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    Ozempic is driving up the cost of your health care, whether you can get your hands on it or not

    About 165 million Americans rely on employer-sponsored health insurance, and yet workers may still not get the coverage they want — particularly when it comes to drugs such as Wegovy and Ozempic.
    Currently, less than half of employers cover the expensive weight-loss medications.
    Even those that do cover them have guardrails in place that restrict access.

    About 165 million Americans rely on employer-sponsored health insurance, and yet workers may still not get the coverage they want — particularly when it comes to drugs such as Novo Nordisk’s weight-loss drug Wegovy and diabetes drug Ozempic.
    About 1 in 3 employees are looking for more resources to combat obesity, according to a recent report by consulting firm Gallagher. Glucagon-like peptide-1 treatments such as Wegovy and Ozempic, which mimic hormones produced in the gut to suppress a person’s appetite, are considered game changers on this front.

    These blockbuster weight-loss drugs have skyrocketed in popularity in the U.S. but are still not universally covered — even though “Americans have higher rates of obesity and diabetes and more behavioral health conditions today than ever before,” according to Trilliant Health’s “2024 Trends Shaping the Health Economy” report.
    Cost is a key issue.
    Although research shows that obesity drugs may have significant health benefits beyond shedding unwanted pounds, organizations representing U.S. insurers have said concerns remain about the high price involved in covering those medications, which are nearly $1,350 per month for a single patient. 
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    The price tag for GLP-1 medications, along with the large number of workers who could potentially benefit from using them, are a big driver of higher health-care costs, several studies show. Already, prescription drug costs jumped 8.6% last year, due in part to a surge in the use of GLP-1 drugs, according to a recent report by Mercer.

    “Is that significant? Yes,” said Sunit Patel, Mercer’s U.S. chief health actuary.
    Patients on these medications need to complete months, if not years, of continuous treatment.
    “It becomes a lifelong drug,” said Gary Kushner, chair and president of Kushner & Company, a benefits design and management company. “That’s a pretty expensive commitment.”

    Cost is a key factor in coverage

    Currently, fewer than half — 42% — of companies cover the expensive weight-loss drugs to some extent. Another 27% are considering adding coverage in the year ahead, according to the survey by Mercer.
    Still, “not everyone who wants it can get it,” Patel said.
    On the flip side, 3% of employers have recently removed coverage for these drugs and 10% of companies that currently cover them are considering removing them for 2025.  
    To improve access to weight-loss drugs, many businesses would have to pay even more — and health-care costs are already reaching a post-pandemic high, with employers and employees set to shell out significantly more for coverage in 2025, according to WTW, a consulting firm formerly known as Willis Towers Watson. U.S. employers project their health-care costs will increase by 7.7% in 2025, compared with 6.9% in 2024 and 6.5% in 2023.
    Among employers’ greatest concerns was how to cover increasingly sought-after weight loss drugs, a Kaiser Family Foundation survey also found.
    “Employers face the challenge of integrating these potentially important treatments into their already costly benefit plans,” Gary Claxton, KFF’s vice president said in a press statement.

    Packages of weight loss drugs Wegovy, Ozempic and Mounjaro.
    Picture Alliance | Getty Images

    Access for weight-loss use is an issue

    For now, some employers cover only GLP-1 drugs exclusively for the treatment of diabetes, while others cover certain GLP-1s for weight loss but only if they are approved by the Food and Drug Administration for that use — ruling out Ozempic, which is just FDA-approved for the treatment of Type 2 diabetes.
    “Most employers cover Ozempic for diabetes, they don’t necessarily cover it as an anti-obesity medication,” said Seth Friedman, pharmacy and health plans practice leader at Gallagher.
    That makes it even trickier for employees to navigate whether they can get access to the drug and if it will be covered by their insurance. “They see that it’s covered but they get rejected,” Friedman said.
    A 2023 survey by the International Foundation of Employee Benefit Plans found that 76% of the companies polled provided GLP-1 drug coverage for diabetes, versus only 27% that provided coverage for weight loss — leaving many workers shut out.
    “Obviously, there is demand for them, and it’s not for diabetes, it’s for weight loss,” said Kushner.

