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    Top Wall Street analysts are optimistic on the outlook for these 3 stocks

    A shopper carries Burlington bags in New York, US, on Monday, Nov. 20, 2023. Burlington Stores Inc. is scheduled to release earnings figures on November 21.
    Stephanie Keith | Bloomberg | Getty Images

    The debate around when the Federal Reserve will start to lower interest rates continues to influence market sentiment. Investors are interpreting important macroeconomic data, including jobs market reports, to decipher the current state of the U.S. economy.  
    At the same time, Wall Street analysts continue to focus on picking individual stocks that can thrive even in the face of short-term pressures and deliver attractive, long-term returns.

    Here are three stocks favored by the Street’s top pros, according to TipRanks, a platform that ranks analysts based on their past performance.
    Burlington Stores
    Off-price retailer Burlington Stores (BURL) is this week’s first pick. The company impressed investors with its upbeat results for the first quarter of fiscal 2024 (ended May 4) and raised its profit margin and earnings outlook for the full year.
    In reaction to the Q1 results, Jefferies analyst Corey Tarlowe reaffirmed a buy rating on BURL and increased the price target to $275 from $260. The analyst is confident about the retailer’s ability to deliver robust comparable sales growth.
    Tarlowe noted that the expansion in Burlington Stores’ gross and operating margins helped drive better-than-expected earnings in the first quarter. The analyst also highlighted the New Jersey-based company’s well-managed inventory levels.
    “BURL is the smallest and least-profitable of the major off-price retailers, and we believe that it has a significant top-line and margin runway ahead that is not yet fully factored into estimates,” said Tarlowe.

    Tarlowe expects BURL to gain from customers’ migration to off-price retailers from department stores, which were hit hard by the Covid pandemic. The retailer operated 1,021 stores as of the end of Q1 fiscal 2024 and plans to open about 100 new stores this year. The analyst expects BURL to expand its footprint to 2,000 stores over time. 
    Tarlowe ranks No. 291 among more than 8,800 analysts tracked by TipRanks. His ratings have been successful 67% of the time, with each delivering an average return of 18.9%. (See Burlington Stores Stock Charts on TipRanks) 
    Amazon
    E-commerce and cloud computing company Amazon (AMZN) is also a top pick. The company delivered solid first-quarter earnings despite a challenging macroeconomic backdrop. The company’s bottom line gained from strong revenue growth and cost-cutting measures.
    Recently, Tigress Financial analyst Ivan Feinseth reiterated a buy rating on AMZN and increased his price target to $245 from $210, citing generative artificial intelligence-related tailwinds, multi-industry leadership position and impressive brand equity.
    The analyst noted that businesses are increasingly adopting generative AI to boost operating efficiency and enhance competitiveness, driving profits at Amazon Web Services (AWS). He expects AWS to see a continued rise in the number of large language models (LLM) built on its platform, thanks to its “superior operating performance, security, and industry-leading capabilities.”
    Feinseth highlighted Amazon’s other strengths, including continued efforts to expand Prime membership benefits, increase grocery sales, grow its digital advertising business and continue to innovate. Moreover, AMZN’s solid balance sheet and cash flows enable it to make investments in strategic deals and growth initiatives.
    Feinseth ranks No. 242 among more than 8,800 analysts tracked by TipRanks. His ratings have been profitable 60% of the time, with each delivering an average return of 12.2%. (See Amazon Technical Analysis on TipRanks) 
    PagerDuty
    Finally, there’s PagerDuty (PD), a digital operations management platform. The company reported mixed results in the first quarter of fiscal 2025 (ended April 30). Adjusted earnings per share topped analyst expectations, while revenue slightly missed estimates. The company highlighted that it was profitable on a non-GAAP basis for a seventh consecutive quarter.
    Following the Q1 print, RBC Capital analyst Matthew Hedberg reiterated a buy rating on PagerDuty with a price target of $27, saying, “We feel slightly better about the potential for 2H/25 acceleration despite tough macros.”
    The analyst highlighted the 10% growth in the company’s annual recurring revenue (ARR) and an 11% rise in billings. In particular, he noted that ARR growth was steady at 10% for the second consecutive quarter. Management projects ARR growth to accelerate in the second half of Fiscal 2025, given traction in multi-year deals.
    Hedberg thinks that there is better pipeline visibility into the second half of fiscal 2025, backed by momentum in multi-product and multi-quarter deals. He is also encouraged by the opportunities that PagerDuty is seeing in its federal business. Notably, the company secured an Authority to Operate (ATO) from the Department of Veteran Affairs and closed its first seven-figure deal in the public sector.
    Hedberg ranks No. 565 among more than 8,800 analysts tracked by TipRanks. His ratings have been profitable 52% of the time, with each delivering an average return of 9.7%. (See PagerDuty Financial Statements on TipRanks)  More

