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    European Central Bank holds rates steady as economy shows resilience

    Top ECB board members told CNBC this month that the easing cycle is close to, or at its end.
    Preliminary euro zone growth data out earlier Thursday showed the euro zone economy had grown 0.2% in the third quarter, more than expected.
    Euro zone inflation inched up to 2.2% in September, up from 2% the previous month.

    The European Central Bank has kept interest rates on hold, as expected, at its latest meeting on Thursday.
    The central bank held its key deposit facility rate at 2% for the third consecutive time, having last cut rates in June. The trim, which coincided with euro zone inflation hitting the ECB’s target rate of 2%, was part of a rate-cutting cycle that has brought rates down from last year’s record high of 4%.

    The ECB said in a statement Thursday that “inflation remains close to the 2% medium-term target and the Governing Council’s assessment of the inflation outlook is broadly unchanged.””The economy has continued to grow despite the challenging global environment. The robust labour market, solid private sector balance sheets and the Governing Council’s past interest rate cuts remain important sources of resilience,” it said.
    It cautioned, however, that “the outlook is still uncertain, owing particularly to ongoing global trade disputes and geopolitical tensions.”
    While the euro zone inflation rate inched up to 2.2% in September, up from 2% the previous month, the rise was attributed to an increase in services prices and economists had said the central bank was likely to remain cautious about meddling with rates right now.
    Expectations that the ECB would keep rates on hold were reinforced earlier Thursday when preliminary euro zone growth data showed the economy had grown 0.2% in the third quarter, from the previous three month period. The figure was above expectations and showed that economic activity remained resilient, despite prevailing uncertainty over business activity following U.S. trade tariffs.

    A projected illumination marking the 75th anniversary of the Schuman Declaration, on the Grossmarkthalle building at the European Central Bank headquarters in Frankfurt, Germany, on May 9, 2025.
    Alex Kraus/Bloomberg via Getty Images

    The central bank has repeatedly said it will take a meeting-by-meeting and data dependent approach to rate setting, but top ECB board members told CNBC this month that the easing cycle is close to, or at its end.

    Martin Kocher, European Central Bank Governing Council member and governor at Austrian National Bank, said that as long as nothing “drastic” happens, Europe is “OK.”
    “At the moment, I think we’re in a good place. So, there’s no reason to change anything, as long as there are no changes that force us to do something, Kocher said, speaking to CNBC’s Karen Tso at the IMF and World Bank annual meetings in Washington.
    “And if you take the larger picture, yes, the easing cycle is close to an end or at its end, but there’s no reason to pre-commit at that stage.”
    In a separate interview, ECB Governing Council member François Villeroy de Galhau said he recommended “agile pragmatism” when it comes to the path for interest rates, adding: “We are in a good position … but a good position is not a fixed position.”
    A majority of economists polled in mid-October by Reuters said the ECB would hold its deposit rate this year, while 45 of 79 economists polled (57%) saw no change by the end of 2026.
    — CNBC’s Tasmin Lockwood and Leonie Kidd contributed reporting to this story. More

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    Trump cuts fentanyl tariffs on China to 10% as Beijing delays latest rare earth curbs by a year

    U.S. President Donald Trump said he has reached a 1-year agreement with China on rare earth supplies.
    Trump also cut fentanyl-linked tariffs on Beijing by half, taking overall duties on Chinese goods down to 47%.
    The American leader said he will be going to China in April, followed by Xi’s trip to the U.S.
    China’s commerce ministry said U.S. will postpone measures that blacklisted majority-owned subsidiaries of Chinese companies on the U.S. entity list.

    BUSAN, SOUTH KOREA – OCTOBER 30: U.S. President Donald Trump (R) speaks with Chinese President Xi Jinping during a bilateral meeting at Gimhae Air Base on October 30, 2025 in Busan, South Korea.
    Andrew Harnik | Getty Images News

    Beijing on Thursday paused export controls on rare earths, while Washington cut fentanyl-linked tariffs, following a high-stakes meeting between U.S. President Donald Trump and his Chinese counterpart Xi Jinping in South Korea.
    The Chinese export controls, announced on Oct. 9, will be delayed by one year, while the U.S. will similarly postpone implementation of measures announced Sept. 29 that also blacklisted majority-owned subsidiaries of Chinese companies on the U.S. entity list, China’s Ministry of Commerce said.

    Trump told reporters aboard Air Force One as he left South Korea that the meeting with Xi was “amazing” and that “a lot of decisions were made.”
    “Rare earth issue has been settled,” Trump said, adding that it was a 1-year agreement that will be negotiated every year.
    However, Beijing’s rare earths restrictions announced in early April still remain in place.
    “China’s leverage in rare earths and critical minerals processing will continue to surface episodically, effectively capping any escalation in bilateral tensions,” Louise Loo, head of Asia economics at Oxford Economics, said in a note Thursday.
    Chinese companies control the majority of the global supply chain for rare earths, which are critical for producing a range of products from semiconductors to missiles. Beijing has ramped up restrictions on exports of critical minerals over the last two years, with a particular focus on limiting their use for military purposes by other countries.