    “Looking ahead to 2025, about half of large employers will cover the drugs for weight loss,” said Beth Umland, Mercer’s research director of health and benefits. However, “even when they do, there are guardrails around who can use it.”
    Demand for these treatments is only expected to increase — but the added controls for coverage are also helping to keep costs in check.
    Nearly all employers have some sort of “utilization management” restrictions in place, such as a prior authorization requirement, according to Gallagher’s Friedman.
    For some companies, that may mean workers must try other weight-loss methods first or meet with a dietitian and enroll in a weight-loss management program. Others may require a threshold for body mass index, or BMI, of at least 30, depending on how the plan is set up, Friedman said.
    This information is available during open enrollment, which typically runs through early December. 
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    How a homeowners insurance provision can help with living expenses after a natural disaster

    So-called “loss of use coverage” or “additional living expenses” coverage can help homeowners and renters cover living expenses like temporary housing after a natural disaster.
    “I don’t know of any homeowners policy that doesn’t have it already there,” said Karl Susman, president and principal insurance agent of Susman Insurance Services, Inc. in Los Angeles. 

    Mobile homes surrounded by flood water after Hurricane Milton made landfall, in St. Petersburg, Florida, U.S. October 10, 2024.
    Octavio Jones | Reuters

    If your home is temporarily uninhabitable after a natural disaster, a provision in your homeowners or renters insurance policy may help you with new lodging and other living expenses.
    Insured wind and flood damage from Hurricane Helene is estimated to be up to $17.5 billion, according to CoreLogic, a real estate data site. Insured losses from Hurricane Milton could range from $30 billion to $60 billion, per Morningstar DBRS.

    Homeowners and renters affected by a natural disaster can ask about so-called “loss of use” or “additional living expenses” coverage from their insurance providers, experts say.
    The provision is meant to help cover reasonable living expenses if your home is not suitable to live in as a result of a covered peril such as a hurricane, fire or burst pipe.
    “I don’t know of any homeowners policy that doesn’t have it already there,” said Karl Susman, president and principal insurance agent of Susman Insurance Services, Inc. in Los Angeles. 
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    As you file a claim, it will be important to ask your insurance company about the loss of use coverage and how quickly can it kick in, said Shannon Martin, a licensed insurance agent and analyst at Bankrate.com.

    “If you call your carrier, they might be able to expedite the loss of use claim filing for you and issue a check early so that you’re not stuck trying to figure out how to pay for separate housing,” she said.
    Here’s what the coverage is and what to consider before you use it, according to experts.

    How loss of use coverage works

    Loss of use coverage is a provision that is typically included in your homeowners insurance policy. It’s usually about 20% of the dwelling coverage and is paid out in the event that the home becomes uninhabitable and a policyholder needs funds for living expenses while the home is repaired or rebuilt, experts say. Eligible expenses might include a hotel or rental home, food, pet boarding or storage fees, among others.
    For example, if you’re ensuring a house for $100,000, and that’s what it costs to rebuild the house, that is considered the dwelling coverage, Susman said.
    “Then the policy would automatically come with $20,000 in coverage for loss of use,” he said.

    “That way you and your family can pay for your hotel and pay for food, because you might be separated from your home for an extended period of time,” Martin said.
    Renters insurance typically has a similar provision, as would condominium policies, Susman said.
    For renters and condo insurance, the primary coverage is not dwelling because you’re insuring personal property rather than the building, he said. You’ll typically get 20% of the personal property coverage for loss of use, he said.
    Ask your insurer about any policy restrictions. There may be expense-specific dollar caps or time limits to claim loss of use coverage.

    ‘It’s not intended to be a long-term solution’

    Loss of use coverage can help homeowners cover living expenses after a natural disaster. However, the money is meant to be a short-term solution, not a long-term fix, experts say.
    “It’s generally not intended to be a long-term solution,” said Jeremy Porter, head of climate implications research at First Street Foundation, an organization focused on climate risk financial modeling in New York City. “It’s generally not enough money to carry people through an extended period of time.” 
    That can be a problem because what it would cost to move out would be very different after a major disaster than during more typical times, Susman said, as there’s often less housing available and hotels may raise their prices amid demand.