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    Biden vs. Trump: Here’s what the next president means for your taxes

    The Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017, or TCJA, temporarily reduced taxes for most Americans.
    Many of those tax breaks will expire after 2025 without changes from Congress.
    Former President Donald Trump wants to extend all TCJA provisions, while President Joe Biden aims to extend tax breaks for taxpayers under the $400,000 threshold, which is most Americans.
    However, there are lingering questions about how to pay for TCJA extensions amid the federal budget deficit. 

    Joe Biden and Donald Trump 2024.
    Chip Somodevilla | Alex Wong | Getty Images

    Trillions in expiring tax breaks are at stake this election season — and those sunsets could raise taxes for most Americans after 2025 without extensions from Congress.
    The Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017, or TCJA, temporarily reduced taxes for most Americans with lower federal income brackets, a higher standard deduction and a more generous child tax credit, among other provisions.  

    It’s a key issue for presumptive nominees President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump, who have both addressed the 2025 tax cliff.
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    Trump wants to extend all TCJA provisions, and Biden aims to extend tax breaks for taxpayers whose income is under the $400,000 threshold, which is most Americans.  
    “For 95% of taxpayers, they both want to do the same thing,” said Howard Gleckman, senior fellow at the Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center.

    For 95% of taxpayers, they both want to do the same thing.

    Howard Gleckman
    Senior fellow at the Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center

    Of course, future legislative updates, if any, will depend on which party controls Congress.

    Lower federal income tax brackets

    One expiring TCJA provision is lower federal income tax brackets, which “reduced rates across the board,” said Garrett Watson, senior policy analyst and modeling manager at the Tax Foundation.
    Without an extension, the individual rates will increase after 2025, returning to 10%, 15%, 25%, 28%, 33%, 35% and 39.6%.
    Biden’s fiscal year 2025 budget called for the 39.6% rate to apply to single filers making more than $400,000 and married couples earning above $450,000 per year.

    A related expiration is the higher standard deduction, which sharply reduced the percentage of filers who itemized.
    The percentage of filers claiming the standard deduction jumped to 90% in 2020 from 70% in 2017 before the TCJA, according to the Tax Policy Center.
    If the standard deduction reverted to pre-TCJA levels, more filers could claim itemized tax breaks for charitable gifts, medical expenses, state and local taxes and more.   

    More generous child tax credit

    Another expiring TCJA provision is the bigger child tax credit, which some lawmakers have fought to expand in 2024. The TCJA doubled the maximum child tax credit to $2,000, boosted the refundable portion to $1,400 and expanded eligibility.
    Biden has called for an expansion, but there have been debates in Congress over the child tax credit design, including the amount, eligibility and refundability, said Gleckman.

    Consumers pay for higher tariffs

    One of the few tax policy details released by the Trump campaign has been proposed tariffs, or taxes levied on imported goods from other countries, some of which Biden has also supported.
    “Directionally, they’re the same on tariffs on China,” Gleckman said, noting that Biden maintained some of Trump’s tariffs and unveiled new ones in May.
    Trump wants a 10% universal baseline tariff on all U.S. imports and a levy of 60% or higher on Chinese goods. By comparison, Biden aims for more targeted tariffs.
    However, “all evidence points to consumers paying the additional price” for tariffs, Watson said.