    Global stocks were lower and gold prices rose 1.2% as investors assessed the ramifications of the trade truce, which comes after several months of economic confrontation.
    The apparent reset in Washington and Beijing’s fragile relationship has been framed as a political victory by the Trump administration, even as China appears to have largely returned to conditions set under the Biden administration.

    Fentanyl, soybeans, chips

    The fentanyl-linked tariffs on Beijing will be lowered to 10% from 20%, effective immediately, Trump said, bringing down the levy on Chinese exports to 47% from 57%.
    In return, Beijing will “work very hard to stop fentanyl” and resume purchases of American soybeans and other agricultural products.
    China’s commerce ministry said the two countries reached a consensus on cooperating on fentanyl and agricultural products trade, while noting that China will work with the U.S. to resolve TikTok-related issues.
    Soybean futures on the Chicago exchange were down 1.6%, while China’s CSI Rare Earths Industry Index was up more than 2%, according to LSEG data.
    Tit-for-tat fees on Chinese and U.S.-made ships docking at each countries’ ports will be delayed for a year, according to the Chinese commerce ministry.
    On the sale of Nvidia’s chips to China, Trump said the two sides had discussed “a lot of chips” but not the most advanced Blackwell chips. “They are going to be talking to Nvidia and others about taking chips,” he said.
    Taiwan was not part of the discussion, Trump said.
    The U.S. decision to cut fentanyl-related tariffs to 10% addresses “a key Chinese grievance,” said Han Shen Lin, China director at advisory firm The Asia Group, showing that “Beijing’s efforts to curb exports of fentanyl precursors, long unrecognized by Washington, are finally being acknowledged.”
    Trump said he will be going to China in April, followed by Xi’s trip to the U.S., without specifying a timeline for his Chinese counterpart.
    The results of the meeting, announced by Trump so far, are “exceeding expectations,” in part thanks to the two leaders’ personal diplomacy that was strong enough not only to halt the escalation but to deliver results that seemed unthinkable, said Alfredo Montufar-Helu, managing director at Ankura Consulting’s GreenPoint Business.
    That said, frictions will not go away entirely as several bilateral issues core to the U.S.-China rivalry remain outstanding, he added.
    It was the first time that Trump and Xi met in six years and the summit lasted one hour and 40 minutes.

    In a statement published by Chinese state media Xinhua after the meeting, Xi called for “dialogue over confrontation,” urging that both sides should maintain regular working-level communication. That’s according to CNBC’s translation of the Chinese statement.
    Both sides agreed to strengthen collaboration on trade, energy and economic issues, and to facilitate cultural and people-to-people exchanges, the statement read.
    While the trade truce is “welcome news,” any indication of addressing underlying structural matters of concern is missing — such as China’s industrial excess capacity and non-market economy practices — said Wendy Cutler, senior vice president at Asia Society Policy Institute.
    That means that the truce is “fragile and tensions are certain to heat up again,” Cutler added.

    ‘Partners and friends’

    Before the meeting, the two leaders struck a conciliatory tone, with Trump calling Xi “an old friend” with whom he has a “very good relationship,” and Xi stressing that China’s economic growth ambitions would not undermine Trump’s vision to “Make America Great Again.”
    Tensions between the world’s two economic superpowers have been on a boil this year. The latest escalation came this month, with Beijing  export controls and Washington threatening to ban software-powered exports to China. 
    The U.S. had in recent days shared details about deals they hoped to achieve with China – from restricting the flow of fentanyl to the U.S. to TikTok’s divestiture from its Beijing-based parent ByteDance. Tariffs, tech curbs and rare earths were also on the table for discussion.
    Beijing had been more circumspect about the prospects of an agreement, but in a possible sign of thawing relationship, China bought its first cargoes of U.S. soybeans in several months, Reuters reported Wednesday. 
    Heading into the meeting, Xi shook hands with Trump at the photo-op at Gimhae Air Base in Busan, urging that Washington and Beijing be “friends and partners” in his opening remarks.
    Sitting across the table from Trump, the Chinese leader said it was a “great pleasure” to meet the U.S. president for the sixth time, adding that it was only “normal” for the two economic superpowers to have “frictions now and then.”
    “China’s development goes hand in hand with your vision to Make America Great Again,” Xi said, according to a readout by the Chinese foreign ministry.
    That conciliatory tone marked a notable shift from Xi’s meeting with the former U.S. President Joe Biden late last year, during which the speech highlighted more “inevitable competition” between the two countries, said Yue Su, principal economist at the Economist Intelligence Unit.
    While the agreement still lacks a “strong structural foundation” and could easily be reversed, both sides are likely to stick with it in the near term to signal goodwill, Su added.
    — CNBC’s Sam Meredith contributed to this report. More

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    US and China agree one-year trade truce after Trump-Xi talks

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    The four horsemen of Europe’s tech dependency

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    Eurozone economy expands 0.2% in third quarter

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    What’s the market pricing for US inflation?

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    China’s auto funding blitz and a US rush for rare earths

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