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    UK pay growth steadies, employers see further slowing in 2025

    Human resources data company Brightmine said on Wednesday the expected median pay award in the year ahead was 3%, down from pay awards of 6% in the same period in 2023, reflecting a sharp drop in inflation.It said pay rises held at 4% in the three months to September, the same as in the three months to August although it was lower than a 4.8% increase in the second quarter. “While pay awards are expected to decline in 2025, businesses are continuing to find creative ways to support their workforce, particularly by addressing skills shortages and retaining key talent,” said Sheila Attwood, senior content manager at Brightmine.Wednesday’s figures chimed with Bank of England forecasts of slowing wage growth.The BoE is monitoring the outlook for wages as it considers further interest rate cuts. The central bank is expected to reduce borrowing costs again on Nov. 7 after cutting rates for the first time in more than four years in August.Governor Andrew Bailey earlier this month said that the central bank could move more aggressively to reduce borrowing costs if inflation pressures continued to weaken. But BoE policymaker Megan Greene on Tuesday this week said she still believed the central bank should take a cautious approach due to the risk of longer-term inflation pressures.Official data showed British inflation fell to a three-year low of 1.7% in September while pay grew at its slowest pace in more than two years in the three months to August.Brightmine said the median pay award in the public sector for the year to September stood at 5.5%, the same as in August.The September data was based on 64 pay awards covering 433,000 employees, while the year-ahead forecast was based on views from 289 organisations that represent nearly half a million employees. More

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    ‘Open banking’ rules for consumer data unveiled by US watchdog

    (Reuters) -The top U.S. consumer finance watchdog on Tuesday unveiled long-awaited rules that would make it easier for consumers to switch between financial services providers, a move the agency said was aimed at boosting competition. The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau’s “open banking” rule governs data sharing between fintech firms and traditional banks, allowing consumers to easily transfer their personal data between providers free of charge. Banks, which stand to lose out, were quick to criticize the rule, saying it could jeopardize consumer data security and exceeded the agency’s legal powers, while fintech groups praised it, saying it would promote the safe transfer of consumer data.A pair of U.S. banking groups, the Bank Policy Institute and the Kentucky Bankers Association, filed a lawsuit in U.S. District Court late Tuesday challenging the rule, arguing the regulator overstepped its authority. The groups asked the court to halt the rule from taking effect. CFPB Director Rohit Chopra compared the new rule to regulations that now allow mobile phone users to switch providers while keeping the same number, and said the change should help bring U.S. payments systems more in line with advances in other developed countries.He also said the rule incorporates strong privacy protections and consumer choices.”A company that ingests a consumer’s data can use the data to provide the product or service the consumer asked for, but not for unrelated purposes the consumer doesn’t want,” he said in a speech at a financial technology event held by the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.First proposed a year ago, the new rules were 14 years in the making, having been called for in the 2010 Wall Street reforms enacted following the 2008 financial crisis.According to the CFPB, the rules would also allow consumers to borrow on better terms, for example by allowing lenders to issue loans using data held by other financial institutions, and to make payments directly from their bank accounts rather than by card.Consumers will also be able to revoke access to their data immediately, the CFPB said.Ahead of the announcement, CFPB officials said the agency had made some changes to the version originally proposed in response to concerns from industry and public comment, sparing banks with less than $850 million in assets from having to provide data, for example.Companies will also have more time than originally proposed to come into compliance. Larger financial technology companies will have until 2026, while the smallest will have until 2030.Republican chair of the U.S. House Financial Services Committee Patrick McHenry welcomed the announcement, calling for Congress to codify the new rule’s protections into law.”This is progress for American innovation and consumers but we can’t stop here,” he said in a statement.Data aggregators, such as Plaid and Akoya, which provide connections among banks and financial tech services, and the Financial Technology Association, whose members include aggregators and payments companies like PayPal (NASDAQ:PYPL), praised the rule, saying it would promote the secure transfer of consumer data. But other trade groups said they were not happy.Lindsey Johnson, head of the Consumer Bankers Association, said in a statement the CFPB had “contorted” the congressional statute authorizing the rule to enable “thousands of third parties’ to access consumers’ data.”The American Fintech Council (AFC), on the other hand, complained the consumer data provisions were too restrictive, including by improperly barring the “secondary use” of consumer data for cross-selling services and targeted advertising. More

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    Baker Hughes tops profit estimates on international drilling demand

    The robust activity in several international markets have helped oilfield services companies offset some of the declines in North America. “We remain confident in achieving our full-year EBITDA guidance midpoint,” CEO Lorenzo Simonelli said in a statement.Houston-based Baker Hughes has benefited from several liquefied natural gas projects as energy firms rush to build new LNG producing facilities betting on long-term demand for the super-cooled commodity. Revenue from its industrial and energy technology segment rose 9% to $2.95 billion, from a year earlier. Baker Hughes, which makes power generating turbines, has also inked several contracts for non-LNG projects this year in the Middle East with the likes of Saudi Aramco (TADAWUL:2222).Larger rival SLB last week said natural gas projects in Asia, the Middle East and the North Sea are expected to grow regardless of decisions on oil production curbs by the OPEC+ producers’ alliance. Baker Hughes said revenue in its bigger oilfield services and equipment segment rose 4% in international markets, helped by a 34% growth in Europe and Sub-Saharan Africa.However, the company said that oilfield services revenue declined by 6% in Middle East and Asia, a region which has seen increased drilling demand post-pandemic.North America revenue at the unit fell 9%.Total third-quarter revenue of $6.91 billion missed estimates of $7.22 billion. Baker Hughes posted an adjusted profit of 67 cents per share for the three months ended Sept. 30, compared with the average analyst expectation of 61 cents, according to data compiled by LSEG. More

