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    As U.S. hits debt ceiling, here’s what it could mean for Social Security and Medicare

    If debt ceiling negotiations are unsuccessful, the U.S. could default on its debt.
    Here’s why some worry that could result in Social Security and Medicare delays, and proposals for cuts to those programs.

    The clock is ticking for the U.S. to avoid a default on its debt, and some are sounding the alarm about potential disruptions to Social Security and Medicare.
    On Thursday, Jan. 19, the U.S. outstanding debt hit its statutory limit.

    The debt limit or debt ceiling is the total amount of money the U.S. can borrow to meet its legal obligations including Social Security and Medicare benefits, as well as military salaries, tax refunds, interest on the national debt and other payments.
    In a Jan. 13 letter, Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen warned House Speaker Kevin McCarthy, R-Calif., Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer, D-New York, and other congressional leaders of the possible “irreparable harm” that could come to the U.S. economy, Americans’ livelihoods and global financial stability if the problem goes unresolved.
    “I respectfully urge Congress to act promptly to protect the full faith and credit of the United States,” Yellen wrote.

    izusek | E+ | Getty Images

    On Thursday, the U.S. began taking “extraordinary measures” to avoid defaulting on its obligations, Yellen wrote in an updated letter to congressional leaders.
    The Treasury Department cannot provide an estimate of how long the government can expect to pay the government’s obligations through extraordinary measures, according to Yellen. But it is unlikely that cash will be exhausted before early June, she said.

    Negotiations over the federal debt ceiling mark one of the first big challenges the new Congress will face.
    McCarthy has agreed to tie lifting the debt ceiling to spending cuts. That has advocates for Social Security and Medicare worried that lawmakers will try to amend those programs.
    “We’re looking at as early as June for a train wreck on this issue,” said Dan Adcock, director of government relations and policy at the National Committee to Preserve Social Security and Medicare.
    “The consequences are dire, because a default would not only disrupt Social Security and Medicare benefits, but also cause a global economic recession or worse,” he said.

    How benefit payments could be delayed

    If the U.S. were to default on its debt, it would be unprecedented.
    The big question is whether the Treasury Department would be able to prioritize what does and does not get paid if that occurs.
    Unlike a government shutdown, where Social Security and Medicare benefits continue to flow, that may not be the case with a default, according to Adcock.
    “There’s a good chance that benefits for retirees and people with disabilities and survivors would be disrupted,” he said.
    Even a short delay could interfere with beneficiaries’ ability to pay for health care, food, rent, utilities or other necessary expenses, the National Committee to Preserve Social Security and Medicare said in a statement on Thursday.

    Halfpoint Images | Moment | Getty Images

    The Treasury Department may be able to prioritize some payments, and that would include Social Security, said Jason Fichtner, chief economist at the Bipartisan Policy Center who previously served in several senior roles at the Social Security Administration.
    However, the Social Security Administration may delay payments to ensure it has enough cash on hand, he said.
    Meanwhile, Medicare payments may fluctuate, while other areas like federal employee salaries and food benefits through SNAP (the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program) may stop. The process may be politically “messy,” Fichtner said.
    “Social Security I’m sure will get paid, interest on the debt will get paid,” he said. “After that, flip a coin, who gets paid?”

    Why some worry about Social Security benefit cuts

    As House Republicans plan to focus on curbing government spending, some worry that could entail cuts to Social Security benefits and Medicare in exchange for votes to increase or suspend the debt limit.
    Among the ideas Republicans have pitched include raising Social Security’s full retirement age to 70, changing the way benefits’ annual cost-of-living adjustments are measured to make them less generous, or making it so benefits are means tested through the middle class, Adcock said.
    Moreover, they could raise the Medicare eligibility age to 67 from 65, he said.
    To make those changes, there would need to be enough support in the Senate, with 60 votes.
    “That’s a pretty high threshold,” Adcock said. “I don’t think there would be 60 votes in the Senate to do benefit cuts.”
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    The White House has also indicated it is not willing to negotiate.
    “As President Biden has made clear, Congress must deal with the debt limit and must do so without conditions,” White House press secretary Karine Jean-Pierre said Tuesday.
    For Social Security reform to progress successfully, both parties would need to come to the table and be willing to make concessions, Fichtner said.
    Without such a bipartisan legislative proposal on paper by June, it would be difficult to include Social Security in the debt ceiling negotiations, he said.
    “With Social Security, you’re going to have to have a grand bargain that includes changes to the benefit formula and revenue increases,” Fichtner said.
    “And that’s just not something that they can get done in a debt crisis environment,” he said.

