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    Why Vietnam risks ending up a big loser from Trump’s tariffs

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    After Flurry of Cabinet Picks, Trump Rethinks Candidates for Treasury Secretary

    President-elect Donald J. Trump is expected to invite the contenders for the role, including Kevin Warsh and Marc Rowan, to Mar-a-Lago this week.President-elect Donald J. Trump is eyeing a new candidate for Treasury Secretary amid internal debate over who should have the role: the former Federal Reserve governor Kevin Warsh.Mr. Trump is also considering the Wall Street billionaire Marc Rowan.Mr. Trump had been expected to pick either Howard Lutnick, the chief executive of the Wall Street firm Cantor Fitzgerald, or Scott Bessent, the founder of the investment firm Key Square Capital Management and a former money manager for George Soros. And he had been seen as likely to make the selection late last week.But he has been having second thoughts about the top two candidates, and has slowed down his selection process. He is expected to invite the contenders to interview with him this week at Mar-a-Lago.Mr. Lutnick, who has been running Mr. Trump’s transition operation, has gotten on Mr. Trump’s nerves lately. Mr. Trump has privately expressed frustration that Mr. Lutnick has been hanging around him too much and that he has been manipulating the transition process for his own ends. A person familiar with the process, who spoke on condition of anonymity, described the battle between Mr. Lutnick and Mr. Bessent as a knife fight, with Mr. Lutnick as the primary aggressor.Mr. Bessent is said to still be under consideration, and has also been raised by people in Mr. Trump’s economic circles as a possible contender to lead the White House’s National Economic Council. Elon Musk, a close adviser to the president-elect, on Sunday called Mr. Bessent a “business-as-usual” choice for Treasury secretary in a post on his social media platform, X, while throwing his support behind Mr. Lutnick.Mr. Trump and Mr. Lutnick met on Sunday, and it wasn’t immediately clear what came of the discussion, according to two people briefed on the matter, who spoke on condition of anonymity to discuss personnel matters. Mr. Bessent has also met with Mr. Trump. The other two — as well as any other new names that emerge — are likely to be asked to meet with Mr. Trump this week, according to one of the people briefed on the matter.We are having trouble retrieving the article content.Please enable JavaScript in your browser settings.Thank you for your patience while we verify access. If you are in Reader mode please exit and log into your Times account, or subscribe for all of The Times.Thank you for your patience while we verify access.Already a subscriber? Log in.Want all of The Times? Subscribe. More

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    Keir Starmer to hold talks with Xi Jinping

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    Morning Bid: EM conditions tighten, outflows heighten

    (Reuters) – A look at the day ahead in Asian markets. Asian markets could be in for a rocky ride on Monday, as rising U.S. bond yields, a surging dollar and a wobble on Wall Street on Friday call into question the wisdom of buying local assets.Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s comments on Thursday – that the central bank is in no rush to lower interest rates – continue to reverberate around world markets.The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield on Friday hit 4.50% for the first time in over five months, and Wall Street fell. The Nasdaq lost more than 2% and has fallen four days in a row – the last time it did that was in April.The MSCI World equity index has also fallen four days in a row, its longest losing streak since the first week of September, while the MSCI Asia ex-Japan index lost 4.35%, its biggest weekly decline since June, 2022.If that wasn’t enough for emerging market investors, they are having to grapple with an extraordinary rally in the U.S. dollar. The dollar index last week leapt 1.6%, hit its highest in over a year, and recorded a seventh weekly rise in a row. It is no doubt due for a correction, but momentum is strong and it looks like it will take some bravery and conviction to stand in its way right now. Goldman Sachs’s emerging market financial conditions index last week spiked to a three and a half month high. Against that potent mix of strong U.S. economic data, yields and dollar, it’s no surprise emerging markets are struggling. Citing EPFR Global data, strategists at Barclays (LON:BARC) note that emerging market funds have now posted outflows five weeks in a row, with bond fund outflows particularly strong.Asia’s calendar on Monday is fairly light, with the main highlights likely to be New Zealand producer prices, Singapore non-oil trade figures, Japanese machinery orders, earnings from Mitsubishi UFJ (NYSE:MUFG), and GDP data from Thailand.Economists polled by Reuters expect Thailand’s growth accelerated to a 2.6% annual rate from 2.3% in the April-June period. That would be the fastest pace of growth in one-and-a-half years.The Thai baht has been one of the better-performing Asian currencies against the dollar this year, down only 1.3% year-to-date, and markets are expecting less than 50 basis points of Bank of Thailand easing by the end of next year.Strained U.S.-Sino relations remain in the spotlight, after China’s President Xi Jinping told his U.S. counterpart Joe Biden that the issues of Taiwan, democracy, human rights and rights to development are “red lines” for China and not to be challenged.But Xi also said China is ready to work with the new U.S. administration to “maintain communication, expand cooperation and manage differences.”Here are key developments that could provide more direction to markets on Monday:- Thailand GDP (Q3)- Japan machinery orders (September)- G20 summit in Rio de Janeiro begins More

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    Trump seeks pledge that his Treasury secretary will enact tough tariffs

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    G20 leaders gather in Rio while COP29 delegates seek deal in Baku

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    Philippines launches interest rate swaps market to boost bond liquidity

    The start of IRS transactions follows the recognition by the International Swaps and Derivatives Association of the benchmark – the overnight reference rate (ORR) – which the Bankers Association of the Philippines helped establish. IRS, a fixture of developed fixed-income markets, lets parties manage rate risk or bet on the direction of borrowing costs by exchanging fixed and floating interest rate streams.The ORR, to be based on the central bank’s daily reverse repurchase auctions, is expected to provide a better benchmark for pricing loans, now based on yields from thinly traded government securities.”We are excited for PESO IRS to go live to help boost transactions, create a benchmark yield curve, and deepen our capital markets,” central bank Governor Eli Remolona said in a statement. “A benchmark curve will help banks and other lenders price loans at various maturities.”Sixteen banks have committed to be market makers for the ORR-based IRS, ensuring pricing across maturities from one month to 10 years and enhancing interest rate transparency, the central bank said.Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas also said it was working on adopting global master repurchase agreement contracts that will allow banks to access treasury bonds for repo transactions to boost the government securities repo market. More

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    What to expect from the markets under Trump

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