    While the coverage is meant to be temporary, repairs and broader financial recovery take a long time after major disasters, experts say.
    “It takes a long time to recoup and recover,” said Loretta Worters, a spokeswoman for the Insurance Information Institute.
    Remember you can make a claim on your policy and get assistance from the Federal Emergency Management Agency at the same time, said Susman.
    You might be able to use funds from the government to help you stay in a hotel for a month, then get a place closer to your home and use your loss of use coverage to pay for the difference, Martin said.  More

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    Friday’s big stock stories: What’s likely to move the market in the next trading session

    Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange during morning trading in New York City. 
    Michael M. Santiago | Getty Images

    Stocks @ Night is a daily newsletter delivered after hours, giving you a first look at tomorrow and last look at today. Sign up for free to receive it directly in your inbox.
    Here’s what CNBC TV’s producers were watching as the S&P 500 pulled back from its record, and what’s on the radar for the next session.

    Older big tech

    International Business Machines is up 3% in four days and up 4.6% in five days.
    IBM is up 13.5% in a month.
    The stock’s relative strength index, one of many metrics traders watch, hit 82 on Thursday. A reading above 70 often indicates “overbought.”
    IBM hit a new high Thursday.
    Cisco is up 1.5% in four days and up about 10% in a month.
    Cisco is 1.9% from the 52-week high hit on Oct. 16, 2023.
    Intel is up 2.8% in four days. The stock is up 4.3% in five days and up 22% in a month.
    Intel remains 55% from the Dec. 27 high. 

    Stock chart icon

    IBM shares in 2024

    Humana

    We’ll follow Humana on Friday, as it is down 4% after hours.
    The action came after the government issued data on Medicare Advantage and Part D star ratings, and the results weren’t what the health insurer had hoped for.
    About a year ago, Humana was more than $500 a share. On Thursday, it closed at $251.44.

    The banks start reporting in the morning

    JPMorgan Chase releases quarterly earnings results before the bell. The stock is up 2.4% in the past three months. JPMorgan is 5.6% from the August high.
    Wells Fargo is down 3.3% in three months. The stock is up 7% in a month. It is 7.6% from the May high.
    Bank of New York Mellon is up 22% in the past three months. The stock is up 5% in a week and hit a new high Thursday
    CNBC TV’s Leslie Picker will cover all the big bank earnings in the morning.

    Stock chart icon

    JPMorgan Chase shares in the past three months

    BlackRock

    This financial powerhouse also reports in the morning before the bell.
    The stock up 17.7% in three months. BlackRock is up 8% in a month and hit a new high Thursday.
    CEO Larry Fink will be on CNBC TV in the 9 a.m. hour, Eastern.

    Fastenal

    Industrial company Fastenal reports in the morning, too.
    The stock is up 10% in three months.
    It is 11.5% from the March high.
    The stock is part of the S&P Industrials, which is up 11.4% in three months. The group hit a new high on Wednesday.

    Stock chart icon

    Fastenal shares over the past three months

    Tesla’s Robotaxi

    We’ll get new information on the plan Thursday evening.
    CNBC TV’s Phil LeBeau is watching.
    The stock reaction will come on Friday.
    Tesla is 12% from the July high. The stock is down 4.5% in four days. Year to date, shares are down nearly 4%.

    The CNBC NRF Retail Monitor

    CNBC TV’s Steve Liesman will run through the data Friday morning, showing us what’s going on inside the sector.
    The SPDR S&P Retail ETF (XRT) is up 24% in the last year.  It is 6.5% from the May high.
    In the last three months, Group 1 Automotive is the leader. Shares are up about 26% in that period.
    In second place, there’s eBay. Shares are up around 25% in three months.
    Lithia Motors ranks third, up 24% over the past three months.
    Advance Auto Parts, Dollar General and Dollar Tree are the worst RTX performers in the last three months. In that period, all three are down more than 30%.

    The short list

    The new numbers are out, detailing the most shorted NYSE and Nasdaq stocks. Thanks to CNBC data man Nick Wells.
    Biotech stocks are high on the list, including Cassava Sciences. That name ranks fourth. Cassava is 41% from the August high. The stock is down 8% in four days, but it’s up more than 122% in three months.
    Kohl’s and Guess are also high on the list. Kohl’s is 36.5% from the April high and down 4.2% in four days. Guess is down 43% from the April high. Shares are down 4% in four days. More

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    Here’s why the Social Security COLA is smaller for 2025

    The Social Security Administration announced that a 2.5% cost-of-living adjustment will take effect in 2025 for more than 72.5 million beneficiaries.
    Some argue the measure for those increases doesn’t accurately reflect seniors’ costs.