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    Even with used-car prices falling, buyers are still paying more than $7,100 above ‘normal,’ report finds

    The average price for a used car was $30,899 last month, according to CoPilot.
    That amount is $7,146 more than if projected depreciation forecasts had held true.
    Some models’ prices have dropped more in recent months than others.

    Fotostorm | E+ | Getty Images

    There’s still a ways to go before used car prices come back down to earth.
    While prices were 8.8% lower in December from a year earlier, consumers continue to pay more for used cars than they would if typical depreciation expectations were in play, according to car-shopping app CoPilot, which tracks those price premiums in a monthly report.

    related investing news

    Last month, the average price for a used car was $30,899, according to CoPilot. That amount is $7,146 (or 30%) more than if projected depreciation forecasts had held true. However, the price is headed in the right direction for consumers: Six months ago, the app estimated, car buyers were paying about $10,000 above “normal.”
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    “With the average price premium still at 30%, used car prices in America still have a long way to fall before they return to normal,” CoPilot’s report notes.
    Demand in the used car market skyrocketed during the pandemic as supply chain issues hampered automakers’ ability to produce new vehicles. That situation is now easing, with modest improvements in dealer inventory as rising interest rates put pressure on affordability. The average price of a new car is $46,382, according to an estimate from J.D. Power and LMC Automotive.

    The average interest rate on a used car loan is 10.25%

    Yet turning to a used car generally doesn’t yield a better rate when financing. The average interest rate on a used car loan was 10.25% in December, compared with 6.68% to finance a new vehicle, according to Edmunds. That compares with 7.4% and 4.1%, respectively, a year earlier.

    In addition, the rate you pay is partly based on your credit score — the higher that three-digit number, the lower the rate you can qualify for.
    And, of course, the price depends on the specifics of the car itself.

    Nearly new cars are $9,606 above ‘normal’

    By age, nearly new vehicles (1 to 3 years old) have an average listing price of $40,273, which is $9,606, or 31%, more than the projected normal amount of $30,667, according to the CoPilot index.

    In the 4- to 7-year-old range, the average price is $29,400, an amount that’s $6,731, or 30%, more than the “normal” price of $22,669. Vehicles 8 to 13 years old come with an average price of $18,018, or $4,621 more (about 35%) than the previously forecast $13,397.

    Used cars with the biggest price drops

    Some car prices have dropped more than others. The chart below shows the 10 used cars whose prices fell the most in two months (September to December), according to iSeeCars.

    Meanwhile, the squeeze on new car production during the last couple of years may serve as a headwind in the used car market going forward.
    “Inventory shortages of new cars in 2021 and 2022 mean that there are noticeably fewer [of those] model-year vehicles on the road today that will become used cars in the future,” said Joseph Yoon, consumer insights analyst for Edmunds.

    Additionally, Yoon said, many 1- to 3-year-old cars that end up at dealerships for sale are leased cars that were returned, and the number of customers leasing their cars has dropped to 16% in December from 29% two years earlier.
    “Rental fleets also suffered dramatically from new vehicle shortages, further reducing a reliable stream of late-model used vehicles for consumers to choose from,” Yoon added.

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    Getting your credit score above 800 isn’t easy, but it’s ‘definitely attainable,’ says analyst. Here’s how to do it

    Higher credit scores pave the way to lower rates, potentially saving thousands of dollars in interest charges.
    The highest tier is anything over 800, which can unlock even better terms.
    Here’s a breakdown of how your credit score is calculated and ways you can improve it.

    Generally speaking, the higher your credit score, the better off you are when it comes to getting a loan.
    FICO scores, the most popular scoring model, range from 300 to 850. A “good” score generally is above 670, a “very good” score is over 740 and anything above 800 is considered “exceptional.”

