker giant has had to work harder to maintain its critical partnerships, and new CEO Elliott Hill tries to regain market share lost in recent years.
    Nike is also the official uniform supplier of the National Football League and Major League Baseball, but those relationships have taken a hit as the company faces declining sales and criticism that it has fallen behind on innovation.
    The NFL’s deal with Nike expires after the 2027 season, but the league has opened up the process to other bidders and is already in talks with several companies interested in competing for the agreement, a source told CNBC.
    Nike’s contract with the MLB does not expire until 2029. However, it will have to repair its relationship with the league after it debuted new uniforms earlier this year that led to widespread complaints from players and fans that they were see-through, did not fit right and looked “amateurish,” ESPN reported at the time.

    Despite Nike’s recent stumbles, the NBA told CNBC it has no concerns about continuing its partnership with the apparel company.
    “From our perspective, we have 100% confidence in Nike on a long term global basis,” said Sal LaRocca, the NBA’s president of global partnerships. “They’re endemic to basketball. They’ve been a partner of ours in one form or another for well over 30 years.”
    LaRocca added the partnership has been so strong that the league did not even open the process up to other bidders.
    When asked about the MLB fiasco, LaRocca defended Nike and said those kinds of issues come with the territory.
    “I think any company that is on the edge of innovation and is always looking to push the envelope for improvement may run into some unintended consequences,” said LaRocca.
    Nike has not faced significant criticism for its basketball uniforms. LaRocca said, “you’ll certainly see fresh new products on a regular basis from them.”
    Nike has had a marketing partnership with the NBA since 1992 — and with the WNBA since its 1997 founding — and the brand endorses most of the leagues’ biggest players, including LeBron James, Kevin Durant, Caitlin Clark and Sabrina Ionescu.
    As of Friday’s close, Nike’s stock has fallen about 24% this year and has underperformed both competitors and the S&P 500, which has gained about 23% this year. On Running and Deckers, two companies that have been taking market share from Nike, are up 79% and 43%, respectively.
    Historically, Nike has outperformed the S&P 500 by an average of about 8%.

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    Hizbullah’s sprawling financial empire looks newly vulnerable

    Residents of Beirut are, by now, used to warnings from the Israel Defence Forces ahead of bombing runs. Typically, these instruct locals to stay away from a tower block suspected of harbouring fighters, or perhaps a school said to double as a weapons cache. The warning on October 20th was a little different. It told people to steer clear of branches of al-Qard al-Hassan (AQAH), a bank. More

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    Why abortion access is a personal finance issue, says demographer who studies the effects of unwanted pregnancy

    Diana Greene Foster led The Turnaway Study, a landmark research study on the socioeconomic outcomes for Americans who are “turned away” from abortion.
    Foster, a demographer and professor at the University of California San Francisco, found higher instances of poverty and a greater likelihood of bankruptcies and evictions for women who couldn’t get an abortion.
    Abortion is on the ballot in 10 states. One poll suggests it’s the most important issue for young women on Election Day.

    Arizona residents rally for abortion rights on April 16, 2024 in Phoenix, Arizona.
    Gina Ferazzi | Los Angeles Times | Getty Images

    Abortion is an important issue for many voters, especially young women, heading into the November election.
    Abortion access is about more than politics or health care; it’s also a personal finance issue, said Diana Greene Foster, a demographer who studies the effects of unwanted pregnancies on people’s lives.

    Foster, a professor at the University of California San Francisco, led The Turnaway Study, a landmark research study on the socioeconomic outcomes for Americans who are “turned away” from abortion. The study tracked 1,000 women over a five-year period ending January 2016. The women in the study had all sought abortions at some point before the study commenced; not all received one.
    More from Personal Finance:How to lower health-care costs during open enrollmentOzempic is driving up the cost of your health careWorking moms are still more likely to handle child care
    In November, voters in 10 states — Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Maryland, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada, New York and South Dakota — will choose whether to adopt state ballot measures about abortion access.
    Such ballot measures follow a U.S. Supreme Court decision in 2022 that struck down Roe v. Wade, the ruling that had established a constitutional right to abortion in 1973.
    Nationally, women under age 30 rank abortion as the most important issue to their vote on Election Day, according to the KFF Survey of Women Voters, which polled 649 women from Sept. 12 to Oct. 1. It ranked as the third-most-important issue among women voters of all ages, behind inflation and threats to democracy, according to the poll from KFF, a provider of health policy research.

    Abortion is among the least-important issues for registered Republicans, according to a Pew Research Center poll of 9,720 U.S. adults conducted Aug. 26 to Sept. 2.
    CNBC spoke with Foster about the economics of abortion access and the financial impacts of the end of Roe v. Wade.
    The conversation has been edited and condensed for clarity.