    Lordhenrivoton | E+ | Getty Images

    The Social Security Administration on Thursday announced that the cost-of-living adjustment will be 2.5% in 2025.
    When that increase goes into effect, it will be the lowest adjustment to benefits that beneficiaries have seen since 2021, when the cost-of-living adjustment, or COLA, was 1.3%.

    The Social Security cost-of-living adjustment was put in place to help benefits keep pace with inflation.
    The COLA is calculated based on a subset of the consumer price index known as the Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers, or CPI-W. The percentage increase in the CPI-W from the third quarter of last year to the third quarter of this year determines the cost-of-living adjustment.
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    As government inflation data shows the pace of inflation has subsided, the size of the annual increase to benefits has come down.
    “It’s better when the number is small, because it means that the inflation experienced by seniors is not as bad as it might have been,” said Charles Blahous, senior research strategist at George Mason University’s Mercatus Center.

    The 2025 adjustment is not the lowest the Social Security COLA has been. In 2016, 2011 and 2010, it was zero, and beneficiaries saw no increase at all in those years.

    Still, for retirees, people with disabilities and other beneficiaries, the lower adjustment for 2025 comes as they continue to grapple with high costs.
    “Before the inflation got so high, we just took lower costs for granted,” said Mary Johnson, an independent Social Security and Medicare policy analyst who is also a Social Security beneficiary. “It really has significantly changed how we have to manage since then.”
    Having a lower cost-of-living adjustment when prices are still high — and when inflation was higher in the earlier part of this year — is going to be a “real sticker shock for some people,” said Shannon Benton, executive director at The Senior Citizens League.

    Experts debate best COLA measurement

    There is a debate among advocates and lawmakers as to whether a different measurement should be used for the cost-of-living adjustment. Such a change would have to be approved by Congress.
    The current annual increase that’s automatic and compounds from year to year is very valuable, said Jenn Jones, vice president for government affairs at senior advocacy group AARP.
    “That makes Social Security really unique and really special and important for older Americans,” Jones said.

    AARP supports a COLA measurement that is accurate and reflective of what older Americans are spending, she said. Another experimental index — the Consumer Price Index for the Elderly, or CPI-E — may better reflect seniors’ spending patterns, the nonpartisan group argues.
    “Whenever Congress chooses to act in a bipartisan way to finally shore up Social Security’s financial future, we do believe that CPI-E should be a part of that discussion,” Jones said.
    After the announcement of the COLA for 2025 on Thursday, other senior advocacy groups also spoke out in favor of switching to the CPI-E, including the National Committee to Preserve Social Security and Medicare, and Social Security Works.

    “The traditional formula (CPI-W) does not fully account for the impact of inflation on the goods and services seniors spend the most money on — especially health care and housing,” Max Richtman, president and CEO of the National Committee to Preserve Social Security and Medicare, said in a statement.
    Not everyone agrees the CPI-E would be the best measure. Because one-third of Social Security beneficiaries are not elderly, it would not make sense to use an index focused on that population, Blahous said. Instead, he said, the chained CPI, which measures changes in consumer spending patterns, would be a better fit.
    Washington lawmakers have proposed bills that would change the way Social Security’s annual cost-of-living adjustment is measured, prompting Social Security Works to declare “Social Security’s COLA is on the ballot” this November in a statement released Thursday. More

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    Social Security Administration announces 2.5% cost-of-living adjustment for 2025

    More than 72.5 million beneficiaries will see a 2.5% increase to their Social Security and Supplemental Security Income benefits in 2025, the Social Security Administration announced on Thursday.
    Social Security retirement benefits will increase about $50 per month on average starting in January.
    The adjustment is the lowest since 2021 as the pace of inflation has subsided.

    Portra | E+ | Getty Images

    More than 72.5 million Americans will see a 2.5% cost-of-living adjustment to benefit payments in 2025, the Social Security Administration announced on Thursday.
    With the change, Social Security retirement benefits will increase by about $50 per month on average starting in January, according to the agency.