    Funding extensions amid the budget deficit

    As 2025 approaches, there are lingering questions about how to pay for TCJA extensions, particularly amid the federal budget deficit. 
    Fully extending the TCJA tax breaks could add an estimated $4.6 trillion to the deficit over the next decade, according to the Congressional Budget Office.
    Biden’s top economic advisor, Lael Brainard, has called for higher taxes on the ultra-wealthy and corporations to help fund the extensions for middle-class Americans.  

    “Achieving a fairer tax system also means we can’t extend expiring Trump tax cuts for those with incomes above $400,000,” she said during a speech to The Hamilton Project at the Brookings Institution in May.
    While Trump has proposed tariffs, the campaign hasn’t specifically addressed plans to fund TCJA extensions. More

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    These tax strategies can be a ‘silver lining’ after a prolonged job layoff, advisor says

    One “silver lining” of a job layoff can be a temporary lower federal income tax bracket, said certified financial planner Jaime Quinones with Stockade Wealth Management.
    That could offer tax planning opportunities, such as Roth individual retirement account conversions or the 0% capital gains bracket.
    However, you should consider your financial goals and run tax projections for the year first.

    Alvaro Gonzalez | Moment | Getty Images

    Weigh a Roth individual retirement account conversion

    One strategy that’s more attractive in a lower-income year is Roth individual retirement account conversions, which transfer pretax or nondeductible IRA funds to a Roth IRA, according to CFP Catalina Franco‑Cicero, a wealth advisor with Tobias Financial Advisors in Plantation, Florida. 
    “It’s not a free lunch” because you’ll still owe regular income taxes on the converted balance, she said. But your bill could be lower in a smaller tax bracket.

    Converting funds to a Roth IRA “can be a great opportunity for tax-free growth and future tax-free distributions,” Franco‑Cicero said.
    Of course, you don’t have to decide on the strategy immediately. You can wait until the end of the year approaches, she said. That way, you’ll have a better gauge of your projected income for 2024, she said.

    Leverage the 0% capital gains bracket

    If your income is low enough, you could leverage the 0% long-term capital gains tax bracket to rebalance a taxable portfolio or save on future taxes, experts say.
    For 2024, you may qualify for the 0% long-term capital gains rate with taxable income of $47,025 or less for single filers and $94,050 or less for married couples filing jointly.

    “The 0% bracket is actually pretty wide,” especially for married couples, Quinones said. “You could be six-figure earners and still fall into the 0% bracket.”
    That’s because the bracket is based on taxable income, which is calculated by subtracting the greater of the standard or itemized deductions from your adjusted gross income.

    One of the perks of the 0% bracket is a chance to reset an asset’s purchase price, or “basis,” by selling the asset and immediately repurchasing it. By resetting the basis, you can save on future capital gains, experts say.
    However, you should run projections of your 2024 taxable income before harvesting gains.
    You also need to consider long-term plans for the asset.
    The strategy wouldn’t make sense for taxable assets you’re planning to leave to heirs because the assets will automatically get a stepped-up basis when you pass, Quinones explained.

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    Student loan bills may soon see ‘a dramatic drop,’ expert says. Here’s what to know about the change

    A feature of the Biden administration’s new income-driven repayment plan that will reduce millions of borrowers monthly payments kicks in on July 1.
    Someone earning $125,000 will see their bill fall to $380 a month from $853, according to one analysis.
    Here’s what else to know about the upcoming change.

    Maca And Naca | E+ | Getty Images

    Your student loan bill may get smaller next month.
    Here’s why: A feature of the Biden administration’s latest income-driven repayment plan that will reduce millions of borrowers’ monthly payments kicks in on July 1.

    For some borrowers, “it’s a dramatic drop,” said higher education expert Mark Kantrowitz.
    Last summer, President Joe Biden rolled out the new program, called the Saving on a Valuable Education, or SAVE, plan, describing it as “the most affordable student loan plan ever.” So far, around 8 million borrowers have signed up for SAVE, according to the White House.
    Under IDR plans, borrowers pay a share of their discretionary income each month and receive forgiveness after a set period, typically 20 years or 25 years. SAVE replaced the U.S. Department of Education’s former REPAYE option, or Revised Pay As You Earn plan.