    Once you reach that 800 threshold, you’re highly likely to be approved for a loan and can qualify for the lowest interest rate, according to Matt Schulz, LendingTree’s chief credit analyst. 
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    There’s no doubt consumers are currently turning to credit cards as they have a harder time keeping up with their expenses and there are a lot of factors at play, he added, including inflation. But exceptional credit is largely based on how well you manage debt and for how long.
    Earning an 800-plus credit score isn’t easy, he said, but “it’s definitely attainable.”

    Why a high credit score is important

    The national average credit score sits at an all-time high of 716, according to a recent report from FICO.

    Although that is considered “good,” an “exceptional” score can unlock even better terms, potentially saving thousands of dollars in interest charges. 
    For example, borrowers with a credit score between 800 and 850 could lock in a 30-year fixed mortgage rate of 6.13%, but it jumps to 6.36% for credit scores between 700 and 750. On a $350,000 loan, paying the higher rate adds up to an extra $19,000, according to data from LendingTree.

    4 key factors of an excellent credit score

    Here’s a breakdown of four factors that play into your credit score, and ways you can improve that number.
    1. On-time payments
    The best way to get your credit score over 800 comes down to paying your bills on time every month, even if it is making the minimum payment due. According to LendingTree’s analysis of 100,000 credit reports, 100% of borrowers with a credit score of 800 or higher paid their bills on time, every time. 
    Prompt payments are the single most important factor, making up roughly 35% of a credit score.
    To get there, set up autopay or reminders so you’re never late, Schulz advised.
    2. Amounts owed
    From mortgages to car payments, having an exceptional score doesn’t mean zero debt but rather a proven track record of managing a mix of outstanding loans. In fact, consumers with the highest scores owe an average of $150,270, including mortgages, LendingTree found.
    The total amount of credit and loans you’re using compared to your total credit limit, also known as your utilization rate, is the second most important aspect of a great credit score — accounting for about 30%. 
    As a general rule, it’s important to keep revolving debt below 30% of available credit to limit the effect that high balances can have. However, the average utilization ratio for those with credit scores of 800 or higher was just 6.1%, according to LendingTree.
    “While the best way to improve it is to reduce your debt, you can change the other side of the equation, too, by asking for a higher credit limit,” Schulz said.
    3. Credit history
    Having a longer credit history also helps boost your score because it gives lenders a better look at your background when it comes to repayments.
    The length of your credit history is the third most important factor in a credit score, making up about 15%.
    Keeping accounts open and in good standing as well as limiting new credit card inquiries will work to your advantage. “Lenders want to see that you’ve been responsible for a long time,” Schulz said. “I always compare it to a kid borrowing the keys to the car.”
    4. Types of accounts and credit activity
    Having a diversified mix of accounts but also limiting the number of new accounts you open will further help improve your score, since each make up about 10% of your total.
    “Your credit mix should involve more than just having multiple credit cards,” Schulz said. “The ideal credit mix is a blend of installment loans, such as auto loans, student loans and mortgages, with revolving credit, such as bank credit cards.” 
    “However, it’s very, very important to know that you shouldn’t take out a new loan just to help your credit mix,” he added. “Debt is a really serious thing and should only be taken on as needed.”
    Subscribe to CNBC on YouTube.

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    Lack of financial literacy cost 15% of adults at least $10,000 in 2022. Here’s how the rest fared

    The share of people who said not being financially literate cost them more than $10,000 is up from 11% in 2021, according to a new report.
    Most respondents say it cost them under $500, if at all.
    Advocates say research shows the importance of teaching personal finance in the classroom before students reach adulthood and face a multitude of financial decisions.

    domoyega | E+ | Getty Images

    When it comes to money matters, what you don’t know can hurt you.
    A report from the National Financial Educators Council shows that 38% of individuals in a recent survey said their lack of financial literacy cost them at least $500 in 2022, including 15% who said it set them back by $10,000 or more. That’s up from about 11% in 2021.