    The Social Security Administration first announced the change on Thursday morning via its press office feed on X and confirmed the news to CNBC by phone.
    The Social Security cost-of-living adjustment for 2025 is the lowest annual increase since 2021, when beneficiaries saw a 1.3% increase to benefits. In recent years, COLAs have been larger in response to record high inflation.
    While the cost-of-living adjustment for 2024 was 3.2%, beneficiaries saw the highest increases in four decades in 2023, with an 8.7% increase, and in 2022, with a 5.9% boost to benefits.

    Now that the pace of inflation has come down, the cost-of-living adjustments are more average. Social Security’s annual benefit increases have averaged about 2.6% over the past 20 years, according to the Senior Citizens League, a nonpartisan senior group.
    “The COLA is a vital component of Social Security, ensuring older Americans have an inflation protected source of income in retirement,” AARP CEO Jo Ann Jenkins said in a statement. “This adjustment means older Americans will receive needed relief to help better afford essential items from groceries to gas.”

    Even with this adjustment, many older Americans may find it hard to pay their bills amid persistent higher prices, she said. For about 40% of older Americans, Social Security is their primary source of income, according to the AARP.
    This is a developing story. Please refresh for updates. More

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    33% of homeowners would hire a ‘questionable’ contractor to save money, report finds

    About 33% of surveyed homeowners say they would consider hiring a contractor with a questionable reputation to save money, according to a new report by Clever Real Estate. 
    A questionable contractor is “someone who isn’t exactly honest with the price, may be overestimating their skills, doesn’t do high quality work, or simply doesn’t show up for the project,” said report author Jamie Dunaway-Seale.
    But that decision may come with risks, experts say.

    Visoot Uthairam | Moment | Getty Images

    Home repairs and renovations are expensive. To lower costs, 1 in 3 homeowners are willing to hire a contractor with holes in their resume. 
    About 33% of surveyed homeowners say they’d consider hiring a contractor with a questionable reputation to save money, according to a new report by Clever Real Estate, a housing data site. 

    Generally, homeowners say reputation is the most important factor when hiring a contractor (25%), followed by experience (23%), cost (19%), personal recommendations (13%), availability (11%) and estimated project timeline (10%). Clever polled 1,000 U.S. homeowners mid-August regarding their choices when it comes to renovations. 

    That contractor trade-off might end up being more expensive in the long run, experts say. A questionable contractor is “someone who isn’t exactly honest with the price, may be overestimating their skills, doesn’t do high quality work, or simply doesn’t show up for the project,” said Jamie Dunaway-Seale, author of the Clever report.
    “That’s someone that you want to potentially avoid,” said Angie Hicks, co-founder of Angi, an online contractor marketplace. “I would rather take someone newer to the industry than someone that has a questionable reputation.”
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    The risk of contractor fraud also increases in the aftermath of a natural disaster, said Loretta Worters, a spokeswoman of the Insurance Information Institute.

    “A lot of times, these people swoop in, claim they’re going to do something for you, and they take your money and leave,” Worters said. 
    The Justice Department and the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau issued a warning to consumers on Wednesday about potential fraud, price gouging and collusive schemes after natural disasters.
    “You don’t want to turn a bad situation worse,” Hicks said.
    Here’s what to consider when hiring a contractor.

    Contractor fraud can fester after natural disasters 

    Analysts anticipate that Hurricane Milton could be a “once-in-a-century” storm with the potential to generate record-breaking damage as it makes landfall along Florida’s west coast on Wednesday or early Thursday. 
    As homeowners juggle insurance claims and recovery efforts from back-to-back storm aftermaths, one thing to keep in mind is who to hire as a contractor.
    You “really need to be careful” about contractor fraud, as you could be “victimized twice by the storm and by the fraudulent person,” Worters said. 

    Roofing is one of the more common trades that you would have to hire for after a hurricane, Hicks said. 
    “A roof is something that’s going to last for 20 plus years,” Hicks said. “You want to make sure that you are working with a reputable local company who’s going to stand behind a warranty on that work as well.”
    While it’s a really difficult time, it’s important to do the due diligence and make sure the person you’re hiring is certified, experts say.