    Low earners most likely to seek an abortion

    Greg Iacurci: Can you describe the population of women who typically seek abortions in the U.S.?
    Diana Greene Foster: One good thing about The Turnaway Study is that our demographics closely resemble national demographics on who gets abortions.
    More than half are already parenting a child. More than half are in their 20s. A small minority are teenagers, even though lots of people think teenagers are the main recipients.
    It’s predominantly people who are low-income. That’s been increasingly the case over time. It’s become disproportionately concentrated among people with the least economic resources.
    GI: Why is that?
    DGF: I think wealthier people have better access to contraceptives, even after the Obamacare-mandated coverage. Not everyone benefits from that. Not all states participate in that.
    [Medical providers] still give contraceptives out. There are 20 states that have laws that say you should be able to get a year’s supply at a time, but almost nowhere is that actually available. The law says you should be able to get it, but you don’t. I led the studies that showed that if you make people go back for resupply every month or three months, as is very commonly done, you’re much more likely to have an unintended pregnancy. The laws have changed, but practice hasn’t changed. Access is not perfect yet.
    Also, some people have abortions who have intended pregnancies because something went wrong with their health, with the fetus’s health, with their life circumstances. So even contraceptives aren’t the ultimate solution.

    Greater likelihood of poverty and evictions

    GI: What are the economic findings of your research?
    DGF: When we follow people over time, we see that people who are denied an abortion are more likely to say that their household income is below the federal poverty line. They’re more likely to say that they don’t have enough money to meet basic living needs like food, housing and transportation.

    Diana Greene Foster
    Courtesy: Diana Greene Foster

    Wanting to provide for the kids you already have is a common reason for abortion. We see that the existing children are more likely to be in poverty and in households where there aren’t enough resources if their mom couldn’t get an abortion.
    [They’re also] more likely to have evictions, have a larger amount of debt if they’re denied an abortion.
    GI: Can we quantify those impacts?
    DGF: For example, six months after seeking an abortion, 61% of those denied an abortion were below the poverty line compared to just under half — 45% — of those who received an abortion. The higher odds of being below the [federal poverty line] persisted through four years.
    And based on credit reports, we find that women who were denied abortions experienced significant increases in the amount of their debt 30 days or more past due, to an average of $1,749.70, a 78% increase relative to their pre-pregnancy [average]. The number of public records, such as bankruptcies, evictions and court judgments, significantly increased for those denied abortions, by 81%.
    GI: Why does this happen?
    DGF: Having a kid is a massive investment. Deciding to parent a child relies on an amount of social support and housing security and access to health care, and our country isn’t at all set up to provide those things for low-income people.

    Why costs are both rising and falling for women

    GI: Your study took place at a time when Roe v. Wade was still the law. That’s no longer the case. How do you expect these economic consequences might be impacted?
    DGF: In The Turnaway Study, people were denied abortions because they were too far along in pregnancy, but now you can be denied an abortion at any point in pregnancy in something like 13 states. So, it potentially affects a much larger group of people.
    But there have been other changes which have to do with resources to help people travel and information about how to order medication abortion pills online. So, it isn’t the case that everyone who wants an abortion is now carrying a pregnancy to term.
    There has been a lot of effort to circumvent state laws, and I think The Turnaway Study really reveals why. People understand their circumstances, and they are very motivated to get care, even when their state tries to ban it.
    GI: What are the financial impacts some women in those states might encounter?
    DGF: I’m actually studying the economic costs of the end of Roe and travel [expense]. Costs went up by $200 for people traveling out of state. People were delayed more than a week.
    Under Roe, people could drive to an abortion clinic or get a ride; [after Roe ended,] they were much more likely to be flying, having to take more modes of transportation. Over half stayed overnight. They traveled an average of 10 hours. That means taking time off work, too. So, it dramatically increased the cost for those who traveled to get an abortion.

    There are people who ordered pills online who are not [included] in the study. For those people, the cost may have gone down, because it’s possible to order pills online for less than $30.
    But you have to know about it, and you have to have an address, and you have to have internet, and it takes a level of knowledge to be able to pull that off. There can be a need for follow-up medical care, so you have to be able to get that. More

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    The next big career track at business schools: Family offices

    Top universities are tapping into the family office boom, with a growing number of programs and courses aimed at training the next generation of family office leaders.
    The University of Chicago Booth School of Business launched the Booth Family Office Initiative, a combination of research programs, courses and summits aimed at current and future family office executives.
    Talent is scarce, and family offices are battling for experienced investors, accountants, lawyers and estate planners.