    Some enrollees have already benefited from reduced bills because the SAVE plan increases a borrower’s income exempted from their payment calculation to 225% of the poverty line, up from 150% under REPAYE. As a result, single borrowers earning less than $33,900 or a family of four making less than $70,200 who are enrolled have seen their monthly bill fall to $0.
    But the most generous provision of the program that will soon go into effect slashes the share of discretionary income borrowers have to pay toward their undergraduate student debt each month to 5% from 10%. (Parts of the plan went into effect at different times due to complicated rules around regulatory changes.)

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    A person making roughly $50,000 a year with a previous student loan payment under REPAYE of around $228 will now have a monthly bill of $67, according to a calculation from Kantrowitz.
    Meanwhile, someone earning $125,000 will see their bill fall to $380 from $853, he said.
    (Under IDR plans, a borrowers’ monthly payment isn’t impacted by their loan balance, just the details of their plan and income.)

    Reduced bill should be automatic

    As long as you’re already enrolled in the SAVE plan, you should see the decrease automatically reflected in your July bill, Kantrowitz said.
    Borrowers who have both undergraduate and graduate student loans will pay a weighted average of between 5% and 10% of their income, the Education Department says.

    To qualify for a lower payment under the SAVE plan, your total debt will generally need to be greater than a third of your annual income, Kantrowitz said. Borrowers can apply for the program at Studentaid.gov.
    Some borrowers, including those who borrowed $12,000 or less, will receive loan forgiveness in as few as 10 years under the plan. Any payments that have already been made under an existing IDR plan or the standard repayment plan will count toward the borrower’s timeline to relief.

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    36% of Americans think real estate is the best long-term investment. Here’s the easiest way to get started

    About 36% of surveyed Americans ranked real estate as the top long-term investment above stocks or mutual funds (22%), gold (18%) and savings accounts or certificates of deposits (13%), according to a recent study by Gallup, a global analytics and advisory firm. 
    Real estate investment trusts can be a great way to start as they have a “low barrier to entry,” said Stacy Francis, a certified financial planner and president and CEO of Francis Financial in New York City.
    An REIT is a publicly traded company that invests in different types of income-producing residential or commercial real estate.

    Some Americans believe real estate is the best long-term investment. If you are among them, real estate investment trusts, or REITs, might be the easiest way to tap the market. 
    About 36% of surveyed Americans ranked real estate as the top long-term investment, more than cited stocks or mutual funds (22%), gold (18%) and savings accounts or certificates of deposits (13%), according to a recent survey by Gallup, a global analytics and advisory firm. 

    Fewer of the surveyed adults believe bonds and cryptocurrency are good investments for the long haul, at 4% and 3%, respectively, the report found.
    The firm polled 1,001 U.S. adults through telephone interviews from April 1-22. 
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    For those people who see long-term investment potential in real estate, REITs can be a great way to start as they have a “low barrier to entry,” said Stacy Francis, a certified financial planner and president and CEO of Francis Financial in New York City.
    An REIT is a publicly traded company that invests in different types of income-producing residential or commercial real estate. In many cases, you can buy shares of publicly traded REITs like you would a stock, or shares of a REIT mutual fund or exchange-traded fund. REIT investors typically make money through dividend payments.

    Some, “you can invest in for as little as $25,” said Francis, a CNBC Financial Advisor Council member.

    ‘No one gets super emotional about stocks’

    Real estate is a popular investment option among some Americans because it can evoke emotion and feeling, unlike stocks and bonds, Francis said.
    “No one gets super emotional about stocks,” she said. “But individuals definitely get emotional about real estate.” 
    Some people see it as a legacy to give to their children.
    “Instead of giving them a portfolio of stocks, I want to give them a house that is physical and they can use,” Francis said as an example.
    But buying a property and becoming a landlord takes a significant investment of money and time, more so than other kinds of portfolio assets.
    “It’s not easy being a landlord,” said CFP Kashif Ahmed, president of American Private Wealth in Bedford, Massachusetts. “There’s far more to it than just getting a monthly check.”
    Once you buy a property and turn it into an investment, you have to manage the property, properly insure it and be able to service it.
    Whether you do this yourself or have someone on your behalf take care of the property, it can cost money, Ahmed explained.