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    FirstFT: HSBC splits east from west in major overhaul

    Save over 65%$99 for your first yearFT newspaper delivered Monday-Saturday, plus FT Digital Edition delivered to your device Monday-Saturday.What’s included Weekday Print EditionFT WeekendFT Digital EditionGlobal news & analysisExpert opinionSpecial featuresExclusive FT analysis More

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    Morning Bid: U.S. yield spike spooks investors

    (Reuters) – A look at the day ahead in Asian markets. If the prospect of a soft landing for the U.S. economy had boosted investor sentiment and global risk appetite recently, it is giving way to a deepening sense of caution as investors grapple with spiking U.S. bond yields and a stronger dollar.It’s not that yields and the dollar are rising solely on the back of increased optimism about the U.S. growth outlook. Worries about Washington’s huge spending and deficits, and the upcoming U.S. election, are also on the rise.So much so, that the U.S. “term premium” – the extra compensation investors demand for lending to the government over the long term instead of rolling over shorter-term loans – is back. It is the highest in a year.Add to that the ongoing doubt surrounding China’s economic outlook and the effectiveness of Beijing’s raft of support measures, and Asian investors’ glass right now is looking half empty rather than half full.If Wall Street is beginning to feel a little heat from the spike in yields, Asian and emerging markets definitely are. Asian stocks are now down five of the last six sessions.The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield broke above 4.20% on Tuesday for the first time in three months, and the dollar index also climbed to highs last seen on Aug. 2.If it’s rate and yield differentials fueling the dollar’s gains, the path of least resistance is against the ultra-low yielding Japanese yen. The dollar on Tuesday rose above 151.00 yen for the first time in three months, and the yen is back to being the worst-performing main Asian currency this year.The weaker yen isn’t offering much support for Japanese equities, though. Foreigners have been buyers in recent weeks but the Nikkei is at a three-week low, suggesting domestic investors are putting their cash overseas.The Asian calendar on Wednesday is light, with only inflation from Singapore and industrial production figures from Taiwan on deck, leaving investors to focus on global market-moving drivers.They include the BRICS summit in Kazan, Russia, and IMF and World Bank annual meetings in Washington. Investors can expect headlines from several policymakers in Washington to hit the tape on Wednesday, including from European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde, Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey, Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda and Reserve Bank of New Zealand Governor Adrian Orr.The International Monetary Fund on Tuesday published its World Economic Outlook, in which it cut its GDP forecasts for China and Japan. The change in Japan’s outlook, to 0.3% growth from 0.7%, was the biggest downgrade of all major economies, and second only to Mexico’s 0.7 percentage point fall.Here are key developments that could provide more direction to markets on Wednesday:- Singapore inflation (September)- Taiwan industrial production- BOJ Governor Ueda speaks in Washington  More

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    I.M.F. Says Inflation Fight Is Largely Over but Warns of New Threats

    The International Monetary Fund said protectionism and new trade wars could weigh on growth.The global economy has managed to avoid falling into a recession even though the world’s central banks have raised interest rates to their highest levels in years to try to tame rapid inflation, the International Monetary Fund said on Tuesday.But the I.M.F., in a new report, also cautioned that escalating violence in the Middle East and the prospect of a new round of trade wars stemming from political developments in the United States remain significant threats.New economic forecasts released by the fund on Tuesday showed that the global fight against soaring prices has largely been won: Global output is expected to hold steady at 3.2 percent this year and next. Fears of a widespread post-pandemic contraction have been averted, but the fund warned that many countries still face a challenging mix of high debt and sluggish growth.The report was released as finance ministers and central bank governors from around the world convened in Washington for the annual meetings of the I.M.F. and the World Bank. The gathering is taking place two weeks ahead of a presidential election in the United States that could result in a major shift toward protectionism and tariffs if former President Donald J. Trump is elected.Mr. Trump has threatened to impose across-the-board tariffs of as much as 50 percent, most likely setting off retaliation and trade wars. Economists think that could fuel price increases and slow growth, possibly leading to a recession.“Fear of a Trump presidency will loudly reverberate behind the scenes,” said Mark Sobel, a former Treasury official who is now the U.S. chairman of the Official Monetary and Financial Institutions Forum. Mr. Sobel said global policymakers would probably be wondering what another Trump presidency would “mean for the future of multilateralism, international cooperation, U.S.-China stresses and their worldwide ripples, and global trade and finance, among others.”We are having trouble retrieving the article content.Please enable JavaScript in your browser settings.Thank you for your patience while we verify access. If you are in Reader mode please exit and log into your Times account, or subscribe for all of The Times.Thank you for your patience while we verify access.Already a subscriber? Log in.Want all of The Times? Subscribe. More

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    IMF warns of ‘round-tripping’ fears

    Save over 65%$99 for your first yearFT newspaper delivered Monday-Saturday, plus FT Digital Edition delivered to your device Monday-Saturday.What’s included Weekday Print EditionFT WeekendFT Digital EditionGlobal news & analysisExpert opinionSpecial featuresExclusive FT analysis More