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    As you near retirement, this overlooked risk can ‘make or break’ your portfolio, advisor says

    As you approach retirement, a threat, known as the “sequence of returns” risk could jeopardize your portfolio.
    The issue stems from poor investment returns paired with withdrawals, particularly earlier in retirement, which can shrink your nest egg over time.
    However, you can minimize the risk via portfolio diversification, fixed-income allocations and flexible withdrawals.

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    How sequence risk hurts your portfolio

    Investors can typically start withdrawing funds from retirement accounts without penalty at age 59½.
    But there’s a big risk for younger retirees or near-retirees who experience stock market downturns just before or as they start tapping accounts.

    Withdrawing from your portfolio when the stock market drops could mean selling more assets for the same amount of cash. As a result, you’re left with fewer investments to capture future growth when the market rebounds.

    It’s the biggest issue for younger retirees with decades of living expenses to cover from their nest egg, experts say.
    Here are some ways to mitigate your sequence of returns risk, according to financial advisors.

    Diversify your portfolio

    As retirement approaches, it’s important to adjust portfolio allocations from heavy concentrations in higher-risk assets to less volatile investments like bonds, experts say. The right mix may depend on several factors, including your risk tolerance, goals and life expectancy.
    “Diversification among several different asset classes can help make volatility less pronounced,” Lyon said.

    Diversification among several different asset classes can help make volatility less pronounced.

    Collin Lyon
    Wealth strategy advisor at Anderson Financial Strategies

    Build a ‘war chest’ to fund living expenses

    You can avoid selling assets in a down market by keeping a six-month emergency fund and a “war chest” to cover living expenses, according to CFP Jonathan Bednar II, a wealth advisor at Paradigm Wealth Partners in Knoxville, Tennessee. 
    For Bednar’s clients, the war chest includes five years of expenses in fixed-income assets — typically in a bond or certificate of deposit ladder — so retirees can “weather any market volatility,” when the sequence risk is highest, he said.

    Opt for a flexible withdrawal rate

    Flexible withdrawals are another way to safeguard your portfolio from sequence risk, experts say.
    “Instead of withdrawing a fixed percentage, the rate can be adjusted based on market performance,” explained Orlando-based CFP Brad Brescia with Moisand Fitzgerald Tamayo.
    Reducing withdrawals during years of negative returns “can help preserve the portfolio’s core,” he added. However, some retirement accounts eventually have required withdrawals. More

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    A U.S. construction boom is sending rents lower and creating perks for renters

    More than one-third, 33.2%, of landlords offered at least one rent concession in July, according to Zillow Group.
    the median asking rent prices for apartments in one- to three-bedroom units fell in July, the first time that’s occurred since 2020, according to Redfin, a real estate brokerage site.

    Aleksandarnakic | E+ | Getty Images

    A construction boom in the U.S. has resulted in lower rents and other benefits for renters.
    Record-construction activity since the pandemic has increased the supply of empty units, meaning more inventory is available for renters. More multifamily units were completed in June than in any month in nearly 50 years, according to Zillow Group, an online marketplace for real estate.

    Landlords are taking notice and are now adding rent concessions — discounts, incentives or perks to attract new renters — like free weeks of rent or free parking. 
    About one-third, 33.2%, of landlords offered at least one rent concession in July across the U.S., up from about one-quarter, 25.4%. last year, Zillow found.
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    Meanwhile, the median asking rent prices for apartments in one- to three-bedroom units fell in July, the first time that’s occurred since 2020, according to Redfin, a real estate brokerage site.
    The median asking rent price for a studio or one-bedroom apartment fell 0.1% to $1,498 a month; two-bedroom apartments decreased 0.3% to $1,730; and units with three bedrooms or more, were down 2.% to $2,010, per Redfin data. 

    Rents are still high because of how much prices climbed during the pandemic, said Chen Zhao, who leads the economics team at Redfin. But now, rent growth has flattened, which can be seen as “good news for renters,” she said.

    Sun Belt states are leading the trend

    Metro areas in Florida and Texas, two Sun Belt states that have introduced a high number of newly built apartments since the pandemic, are seeing significant rent price declines as more units become available, according to Redfin.
    For example, the median asking rent price in Austin, Texas, fell to $1,458 in July, a 16.9% decline from a year prior, according to Redfin. It was the biggest drop among all other analyzed metro areas in the national report, the firm noted.
    The median asking rent price in Jacksonville, Florida, declined 14.3% in the same time frame, to $1,465, per Redfin.
    To compare at a state-wide level, the median rent price in Texas stands at $1,950, according to Zillow. That comparable price in Florida is $2,500, it found.