    REITs can also offer opportunities for diversification. Depending on the company, you are exposed to hundreds or even thousands of different properties or regions, experts say.
    You can also invest in different kinds of real estate properties, such as shopping malls, warehouses and office buildings. However, if you invest in a region or sector that experiences devaluations, that price decline will be reflected in your portfolio.
    “If there’s a REIT and it’s investing in shopping malls across the country, and shopping malls are not doing well … you’re going to feel that,” Francis said. “You’re not going to be protected.”

    How much real estate should be in your portfolio

    D3sign | Moment | Getty Images

    If you truly want to tap into the real estate market as a long-term investment, “really research on these funds,” Francis explained.
    REITs should also contribute to the diversification of your portfolio, “they shouldn’t be all of it,” said Francis. Some advisors recommend REITs should take up no more than 25% of your portfolio, she said.
    Be wary about how the REIT will affect your tax situation. REITs often pay out 90% or more of the profits in the form of dividends, which can be subject to ordinary income taxes, experts say.
    “It’s as if those dividends came to you and your paycheck at work,” Francis said.
    If you don’t need the additional income, try adding the REIT in a tax-sheltered account, such as an individual retirement account, Ahmed said.
    “Asset location matters,” he added.

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    Mega backdoor Roth conversions can boost tax-free growth — if you avoid these mistakes

    Higher earners can significantly boost tax-free retirement savings with mega backdoor Roth conversions.
    A mega backdoor Roth conversion involves after-tax 401(k) plan contributions, which are shifted to Roth accounts for future tax-free growth.
    However, there are some common mistakes, according to financial advisors.

    Jamie Grill | Getty Images

    Mega backdoor Roth conversions can significantly boost tax-free retirement savings — but this maneuver is not available for all investors and mistakes are common, experts say.
    When investors make too much to save directly to a Roth individual retirement account, backdoor strategies can bypass the IRS income limits. A mega backdoor Roth conversion involves after-tax 401(k) contributions, which are shifted to Roth accounts.  

    It is more generous than regular backdoor Roth conversions because after-tax contributions can exceed the yearly 401(k) deferral limit, which is $23,000 for investors under age 50. The full 401(k) limit is $69,000 for 2024, including employee deferrals, employer matches, profit sharing and other deposits.
    Mega backdoor Roth conversions are “a great tool when used appropriately,” but you need to know your goals first, said certified financial planner Jamie Clark, founder of Ruby Pebble Financial Planning in Seattle.
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    Here are some common mega backdoor Roth conversion mistakes and how to avoid them, according to experts. 

    Failing to plan for shorter-term financial goals

    While mega backdoor Roth conversions can be appealing, some workers focus on the strategy before they have enough cash reserves or brokerage account assets for shorter-term financial goals, Clark said.

    Rather than making after-tax 401(k) contributions, you may need the funds to boost your emergency savings, buy a home, pay for a wedding, take a vacation or other priorities.

    Missing out on ‘free money’

    Before making after-tax 401(k) contributions, you need to consider the full plan limit and other deposits that may still come from your employer, experts say.
    For example, many plans have a “true-up” feature, which deposits the rest of your employer match if you max out the plan early. You also could receive a bonus or profit sharing.

    You always want to be aware of how much money your company is putting into your 401(k).

    Tommy Lucas
    Financial advisor at Moisand Fitzgerald Tamayo

    “You always want to be aware of how much money your company is putting into your 401(k),” said Tommy Lucas, a CFP and enrolled agent at Moisand Fitzgerald Tamayo in Orlando, Florida.
    For 2024, higher earners could hit the $69,000 plan limit with employee deferrals and after-tax 401(k) deposits. Without leaving space for the true-up or employer profit sharing, “you’re just missing out on free money,” he said.