    3 ways to vet a contractor before hiring them

    Although most professional contractors are reliable, negative experiences contribute to bad reputations in consumers’ minds, noted Clever in the report.
    “A lot of people do have bad experiences, and it makes it harder for the honest ones” in the field, said Dunaway-Seale.
    While it can be hard to evaluate contractors, there are a few steps you can take to make sure you’re working with a reputable person, according to experts.
    Here are three ways to get started: 
    1. Ask for reviews and references
    “The first thing you want to do is check [the contractor’s] reputation,” said Hicks. 
    If possible, start with professionals who have good reviews: Ask for recommendations from friends and family who had good experiences with a contractor in the past, Dunaway-Seale said. 
    From there, look for online reviews and ask for references, experts say. As you start to get estimates, check with references to see how that firm or professional has handled jobs in the past, Hicks said.
    Asking a contractor if they’d put you in touch with a prior client can be a litmus test, said Dunaway-Seale. 
    “If they’re unwilling to do that, that might be a red flag,” she said. “Maybe they don’t think anyone would recommend them positively.”

    2. Check their credentials
    Check a contractor’s credentials and licensing to understand if they have the necessary experience to tackle the job, said Hicks.
    All professional contractors should be insured and able to show their certificate proving so, according to the National Association of Home Builders. While not all states require licensing, contractors located in states that do require a license should provide a copy, NAHB noted.
    The FTC and CFPB offer resources for consumers on how to avoid scams, prepare and respond to natural disasters, and how to handle your finances in such events.
    “Sometimes the state insurance department will have a list of different contractors on their website as well,” Worters said. 
    3. Watch for warning signs
    Early interactions can give you a sense of how the contractor operates, and help you decide if you feel confident giving them your business.
    “Are they giving you estimates in writing? Are they detailed? Are payments outlined?” Hicks said. 
    It’s really important payments on larger projects are outlined in your estimates and how they will be handled, she said. Typically, upfront payments should not be more than 10 or 20%; you should not be paying a large deposit up front, said Hicks. 
    It’s also a good idea to get two or three estimates because it can tell you if you’re having outliers in your pricing, Hicks said. 
    “If a deal seems too good to be true, it probably is,” she added. More

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    Social Security cost-of-living adjustment for 2025: Here’s how benefits may change

    The Social Security cost-of-living adjustment for 2025 will soon be announced.
    Next year’s benefit increase is expected to be the smallest adjustment since 2021.

    Tomml | E+ | Getty Images

    Social Security beneficiaries will soon know the size of their annual cost-of-living adjustment for 2025.
    They may be in for a disappointment because if current projections hold true, the increase to benefits could be the lowest since 2021.

    The Social Security cost-of-living adjustment, or COLA, could be 2.5% next year, Mary Johnson, an independent Social Security and Medicare analyst, predicted last month.
    With that change, the average retired workers’ benefit of $1,920 would rise by $48 per month, according to Johnson’s calculations.
    The Social Security Administration is expected to announce the COLA for 2025 on Thursday.
    In contrast, Social Security beneficiaries saw a 3.2% increase to benefits this year. In 2023 and 2022, beneficiaries saw the biggest boosts to benefits in four decades, with COLAs of 8.7% and 5.9%, respectively, in response to high inflation.

    Even though the COLA for 2025 is expected to be smaller than previous years, many people are still feeling the residual pain of higher prices, said Joe Elsasser, a certified financial planner and president of Covisum, a Social Security claiming software company. This means their current income may not be enough to cover the cost of everyday goods and services despite a slight increase in benefits.

    “It’s not like prices came back down,” Elsasser said. “It’s just that the rate of increase has slowed, and so that probably contributes to people’s feeling that inflation hasn’t slowed.”
    The Senior Citizens League, a nonpartisan senior group, has also projected a 2.5% COLA for 2025. Alicia Munnell, director of the Center for Retirement Research at Boston College, also recently wrote that the latest available data points to a 2.5% benefit increase next year.
    Social Security COLAs have averaged about 2.6% over the past 20 years, according to the Senior Citizens League.
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    Could the Social Security COLA estimate change?