    The University of Chicago Booth School of Business.
    Courtesy: The University of Chicago Booth School of Business.

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    Top universities are tapping into the family office boom, with a growing number of programs and courses aimed at training the next generation of family office leaders.

    Last week, the University of Chicago Booth School of Business launched the Booth Family Office Initiative, a combination of research programs, courses and summits aimed at current and future family office executives. The initiative includes a council of 50 family office leaders and Booth alumni who will help steer the program.
    “If you think of the family office market, the amount of capital overseen, and the importance of family offices commercially, in investing and philanthropy, the growth has been significant,” said Paul Carbone, co-founder and vice chairman of Pritzker Private Capital and a member of the Family Office Initiative Steering Committee. “The challenges they face have only grown. Here at Booth we have a deep intellectual capital base that can be applied to these questions.”
    The Booth Initiative is part of a surge in family office programs at top universities. Business schools at Harvard, Columbia, Northwestern, Pepperdine and other universities have started offering courses aimed at family offices or family-owned companies.
    Yet the Booth program marks the biggest university bet on family offices in 20 years. In 2004, the Wharton School at the University of Pennsylvania and the CCC Alliance, the family office peer group, teamed up to form the Wharton Global Family Alliance. With research, roundtables, courses, special presentations and workshops, the Wharton Global Family Alliance has become a leading resource for family offices and the broader wealth-management industry.

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    For top universities, family offices offer a rich potential source of research funding and business school students, along with expertise in one of the fastest-growing fields in finance. For family offices, the programs can help train the next generation of family office leaders at a time when talent is scarce and family offices are battling for experienced investors, accountants, lawyers and estate planners.

    The number of family offices has grown to more than 8,000 from about 6,000 in 2019, according to Deloitte. Their assets are expected to top $5.4 trillion by 2030, up from $3.1 trillion today. As more wealthy alumni launch family offices or work for one, they’re becoming an important pipeline of donors and funding. Trust companies, private banks and consulting firms eager for family office clients are also potential sponsors for the programs.

    “It’s a great opportunity for Booth School, the students and the community,” said John C. Heaton, a finance professor at Booth who will start teaching a new MBA course next year called “The Family Office.”
    The core of the Booth and Wharton programs is research. Private banks and wealth management firms already publish a steady stream of family office surveys and analyses. Yet the universities say their research will be more rigorous and objective.
    Booth, for instance, said it’s working with software companies that provide back-office platforms for family offices to get anonymized, aggregated data on their portfolios and investment changes.
    “That’s real data, not filtered opinions about what people are doing,” Heaton said.
    The initiative will decide what to research based on suggestions from its family office council. When Booth asked family offices for research priorities, for instance, the top answer was behavioral economics. Booth is famous for its behavioral economics program, so helping family office professionals navigate the interpersonal relationships with families and their decision-making process will be useful, Carbone said.
    “It was surprising to us that the No. 1 issue wasn’t investing or risk management,” Carbone said. “It was about the human dynamics.”
    Wharton’s research is also driven by questions from family offices. Along with regular research papers, it produces an annual, 100-page “benchmarking study” covering a broad array of topics that’s only available to the participating family offices.
    Raphael “Raffi” Amit, professor of management at the Wharton School who founded and leads the Wharton Global Family Alliance, said one issue he looked at in this year’s benchmark study was the rise of direct deals. While more family offices are bypassing private equity funds to invest directly in private companies, for instance, few have the necessary expertise.
    “Most of these families don’t staff up with private equity professionals,” he said. “Those are professionals who know how to evaluate a transaction, structure a transaction, manage the exit, how to add value. They do club deals. But putting it politely, the jury is still out whether this strategy will actually work.”
    Universities can also offer an increasingly rare experience for family office professionals — non-commercial gatherings. With the majority of family-office conferences becoming overrun by sponsors, salespeople and vendors, family offices are turning to universities to convene more “pure” gatherings of peers.
    Wharton’s annual Family Office Roundtable Forum, a collaboration between Wharton and leading families, has become one of the most coveted events of the year for family offices, limited to 60 or 70 invitations a year. Last year’s roundtable was in Tokyo, while the 2022 meeting was in Zurich.
    “We have a lot of family offices that want to come, but we had to cap it at 76 families,” Amit said. “We want to keep it private and small enough so people are sharing ideas and perspectives. It’s a pure play. There is no commercial agenda.”
    Booth is planning its own Family Office Summit next May. It’s inviting around 200 attendees from families and multifamily offices, including members of its family office council.
    “Families can go to a family office gathering every week if they want to,” Carbone said. “But we’re creating a safe network — no commercial angle and no one selling a product or service.” More