    Infrequently converting after-tax 401(k) contributions

    Ideally, you want to convert after-tax 401(k) contributions to a Roth account before there is time for the deposits to grow. Otherwise, you will owe taxes on the earnings at the conversion.
    However, “the mechanism for conversion can differ from company to company and plan to plan,” explained CFP Dan Galli, owner of Daniel J. Galli & Associates in Norwell, Massachusetts.
    Before starting after-tax 401(k) contributions, you need to fully understand the process for converting the funds to a Roth account, he added.

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    Here’s what new college graduates need to know about their federal student loan payments

    College graduates who recently received their diplomas may be dreading the next milestone: the start of their federal student loan payments.
    Here’s what borrowers should know.

    Andresr | E+ | Getty Images

    College graduates who recently received their diplomas may be dreading the next milestone: the start of their federal student loan payments.
    Each year, roughly 2 million people in the U.S. are awarded a bachelor’s degree, according to an analysis by higher education expert Mark Kantrowitz. Roughly 60%, or 1.2 million of those students, will also have student debt, he said.

    Here’s what new college graduates should know about the loan bills.

    Bill likely won’t be due for six months

    In most cases, you likely won’t have to make your first student loan payment until six months after you graduate, thanks to the federal government’s grace period, Kantrowitz said. Those with federal Perkins Loans can get up to nine months, he added.
    If your loans are subsidized, the government will pay the interest on your loans during that period, Kantrowitz said. Meanwhile, interest will accrue on unsubsidized loans.
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    Some borrowers may miss their first payment due date after the grace period, Kantrowitz said. To avoid that, he recommends putting a reminder in your calendar for about two weeks before repayment starts.

    Some people may want to sign up for automatic payments with their student loan servicer, which can lead to a small reduction of your interest rate in addition to reassurance that you won’t get dinged with a late payment. Before you do so, just make sure your monthly bill calculated by your lender is correct.

    You’ll have options if you’re worried

    “The best way to reduce stress about student debt is to educate yourself as to how the loans work,” said Betsy Mayotte, president of The Institute of Student Loan Advisors, a nonprofit that helps borrowers navigate repayment.
    Fortunately, the federal government has many options for borrowers worried about being able to afford their bill. Its income-driven repayment, or IDR, plans, for example, cap your monthly payment at a share of your discretionary income.
    The Biden administration recently introduced a new IDR plan under which borrowers need to pay just 5% of their earnings after calculated expenses. That option is the Saving on a Valuable Education, or SAVE, plan.

    To determine how much your monthly bill would be under different plans, use one of the calculators at Studentaid.gov or FreeStudentLoanAdvice.org.
    “Borrowers should choose the repayment plan with the highest monthly payment they can afford,” Kantrowitz said. “This will pay off the debt quicker and reduce the total interest paid over the life of the loan.”

    For those who need to prolong their grace period, there are deferments and forbearances, including ones for those who are unemployed or in an eligible graduate school fellowship. Just keep in mind that during some of these breaks, interest will accrue on your debt and you’ll face larger payments down the line.
    Mayotte, of The Institute of Student Loan Advisors, also recommends that borrowers research whether they’re eligible for any forgiveness programs. The institute’s website, FreeStudentLoanAdvice.org, has a database of such opportunities, she said. More

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    Why a five-day return to office is unlikely, Stanford economist says

    Remote work surged in the early days of the Covid-19 pandemic.
    The trend has staying power. Workers value working from home and companies profit from the arrangement.
    One study found large U.S. firms use remote work as a scapegoat for poor financial performance.

    Justin Paget | Digitalvision | Getty Images

    The work-from-home trend is here to stay.
    Many companies have continued to let employees work remotely for at least some of the workweek — four years on from the early days of the Covid-19 pandemic — due to the win-win nature of the arrangement: Remote work is more profitable for companies and highly valued by employees, according to labor economists.

    While some companies have issued return-to-office mandates, they’re the exception. The five-day, in-office workweek is antiquated for a large share of workers, a relic of the pre-pandemic job market.