    The majority (68%) of respondents said poor financial literacy cost them somewhere from zero to $499.
    The average cost was $1,819, according to the survey, which was conducted Oct. 23 through Dec. 5 among about 3,000 adults across the country. That 2022 figure is nearly $500 higher than the average $1,389 in 2021.
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    “A lot of people come out of [school] without having been taught financial literacy in any detail,” said certified financial planner Denis Poljak, a partner with the Poljak Group Wealth Management at Steward Partners in Shreveport, Louisiana.
    “They end up just … learning from their mistakes,” Poljak said.

    U.S. adults have big gaps in their financial knowledge

    Financial literacy — which generally means understanding money topics ranging from income, budgeting, saving and investing, as well as how interest rates work and why credit scores matter — is lacking among many U.S. adults, studies show.
    For instance, adults correctly answered, on average, 50% of the 28 basic money questions in the 2022 TIAA Institute-GFLEC Personal Finance index, the sixth annual barometer of financial literacy. Worse, the share of respondents (23%) who couldn’t correctly answer more than seven is higher than its been than any other year in the survey.
    The problem, say experts, is the lack of knowledge can affect everything from how much you save — whether for emergencies or the long term (i.e., retirement) — to how much debt you take on and under what terms.

    Financial literacy is ‘a key tool in the toolkit’

    Advocates of financial literacy say the teaching needs to start before teens reach their high school graduation. As of last year, 24 states require personal finance coursework by grade 12, according to the nonprofit Council for Economic Education. 
    “There’s good data showing people make better decisions when they have financial literacy,” said Nan Morrison, CEE president and CEO.

    For example, Morrison said, you’ll likely have a better credit score and be less likely to default on a loan if you have some personal finance know-how. A 2015 study from the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority’s Investor Education Foundation bears that out: Three years after personal finance education was implemented in Georgia, Texas and Idaho, all three states saw severe delinquency rates go down and credit scores rise. 
    Additionally, in 2021, individuals who scored above the median on a seven-question financial literacy quiz were more likely to make ends meet, according to the FINRA foundation’s latest financial-capability study. Specifically, they spent less than their income (53% versus 35%) and had three months’ worth of emergency funds at higher levels (65% versus 42%).
    They also were more likely to have calculated their retirement savings needs (52% versus 29%) and to have opened a retirement account (70% versus 43%), according to the study.
    “To me, the bottom line is that to live the life you want to live, you need to understand how to manage money,” Morrison said. “It’s not the only important thing, but it’s a key tool in the toolkit.”

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    Investors are holding near-record levels of cash and may be poised to snap up stocks

    A record amount of funds flowed into money market accounts as the year ended. Those funds could be the fuel for a major stock rally.
    The Investment Company Institute said money market accounts held a record $4.814 trillion in the week ended Jan. 4.
    But strategists say investors may hold back from putting more money into stocks, since sentiment is sour and money markets are now generating more return than they have been in years.

    Dollar banknotes.
    Simpleimages | Moment | Getty Images

    Investor cash holdings are near record highs, and that could be good news for stocks since there is a wall of money ready to come right back into the market.
    But the question is this: Will those investors return any time soon, especially with sentiment still so sour and stocks at risk of a major selloff?

    related investing news

    Total net assets in money market funds rose to $4.814 trillion in the week ended Jan. 4, according to the Investment Company Institute. That eclipses the prior peak of $4.79 trillion during May 2020, back in the earlier months of Covid-19.
    These sums include money market fund assets held by retail and institutional investors.
    The level of assets in these money market funds has come off the highs since the start of the year, but Wall Street has already noticed the cash pile.
    “It’s a mountain of money!” wrote Bank of America technical research strategist Stephen Suttmeier. “While this seems contrarian bullish, higher interest rates have made holding cash more attractive.”

    Staying in a holding pattern while earning income

    Investors, worried about earnings and interest rates, may be willing to wait before they put more money into stocks. At the same time, money market funds are actually generating a few percentage points of income for the first time in years.