    Rent concessions are up from a year ago in 45 of the 50 largest metro areas in the U.S., according to Zillow.
    The annual increase in the share of rental listings offering concessions is the highest in Jacksonville, Florida, which saw concessions rise 17 percentage points, followed by Charlotte, North Carolina (15.7 points), Raleigh, North Carolina (14.7 points), Atlanta (14.5 points); and Austin, Texas (14.1 points), per Zillow data.

    How wage growth helps rent costs 

    Historically, wage growth and rent growth have been very linked, said Orphe Divounguy, a senior economist with Zillow’s Economic Research team.
    How tight the labor market is can be predictive of how tight the housing market is going to be, he explained.
    The labor market has eased recently, with the number of candidates outpacing the jobs available. In July, nonfarm payroll increased by just 114,000 for the month, down from 179,000 in June, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The unemployment rate jumped to 4.3%, the highest level since October of 2021.
    “When wages are rising rapidly, that helps to support housing demand,” said Divounguy. “As the labor market loosens, we expect the rental market to continue to loosen.”

    Wages are growing 4% to 5% year over year, said Zhao: “That’s good. That means that rents are actually falling relative to wages. Your wages are increasing more than rents are.” 
    To be sure, wage growth has slowed. Wages and salaries increased 5.1% in June for the 12-month period ended in June 2024, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. 
    Wage growth peaked at 9.3% in January 2022, and has slid down to 3.1% by mid-June, returning to pre-pandemic wage levels, according to Indeed Hiring Lab Institute. More

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    Trump’s plan to end taxes on Social Security income is a ‘fatal mistake,’ lawmaker says. What that could mean for benefits

    As Social Security marked its 89th anniversary, the program faces looming fund depletion dates.
    Lawmakers have suggested tax changes, including eliminating taxes on benefits or raising how much the wealthy must contribute to the program.
    Here’s what those changes would mean for benefits.

    Phoenix Wang | Moment | Getty Images

    Voters say Social Security is a ‘top’ election issue

    President Franklin D. Roosevelt signs the Social Security Act into law on Aug. 14, 1935.
    FPG | Archive Photos | Getty Images

    On Wednesday, Social Security reached the 89th anniversary since President Franklin D. Roosevelt signed the program into law.
    The program now faces an uncertain future, as its combined trust funds are projected to run dry in 2035. At that time, unless Congress acts sooner, beneficiaries may see an across-the-board 17% benefit cut.

    The program’s trust fund that pays retirement benefits is due to run out even sooner, in 2033, risking a 21% cut to those benefits.
    Social Security’s future is “one of the top” or a “very important” issue in how voters plan to choose candidates in the November presidential election, a new CNBC poll finds.
    “I believe, from my conversations with lots of people on both sides of the aisle on Capitol Hill, that there’s the will to actually examine this and extend it for many, many years to come,” Social Security Commissioner Martin O’Malley told CNBC “Squawk Box” on Wednesday.

    Social Security fixes likely to include tax changes

    Trump is not the first to suggest the elimination of taxes on Social Security benefits. One Democratic bill introduced in January in the House of Representatives — the You Earned It, You Keep It Act — likewise calls for excluding Social Security benefits from gross income for federal income taxes.
    If enacted, the bill would save the typical senior household almost $560 per year, the Senior Citizens League, a non-partisan senior group, recently estimated.
    But the move would increase federal deficits by $1.6 trillion to $1.8 trillion through 2035, non-partisan public policy organization Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget, found in a recent analysis of Trump’s idea. Moreover, it would increase Social Security’s 75-year shortfall by 25%.
    A Trump campaign spokesman did not return a request for comment by CNBC.

    Republican presidential candidate and former U.S. President Donald Trump gestures as he leaves, after casting his ballot for early voting in Florida’s primary election, in West Palm Beach, Florida, U.S. August 14, 2024. 
    Marco Bello | Reuters

    Larson is instead touting a broader reform package — the Social Security 2100 Act — that would broadly make benefits more generous and pay for those increases by imposing higher taxes on the wealthy.
    The bill would include a 2% across-the-board benefit increase, as well as more targeted increases for lower-income seniors, widows and widowers and students. The proposal would also eliminate current rules that result in reduced benefits tied to public servants, known as the Windfall Elimination Provision and Government Pension Offset.
    To pay for those changes, the bill calls for raising the Social Security payroll tax thresholds for wealthy earners. In 2024, up to $168,600 in earnings are subject to those levies. The bill calls for reapplying the tax on earnings over $400,000. It would also apply a higher net investment income tax rate for those higher earners.