    “Remote work is not going away,” said Nick Bloom, an economics professor at Stanford University who studies workplace management practices.
    “In fact, if you look five years out, I think it will be higher than it is now,” he said.

    One of the pandemic’s ‘most enduring legacies’

    Working from home was relatively rare prior to 2020. At that time, less than 10% of paid workdays were from home, according to WFH Research.
    The share swelled to more than 60% as Covid-19 lockdowns pushed people indoors, then gradually decreased as employers called workers back to the office, mostly just a few days a week in so-called hybrid arrangements.

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    However, the number of days worked from home isn’t declining anymore; it has held steady since early 2023 at about 25%, more than triple the pre-Covid rate.
    The rise of remote work “is probably going to be one of the most enduring legacies” of the pandemic-era U.S. labor market, said Nick Bunker, director of North American economic research at job site Indeed.
    The days of full-time in-office work “are gone,” he said.

    Why remote work has stuck

    Martin-dm | E+ | Getty Images

    Of course, about half of all jobs — like those in service, accommodation and retail — can’t be done from home at all, Bloom said.
    Of those that can be worked from home — such as many finance and technology jobs, for example — about 41% are hybrid and 20% are fully remote.
    Remote work is “highly profitable” for companies, which is primarily why the trend has stuck, Bloom said.
    The big upside is it reduces employee turnover rate by about a third. That’s because workers value remote work, so they tend to quit less often, Bloom said.

    Remote work is not going away.

    Nick Bloom
    economics professor at Stanford University

    His research suggests workers value hybrid work about the same as an 8% raise. A return-to-office mandate would require a commensurate pay increase to avoid attrition, he said.
    Companies don’t have to spend as much on hiring, recruitment and training if they lose staff less frequently, he said. One company told Bloom that it costs the firm about $20,000 each time a worker quits.
    Employers can also cut costs via the need for less office space and can broaden their recruitment pool to all geographic areas of the U.S. — potentially to areas where the cost of living is lower and they may be able to pay lower relative wages, Bunker said.

    ‘Firms care about profits, not productivity’

    In addition, hybrid work doesn’t appear to have any negative impact on workers’ productivity, Bloom said.
    Ultimately, “firms care about profits, not productivity,” Bloom said. “What makes money in a capitalist economy tends to stick.”
    About 8% of all online job postings in the U.S. advertised the role as remote or hybrid, according to Indeed data as of May 2024. While down from a pandemic-era peak of around 10% in early 2022, it’s still “far above” the roughly 2% to 2.5% before the pandemic, Bunker said.

    That recent decline is partly attributable to a pullback in job ads among some struggling sectors such as software development that tend to advertise remote roles rather than a broad-based throttling back of remote-work opportunities by employers, Bunker said.
    When people have the chance to work flexibly, 87% of them take the opportunity, according to a 2022 survey by the consulting firm McKinsey.
    “Job seekers really want it,” and employers feel they need to offer the benefit to stay competitive, Bunker said.

    Why some companies are forcing a return to office

    Of course, not all firms allow employees to work from home: About 38% of employees who can do their jobs from home are required to work full-time in the office, according to WFH Research data as of May 2024.
    Such employees tended to be older or work at older companies that were started decades ago, it found.
    Many companies point to downsides to remote work, including a reduced ability to observe and monitor employees and reduced peer mentoring, cited by 45% and 42% of employers, respectively, according to a 2023 ZipRecruiter survey.
    However, a January study from the University of Pittsburgh found that large U.S. companies imposing return-to-office mandates did so in order to “scapegoat” remote work for poor company performance — not because working full-time in the office boosted the firm’s values.
    The study found “significant declines” in worker job satisfaction without a big change in financial performance or firm values.

    But outside of “struggling” companies, it’s rare for employers to force people back to the office full-time. To that point, 90% of professionals and managers in the U.S. now work from home at least one day a week, he said.
    In general, evidence suggests remote work benefits employees, firms and society at large, with advantages such as reducing pollution from commuting and letting parents spend more time with their kids, Bloom said.
    “It’s like a triple win,” he said. “And it’s really hard to think of something [else] that is that beneficial.” More