    That means investors may be finding a safer way to generate some return while they wait for the right moment to invest. Consider that sweep accounts, where investors hold unused cash balances in their brokerage accounts, can park those amounts in money market mutual funds or money market deposit accounts.
    Cresset Capital’s Jack Ablin said the change in behavior toward money markets reflects a bigger shift in the investing environment.
    “Cash is no longer trash. It’s paying a reasonable interest and so it makes the hurdle higher over which the risky assets have to jump to generate an additional return,” Ablin said.
    Julian Emanuel, senior managing director at Evercore ISI, said the surge into money markets was a direct result of selling stocks at year end.
    “If you look at the flow data for the middle of December, liquidations were on the order of March 2020,” he said. “In the short-term, it was a very contrarian buy signal. To me this was people basically selling the market at the end of the year, and they just parked it in the money market funds. If the selling continues, they’ll park more.”

    In search of relatively safe yield

    Emanuel said anecdotally, he is seeing signs of investors moving funds from their lower paying savings accounts to their brokerage accounts, where the yields can be close to 4%.
    Be aware that money market accounts issued by banks are insured by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, while money market mutual funds are not.
    Still, with December’s inflation rising at a 6.5% annual rate, higher prices for consumers are chiseling away at any gains.
    Ablin said the change in investor attitudes about money market funds and also fixed income came with Federal Reserve interest rate hikes. Since last March, the Fed has raised its fed funds target rate range from zero to 0.25% to 4.25% to 4.50%. Those money market funds barely generated interest prior to those rate hikes.
    For instance, Fidelity Government Money Market Fund has a compounded effective yield of 3.99%. The fund generated a 1.31% return in 2022.
    Ablin said bonds have become attractive again for investors seeking yield.
    “We like the fact that the bond market is finally carrying its own weight after years and years,” he said. “From that perspective, you would expect a rebalance away from equities into bonds. They’ve essentially been fighting equities with one hand tied behind their back for 10 years or more.”

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    A debt ceiling standoff may trigger ‘serious’ fallout for Americans, warns economist. Here’s what it means for you

    Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said the U.S. would likely hit its $31.4 trillion debt ceiling on Thursday.
    The debt ceiling is the amount of money the U.S. is authorized to borrow to pay its bills. Since the cost of government operations generally exceeds federal tax revenues, the U.S. must raise money by selling Treasury bonds. The government can’t do this after hitting the debt ceiling.
    If the U.S. ultimately can’t pay its bills, it will default on its debt. That’s only happened once in U.S. history — and seemingly by mistake. Another default would mean likely recession and financial crisis, economists said.

    The U.S. may be about to hit its debt ceiling.
    Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said last week that the U.S. would likely hit the ceiling Thursday. Absent steps taken by Congress, the event may “cause irreparable harm to the U.S. economy, the livelihoods of all Americans, and global financial stability,” she wrote in a letter to new House Speaker Kevin McCarthy, R-Calif.

    Here’s what the debt ceiling is, and what makes it so important for consumers.

    What is the debt ceiling?

    The debt ceiling is the amount of money the U.S. Treasury is authorized to borrow to pay its bills.
    Those obligations include Social Security and Medicare benefits, tax refunds, military salaries and interest payments on outstanding national debt.
    The current ceiling is about $31.4 trillion. Once it’s hit, the U.S. is unable to increase the amount of its outstanding debt — and paying its bills becomes trickier.
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    “Not unlike many households, the government is reliant on debt to fund its obligations,” said Mark Hamrick, a senior economic analyst at Bankrate. “And like many households, it doesn’t have sufficient income to fund its expenses.”
    The debt ceiling wouldn’t be an issue if U.S. revenues — i.e., tax proceeds — exceeded its costs. But the U.S. hasn’t run an annual surplus since 2001 — and has borrowed to fund government operations each year since then, according to the White House Council of Economic Advisers.

    Why is the debt ceiling an issue right now?

    While the U.S. is expected to reach its $31.4 trillion borrowing cap on Thursday, this in and of itself isn’t the major issue.
    The Treasury has temporary options to pay bills: It can use cash on hand or spend any incoming revenues, such as those during tax season, which starts Jan. 23.
    It can also use so-called “extraordinary measures,” which free up money in the short term. The Treasury will start using such measures this month, Yellen said. They include a redemption or suspension of investments in certain federal retirement and disability funds. The funds would be made whole later.
    These maneuvers are meant to prevent a potential calamity: a default.