    Altogether, the bill’s provisions could help extend the program’s ability to pay full benefits by 32 years, the Social Security Office of the Chief Actuary estimated last year.
    The Social Security 2100 bill has been reintroduced in various sessions of Congress. Larson, who is running for reelection, said he plans to reintroduce it again in the next session.
    While the current version has 188 Democratic co-sponsors, Larson said he hopes for the backing of two other notable leaders — Democratic presidential candidate Kamala Harris and her running mate, Tim Walz.
    As senator, Harris was a co-sponsor of a bill that similarly called for making benefits more generous while raising taxes for the wealthy. As vice president, the White House administration likewise called for expanding Social Security and taxing the wealthy.
    Meanwhile, Walz was an original co-sponsor of Social Security 2100 during his time as a congressman representing Minnesota, according to Larson. As governor of Minnesota, Walz increased the state tax exemption for Social Security benefits.

    Rep. John Larson, D-Conn., and other lawmakers discuss the Social Security 2100 Act, which would include increased minimum benefits, on Capitol Hill on Oct. 26, 2021.
    Drew Angerer | Getty Images News | Getty Images

    The Harris-Walz campaign did not return a request for comment from CNBC.
    While Republicans have considered other changes to Social Security — such as raising the retirement age — Larson hopes he can eventually lure leaders from the other side of the aisle to support his proposal.
    “We’re going to lift the cap on people [earning] over $400,000 and the other side says, ‘Here you go again. It’s tax the wealthy,'” Larson said. “No, it’s have them pay their fair share.”
    In congressional hearings on the program, Republican lawmakers have raised concerns about the costs associated with reforming the program. Ultimately, restoring Social Security’s solvency may require a compromise including both tax increases and benefit cuts.
    Rep. Jodey Arrington, R-Texas, commended Larson for his passion and for putting a proposal on paper during an April Ways and Means Social Security subcommittee hearing.
    “Even if I disagree, and in some cases wildly disagree, with his way of solving it, we’re going to have to get in a room and we’re going to have to hold hands and leap off the cliff of those who criticize us who do anything to reform the program,” Arrington said.
    While critics question whether lawmakers will bring the bill forward for a vote, Larson said he hopes to see progress on Social Security in the next Congress or in the coming lame duck session. More

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    Social Security cost-of-living adjustment may be 2.6% in 2025, new estimate finds

    As new government data shows inflation subsiding, Social Security beneficiaries may expect a lower cost-of-living adjustment in 2025.
    The prospective Social Security COLA for 2025 could be the lowest since 2021, according to a new estimate.

    Rapideye | E+ | Getty Images

    Even as new government inflation data shows inflation subsiding, many retirees are still struggling under the weight of higher costs.
    Next year’s Social Security cost-of-living adjustment, or COLA, may not provide much relief.

    In 2025, the Social Security COLA may be 2.6%, according to Mary Johnson, an independent Social Security and Medicare policy analyst.
    That’s down from the 3.2% boost to benefits Americans saw in 2024. It’s also substantially lower than the 8.7% COLA Social Security beneficiaries received in 2023, and the 5.9% increase for 2022.
    The prospective Social Security COLA for 2025 would be the lowest since 2021 but in line with the average cost-of-living adjustments for the past two decades, according to Johnson.

    The estimate for 2025 is still subject to change. The annual Social Security cost-of-living adjustment is calculated based on third-quarter data from a subset of the consumer price index, known as the Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers, or CPI-W.  
    The size of the official increase may change as new CPI data comes in.

    The Social Security Administration typically announces the COLA for the following year in October.

    Older Americans feeling ‘lingering effects’ of high costs

    More than half of adults ages 50 and up — 61% — worry they will not have enough money to support them in retirement, according to a recent AARP survey.
    Inflation is also a persistent concern for those older Americans, with 37% worried about covering basic expenses such as food and housing. Meanwhile, 70% are worried about prices rising faster than their incomes.