    The current 2.5% estimate has about a 17% chance of increasing and a 13% chance of decreasing, according to Johnson’s calculations from last month.
    The official Social Security cost-of-living adjustment will factor in one more month of government inflation data when it is announced. That data, the consumer price index, will also be released on Thursday.
    The Social Security COLA is calculated based a subset of the consumer price index known as the Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers, or CPI-W.

    Third-quarter CPI-W data for last year is compared with the third quarter for the current year. The percentage increase from last year to this year determines the COLA.
    While hurricanes can affect the calculations, Johnson said the effects of Hurricane Helene, which made landfall in the evening on Sept. 26, likely happened too late to be factored into September’s data.
    “I don’t think that’s going to affect my forecast,” Johnson said.
    Although gas prices were down last month, it may not be enough of a decline to affect the COLA calculation, she said.

    When will the 2025 COLA go into effect?

    Social Security beneficiaries will see the adjustment for 2025 starting with their January checks.
    But beneficiaries can see how their benefits are affected by the annual adjustment earlier, either by checking their online My Social Security account or via a mailed paper statement from the agency in December.

    Don’t miss these insights from CNBC PRO More

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    As interest rates fall, it’s a ‘fantastic time’ to revisit bonds, advisor says — here’s why

    As the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates, investors should review their bond portfolio, financial experts say.
    Typically, bond prices and market interest rates move in opposite directions, which could boost certain parts of the bond market. 
    Investors may consider corporate and municipal bonds while shifting to longer-duration assets.

    Lucy Lambriex | Stone | Getty Images

    As the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates, investors should review their bond portfolio, which could see a boost from dovish Fed policy.
    The central bank in September kicked off its first easing campaign in four years with a 50 basis point rate cut, which brought its benchmark rate to a range of 4.75% to 5%.

    After a better-than-expected jobs report last week, analysts predict future rate cuts could be smaller.
    However, the Fed policy shift could be good for parts of the bond market, experts say. Typically, bond prices and market interest rates move in opposite directions. 
    “This is a fantastic time to revisit bonds again,” said certified financial planner Scott Ward, senior vice president of Compound Planning in Birmingham, Alabama.
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    In 2022 and 2023, the Fed enacted a series of rate hikes, which led to higher yields on savings, money market funds, certificates of deposit and other options.

    While it may be tempting to cling to cash, it will become “less attractive, less productive as interest rates fall,” Ward said.
    Long-term investors can now “get a lot more return from the safer side of the portfolio” with bonds, he said.
    Here are some options to consider, according to financial advisors.

    Corporate bonds

    In a falling-rate environment, you may consider medium- to longer-term corporate bonds, according to Ted Jenkin, founder and CEO of oXYGen Financial in Atlanta.
    During the third quarter of 2024, the Morningstar US Corporate Bond Index, which measures investment-grade corporate bonds, returned 5.8%, which was higher than the overall bond market at 5.2%.
    Many corporations leveraged rock-bottom interest rates during the pandemic to strengthen balance sheets and refinance debt, said Ward.
    “I think we’ll see corporations emerge from this rate hike cycle in pretty good shape,” he said.

    Municipal bonds

    As investors brace for possible higher future taxes, municipal bonds could become more appealing, particularly among residents in higher-income tax states.
    Muni bond interest is federally tax-free and avoids state levies when you live in the issuing state. Typically, muni bonds have lower default risk than corporate bonds.

    “Longer-term municipal bonds should fare better if the Fed continues to cut interest rates,” said Jenkin, who is also a member of CNBC’s Financial Advisor Council.
    “Municipalities present a couple of excellent qualities for long-term investors,” including the potential for attractive yield combined with a lower risk profile, Ward said.

    Advisors extend bond ‘duration’

    When constructing a bond portfolio, advisors weigh duration, which measures a bond’s sensitivity to interest rate changes. Expressed in years, the duration formula includes the bond’s coupon, time to maturity and yield paid through the term.
    Some advisors began increasing bond duration before the Fed’s first interest cut in September. 
    Jenkin said his firm started shifting to “medium-term duration” bonds, which he defines as five to 10 years, roughly four months before the Fed’s first rate cut.  
    As interest rates fall, those longer-maturity bonds should reward investors, experts say.

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