    A default would occur if the U.S. runs out of money to meet all its financial obligations on time — for instance, missing a payment to investors who hold U.S. Treasury bonds. The U.S. issues bonds to raise money to finance its operations.
    The U.S. has defaulted on its debt just once before, in 1979. A technical bookkeeping glitch resulted in delayed bond payments, an error that was quickly rectified and only affected a small share of investors, the Treasury said.
    However, the U.S. has never “intentionally” defaulted on its debt, CEA economists said. This outcome is the one Yellen warned would cause “irreparable harm.” The scope of negative shockwaves is unknown since it hasn’t happened before, economists said.  
    “The fallout is serious,” said Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody’s Analytics.
    “It would create chaos in financial markets and completely undermine the economy,” he added. “The economy would go into a severe recession.”

    Fallout: Frozen benefits, a recession, pricier borrowing

    An exact default date is difficult to pinpoint, due to the volatility of government payments and revenues. But it’s unlikely to happen before early June, Yellen said.
    Congress can raise or temporarily suspend the debt ceiling in the interim to avert a debt-ceiling crisis — something lawmakers have done many times in the past. But political impasse calls their ability or willingness to do so into question this time around.   

    [A default] would create chaos in financial markets and completely undermine the economy.

    Mark Zandi
    chief economist at Moody’s Analytics

    If the U.S. were to default, it would send several negative shock waves through the U.S. and global economies.
    Here are some of the ways it could affect consumers and investors:
    1. Frozen federal benefits
    Tens of millions of American households might not get certain federal benefits — such as Social Security, Medicare and Medicaid, and federal aid related to nutrition, veterans and housing — on time or at all, the CEA said. Government functions such as national defense may be affected, if the salaries of active-duty military personnel are frozen, for example.
    2. A recession, with job cuts
    Affected households would have less cash on hand to pump into the U.S. economy — and a recession “would seem to be inevitable” under these circumstances, Hamrick said. Recession would be accompanied by thousands of lost jobs and higher unemployment.
    3. Higher borrowing costs
    Investors generally view U.S. Treasury bonds and the U.S. dollar as safe havens. Bondholders are confident the U.S. will give their money back with interest on time.
    “It’s sacrosanct in the U.S. financial system that U.S. Treasury debt is risk-free,” Zandi said.
    If that’s no longer the case, ratings agencies would likely downgrade the U.S.’ sterling credit rating, and people will demand much higher interest rates on Treasury bonds to compensate for the additional risk, Zandi said.
    Borrowing costs would rise for American consumers, since rates on mortgages, credit cards, auto loans and other types of consumer debt are linked to movements in the U.S. Treasury market. Businesses would also pay higher interest rates on their loans.
    4. Extreme stock market volatility
    Of course, that’s assuming businesses and consumers could get credit. There might also be a “severe” financial crisis if the U.S. government is unable to issue additional Treasury bonds, which are an essential component of the financial system, Hamrick said.
    “A default would send shock waves through global financial markets and would likely cause credit markets worldwide to freeze up and stock markets to plunge,” the CEA said.
    Even the threat of a default during the 2011 debt ceiling “crisis” caused Standard & Poor’s (now known as S&P Global Ratings) to downgrade the credit rating of U.S. and generated considerable market gyrations. Mortgage rates rose by 0.7 to 0.8 percentage points for two months, and fell slowly thereafter, the CEA said.

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    Evictions are picking up across the U.S. Here’s what at-risk tenants can do

    With most pandemic-era eviction protections having expired and rents rising, the number of tenants coming home to find notices on their doors is picking up.
    Behind on your rent or facing displacement? Here’s what housing experts recommend you do.

    Ed Jones | Afp | Getty Images

    Between rents rising and most pandemic-era eviction bans having expired, the number of tenants coming home to find notices on their doors is picking up.
    In just the first week of January, the Eviction Lab at Princeton University has counted more than 9,300 evictions in the nine states and the 32 cities it monitors.