    High inflation tends to hurt retirees more than near-retirees, since retirees’ income is less likely to go up as prices rise, according to the Center for Retirement Research at Boston College.
    Social Security benefits — which are adjusted annually for inflation — are an exception.
    However, some experts argue the annual increases to benefits have fallen short.
    The average Social Security benefit has lost 20% of its buying power since 2010, according to recent research from the Senior Citizens League, a nonpartisan senior group.
    Today’s average monthly benefit for retired workers would have to increase from $1,860 to $2,230 — nearly 20% — to keep pace with 2010 buying power, the group’s research found.
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    Another measure for the cost-of-living adjustment — the Consumer Price Index for the Elderly, or CPI-E — may better reflect the costs retirees face, advocates including the Senior Citizens League have said.
    However, not all experts agree the cost-of-living adjustment measure should be changed.
    While the annual adjustments are now calculated using a backward-looking method, they tend to fully compensate for inflation over time, Alicia Munnell, director of the Center for Retirement Research at Boston College, previously told CNBC.com.
    Though the CPI-E has previously risen faster than the currently used measure for the cost-of-living adjustments, that gap narrowed in recent years, research from the Center for Retirement Research found. Consequently, switching to the CPI-E may not be the most effective move, the authors argued.

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    Designer ‘dupes’ go mainstream as shoppers choose affordability over luxury. ‘It just makes more financial sense,’ expert says

    Buying a knockoff used to be a consumer’s dirty little secret, largely because a “fake” was considered inferior to the real thing.
    These days, brand imitators, also known as dupes, have elbowed their way into the mainstream.
    In many cases, buying a dupe is just more “financially responsible” at a time when many consumers feel cash-strapped, one expert said.

    Klaus Vedfelt | Digitalvision | Getty Images

    From leggings to lip gloss, there’s a dupe for almost any brand-name product.
    Buying a knockoff used to be a consumer’s dirty little secret, largely because a “fake” was considered inferior to the real thing, not to mention the economic cost and intellectual property rights infringement.

    But brand imitators, also known as dupes — short for duplicates — have elbowed their way into the mainstream and are now even cool.
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    “It’s not necessarily because the consumer doesn’t love the brand, sometimes it just makes more financial sense to buy the dupes,” said Sara Walker, a Los Angeles-based influencer and fashion industry expert.
    Unlike illegal counterfeit goods, which tend to carry an unauthorized trademark or logo of a patented brand, these dupes are cheaper, typically legal alternatives to premium or luxury consumer products, and in some cases preferred to their pricier counterpart.
    “It’s not a direct knockoff, it’s kind of revising something that’s very chic from a designer world into a more accessible product,” Walker said.

    Brand imitators have found “this narrow little aisle to operate in that satisfies consumer demand” and keeps them safe from actual legal action from the companies they are duping, according to Ellyn Briggs, brands analyst at Morning Consult.
    Even when consumers can get the real thing, nearly 33% of adults intentionally purchased a dupe of a premium product at some point, according to a report by Morning Consult. The business intelligence company polled more than 2,000 adults in early October.

    TikTok is ‘ground zero’ for dupes

    “The online culture of dupe shopping, accelerated by TikTok … has flipped the script,” according to Briggs.
    “TikTok is ground zero for where all this is happening,” she said.
    TikTok Shop, especially, “has become the storefront for dupes,” Briggs said.
    Younger generations use TikTok Shop, which launched as an e-commerce platform within the short-form video app in September of last year, more than older cohorts: About 40% of Gen Zers between the ages of 18 and 26 have made at least one purchase. Similarly, 37% of millennials have bought at least one item on TikTok Shop, according to a Morning Consult poll conducted in December.
    But designer look-alikes can also be found at retail giants such as Amazon and Walmart, as well as Costco, home to the viral floor mirror dupe of an Anthropologie mirror.
    “Dupes are everywhere now. That’s just how it is,” Walker said.

    Dupes are a sign of the times

    Often, shopping for dupes is a way to participate in a trend without breaking the bank — especially at a time when styles cycle through faster and faster, according to Walker, who said she has tried dupe leggings, dupe perfume and dupe sunglasses.
    “It’s not always financially responsible to buy the original,” Walker said.
    Briggs said that in some ways, dupe shopping is a form of bargain hunting, which has been “repackaged” into a new subset of online shopping — just as other viral trends on TikTok are repackaging longstanding or pre-existing behaviors.
    The quality may vary, however. In other words, you get what you pay for.

    “Trends come and go and if you are constantly updating your wardrobe based on the trends, that can get expensive,” Carolyn McClanahan, a certified financial planner and founder of Life Planning Partners in Jacksonville, Florida, told CNBC earlier this year, speaking about the “mob wife” fashion trend.
    McClanahan is a member of CNBC’s Financial Advisor Council.
    These days, more Americans are struggling in the face of sky-high prices for everyday items, and most have exhausted their savings and are now leaning on credit cards to make ends meet, recent reports show.
    As consumers continue to stretch to cover rising rent, increased food prices and higher borrowing costs, there is less disposable income left for discretionary spending, according to Brett House, economics professor at Columbia Business School. That has helped open the door to dupes.

