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    Brazil’s outgoing central bank chief says there is urgency to announce spending cuts

    In an interview published on Thursday by Folha da Sao Paulo, Campos Neto said that the country needs a “positive fiscal shock” that leaves markets with “a perception that the government is making a spending cut that is relevant not only in the short term, but also structurally going forward.”Brazil’s Finance Minister Fernando Haddad said on Wednesday that he is uncertain whether there is enough time to announce a package to contain spending this week.Local fiscal concerns combined with inflationary fears tied to U.S. President-elect Donald Trump’s proposals have led to currency weakening and an increase in long-term interest rates in Brazil.When asked if the central bank might accelerate its monetary tightening pace even more if the new fiscal measures turn out to be less strict than expected, Campos Neto said that there has been no indication in recent communication that policymakers want to promote steeper hikes.”We continue to say that we prefer to have an open guidance and that we will analyze it over time,” he said.The central bank accelerated its monetary tightening with a 50-basis-point interest rate hike last week, pushing rates to 11.25%.Campos Neto’s term as central bank head is coming to an end, and current monetary policy director Gabriel Galipolo will take over as governor in January. More

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    Central Europe to feel impact of any US tariff hit to Germany

    BUDAPEST (Reuters) – If U.S. President-elect Donald Trump delivers on a pledge to hit European imports with tariffs, Hungary will feel the effects “exponentially” because of its German trade links, a top business leader said on Thursday.Germany is expected to be more affected by any U.S. tariffs than other euro area members, Nomura forecasts, which will have a knock on effect on Central Europe given its deep trade ties.These are particular strong in the automotive sector, with the region sending 20% to 30% of its exports to Germany.The U.S. election result has raised new risks for Europe’s largest economy, whose stagnation has dented recovery prospects in export-reliant central Europe, said Andras Savos, President of the German-Hungarian Chamber of Industry and Commerce.”If the President-elect delivers on what he and the people around him have promised and the U.S. clams up completely and pursues the flagged policies, that will deal another blow to the German economy,” Savos told a media briefing.”If the German economy is struck, this will affect us (Hungary) exponentially,” he said, adding that planned investments in Hungary were in an “astonishing” nosedive.Economists at ING said central Europe was “fully exposed” to the ramifications of the planned overhaul of U.S. trade policy despite relatively lower direct ties.”The main exposure is through the trade link with Germany and the focus on automotive, which seems like the worst combination as we look to the future,” ING said.”We believe that market expectations for a recovery next year in the CEE region are overly optimistic, and we will see further downside surprises.”German auto exports to the U.S. were worth 23.41 billion euros in 2023, compared with car exports worth 18.92 billion euros to Germany from Poland, Romania, the Czech Republic, Slovakia and Hungary, Eurostat figures showed.Eurostat and UN Trade and Development (UNCTAD) could not provide a breakdown on the share of cars and car parts exported to the United States from central Europe through Germany. More

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    FirstFT: Republicans complete Congress sweep

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    How vulnerable is the UK to Trumponomics?

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    How markets might be wrong about Trump

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    Why the EU’s biometric border won’t come before spring 2025

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    We don’t need the US to fight climate change

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    Germany tells its ports to reject Russian gas cargoes

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