    In New York City alone, nearly 4,400 families and tenants have been removed from their apartments since January 2022, when a ban on evictions lifted.
    “We’ve seen in recent months an increase in eviction filings in the areas we track, sometimes back towards pre-pandemic averages and sometimes worse,” said Jacob Haas, research specialist at the Eviction Lab. “Eviction can be a traumatic, destructive experience for the families that face it.”
    If you are behind on your rent or facing displacement, here’s what housing experts recommend you do.

    Familiarize yourself with tenant rights

    Although it’s a tough time for tenants with rents soaring, the pandemic has also ushered in a new set of protections. It’s worth researching and familiarizing yourself with any rights to which you may be entitled, experts say.
    In certain cities, for example, landlords are now limited in how much they can raise your rent. If you’re facing eviction because of an increase that was illegal, it’s worth knowing: You may be able to bring this up in housing court, or with your landlord.

    More from Personal Finance:Here’s the inflation breakdown for December 2022 — in one chartIRS to start 2023 tax season stronger, taxpayer advocate saysSocial Security checks to include 8.7% cost-of-living adjustment this month
    In some places, you’re entitled to a set amount of notice with an eviction, such as at least 90 days in specific cases in Portland, Maine. During the school year, educators and families with school-age children recently got new eviction protections in Oakland, California.
    Meanwhile, if your landlord has raised your rent above a certain amount, you could be eligible in a few cities, including Seattle and Portland, Oregon, to get some of your moving costs covered.

    Work with a lawyer

    If your landlord has moved to evict you, housing advocates recommend that you try to get a lawyer as soon as possible.
    One study in New Orleans found that more than 65% of tenants with no legal representation were evicted, compared with just 15% of those who had a lawyer with them at their hearing.
    You can find low-cost or free legal help with an eviction in your state at Lawhelp.org.

    In a growing number of cities and states, including Washington, Maryland and Connecticut, tenants facing eviction have a right to counsel. You can find a longer list of those places at civilrighttocounsel.org.

    Consider your options for rent

    Most rental assistance programs that opened during the pandemic are now closed, but some are still accepting applications.
    On the National Low Income Housing Coalition’s website, you can find a state-by-state guide of relief options and their status.
    It’s not a strategy experts recommend, but some tenants are using their credit cards to cover their rent. Few landlords or property managers accept plastic, so you’d have to find a third-party processor, such as Plastiq or PayPal.
    But this option should only be used in dire situations, said Ted Rossman, a senior industry analyst at CreditCards.com.
    “The biggest potential issue is carrying a balance and paying interest on your rent,” Rossman said. “This can make an already sizable expense much more substantial.”
    Instead, he recommends tenants ask their landlord for an extension or payment plan. Other ways to come up with rent can include borrowing from family members and friends, or from your retirement plan, Rossman said. 

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    Smartphones, used cars and bacon: 10 things with the biggest price drops in 2022, despite inflation

    Inflation peaked in 2022 at its highest levels since the early 1980s.
    However, consumers saw prices fall for certain items, largely in consumer electronics, used cars and beef.
    Prices for rental cars and trucks have followed a similar trajectory.

    Zachary Zirlin / Eyeem | Eyeem | Getty Images

    In a year of soaring inflation across the broad U.S. economy, some corners of the consumer market did the opposite: They deflated in price.
    The largest declines, on a percentage basis, were concentrated in categories like consumer electronics, beef, and cars and trucks, according to the consumer price index.

    Here are the goods that deflated the most in 2022.

    Consumer electronics

    Anita Kot | Getty

    Several consumer electronics topped the list: smartphones; televisions; “other” video goods excluding TVs; and computers, peripherals, and smart home assistants. Their respective prices fell by 22.2%, 14.4%, 8.6% and 5.8% in 2022.
    Consumer electronics generally fall in price over time, as measured by the CPI and other inflation metrics. That’s largely been the trend since 2006, according to CPI data for information technology, hardware and services, for example.
    The pandemic era was an exception, as households upgraded and bought new tech devices amid stay-at-home orders, thereby buoying demand while important parts like semiconductor chips were in short supply.
    Consumers might find the idea of this broad deflation trend odd, though, when sticker prices for popular items like smartphones, televisions and computers don’t seem to have fallen.

    The deflationary dynamic is more a measurement quirk than a reflection of what consumers pay out of pocket, according to economists. The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics adjusts technology prices for quality — improvements in microchips, software and screen resolution, for example — that gives the illusion of a falling price on paper.
    In other words: Better quality for the same money yields deflation in the eyes of federal statisticians.
    “You’re getting more bang for your buck,” said Tim Mahedy, senior economist at KPMG. “You’re still paying $800 for an iPhone, but your iPhone is a lot better.”
    This economic modeling is known as a “hedonic quality adjustment.” The BLS uses this method for consumer appliances, electronics and apparel items, for example.
    That measurement dynamic coincides with weaker demand, which is partly a function of consumers not having to stay indoors as they did during the pandemic era, and the easing of supply shortages.
    “It has been the same story for past 20 years,” Andrew Hunter, senior U.S. economist at Capital Economics, said of the general deflationary trend for consumer electronics. “It now looks to be returning over the past six months or so.”
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    Used cars and trucks, rental vehicles

    A used car dealership in New York on Jan. 19, 2022.
    Pablo Monsalve | View Press | Corbis News | Getty Images

    Prices for used cars and trucks were among the first to spike as inflation took hold in early 2021. The category inflated by 37.3% that year — the most of any item outside of energy commodities like gasoline and fuel oil, according to the consumer price index.
    Now, used car and truck prices are in retreat. They deflated by 8.8% in 2022. Only prices for smartphones and TVs fell at a faster rate.
    Prices for rental cars and trucks have followed a similar trajectory. They declined 4.9% in 2022, after spiking 36% the prior year.
    A shortage of semiconductor chips — a key vehicle component — brought the global production of new vehicles to a halt during the pandemic. Car inventories collapsed to record lows, sending vehicle prices soaring in 2021.

    You’re getting more bang for your buck. You’re still paying $800 for an iPhone, but your iPhone is a lot better.

    Tim Mahedy
    senior economist at KPMG

    The supply shortage pushed more buyers into the used vehicle market, driving up prices. Those buyers included rental car companies, which needed to restock fleets they had culled earlier in the pandemic as consumer demand tanked.
    Supply shortages ran headlong into burgeoning demand from American travelers who wanted to hit the road in 2021 as Covid vaccines rolled out but travel outside U.S. borders was somewhat constrained.
    Now, however, global auto production has increased as supply chains are normalizing, economists said. That’s led prices for used vehicles to decline.
    “Rental car companies were buying — and now completely stopped buying — used vehicles,” said Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody’s Analytics.
    Higher interest rates have also crimped consumer demand.

    Beef, bacon

    Black Angus cows at a farm in Pleasureville, Kentucky.
    Bloomberg | Bloomberg | Getty Images

    Uncooked beef steaks, beef roasts, and other types of beef and veal fell in price last year — 5.4%, 3.5% and 6.7%, respectively.
    Meanwhile, bacon prices declined 3.7%.
    That occurred as consumers saw overall grocery prices move the opposite way, swelling by nearly 12% in 2022, according to CPI data.
    The beef pricing trend is largely a result of U.S. drought conditions and the associated economics of beef production, said Amy Smith, vice president at Advanced Economic Solutions, a consulting firm specializing in food economics.
    Over 78% of the U.S. was experiencing some level of drought as of Dec. 6, according to the U.S. Department of Agriculture. About 69% of the U.S. cattle herd is in those drought-stricken areas, an increase of 33 percentage points over a year earlier, the USDA said.  
    This is important because drought shrinks pasture and forage areas; at the same time, corn and wheat prices have been high, making it expensive to supplement pasture feeding with animal feed, Smith said.  
    As a result, many farmers have opted to slaughter cows early for beef production, increasing the available supply of beef and reducing prices at the grocery store, Smith said.
    The USDA described cattle slaughter in the first half of 2022 as an “aggressive culling,” predominantly due to “pasture conditions and increased operating costs.” The pace of beef-cow slaughter in July was the fastest recorded since the USDA started tracking data in 1986.
    Meanwhile, lower bacon prices are partly due to a higher domestic supply of pork amid reduced exports to other nations, Smith said. The USDA estimates total U.S. pork exports at 6.3 billion pounds in 2022, down 10% from 2021.

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