    “Sustaining recent consumption patterns is making people potentially susceptible to the promise that a dupe offers,” House said.
    The “sustained interest” for dupes also reflects how increasingly cautious consumers are about making big purchases in this economy, said Briggs.
    In the end, price is “the No. 1 factor for purchase decisions,” she added, whether a shopper is cash-strapped or not.

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    Some experts have raised the odds of a recession. Here’s how much you should have in emergency savings

    Nearly 60% of Americans aren’t comfortable with their emergency savings, up from 48% in 2021, according to a Bankrate survey.
    Regardless of the economic climate, investors need emergency savings to cover expenses in the event of a job loss or other unexpected bills, experts say.
    However, savings benchmarks can depend on your family’s circumstances.

    Pascal Broze | Onoky | Getty Images

    As investors face economic uncertainty, financial advisors have guidelines for how much cash they should have set aside.
    Despite second-quarter economic growth, nearly 60% of Americans wrongly think the U.S. is currently in a recession, according to a June survey of 2,000 adults from Affirm.

    While Goldman Sachs and JP Morgan raised recession forecasts in August, other experts still expect an economic “soft landing,” meaning the Federal Reserve’s policy won’t cause a downturn.
    Meanwhile, inflation continues to ease, but a weaker-than-expected jobs report for July triggered stock market volatility last week.
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    Amid the uncertainty, nearly 60% of Americans aren’t comfortable with their level of emergency savings, up from 48% in 2021, according to an annual Bankrate survey that polled more than 1,000 U.S. adults in May.
    As of the polling, some 27% of those surveyed had no emergency savings — the highest percentage since 2020, Bankrate found.

    Regardless of the economic climate, investors need emergency savings to cover expenses in the event of a job loss or other unexpected bills. Here’s how much cash to set aside, according to financial advisors.

    Dual earners: Three months is a rule of thumb

    Double-income families should aim to save at least three months of living expenses, according to certified financial planner Greg Giardino, vice president of Wealth Enhancement Group in Oakland, New Jersey. 
    However, you could adjust that guideline “depending on the reliability of those income sources,” he said. For example, commissioned workers with unpredictable cash flow may need more than tenured professors.
    Building that level of cash reserves isn’t easy. Only 44% of Americans have three months of expenses saved for emergencies, according to Bankrate’s survey.

    Single income: Save six months or more

    Generally, single individuals or families with a single income should save at least six months of expenses, experts say.
    But higher levels of cash reserves could offer more flexibility when faced with a job loss or economic downturn.
    Douglas Boneparth, a CFP and president of Bone Fide Wealth in New York, prefers six to nine months of savings for single earners.
    “I’ve never come across someone who was upset that they had a little bit more cash than they needed,” said Boneparth, who is also a member of CNBC’s Financial Advisor Council.

    Boston-based CFP and enrolled agent Catherine Valega, founder of Green Bee Advisory, said she is “more conservative than most other advisors” and recommends 12 to 18 months of living expenses in “safe, liquid investments” for single earners.
    Although the Federal Reserve could start cutting interest rates in September, investors still have “high-yield savings opportunities,” she added.

    Entrepreneurs: Keep up to one year of expenses

    With unsteady income, entrepreneurs or small business owners could also benefit from higher levels of savings — eight to 12 months of expenses, according to Giardino of Wealth Enhancement Group.
    Of course, the exact amount for emergency savings depends on your unique circumstances and your family’s needs.

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    Here’s the inflation breakdown for July 2024 — in one chart

    The consumer price index rose 2.9% in July 2024 from a year earlier, according to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.
    That was the lowest reading since March 2021.
    Inflation for consumer staples has eased considerably, economists said.

    d3sign | Moment | Getty Images

    Inflation continued to retreat in July, aided by easing price pressures for consumer staples like food and energy and physical goods like new and used cars.
    The consumer price index, a key inflation gauge, rose 2.9% in July from a year ago, the U.S. Department of Labor reported Wednesday. That figure is down from 3% in June and the lowest reading since March 2021.

    The CPI gauges how fast prices are changing across the U.S. economy. It measures everything from fruits and vegetables to haircuts, concert tickets and household appliances.

    “I think it’s right down the strike zone,” Mark Zandi, chief economist of Moody’s, said of the CPI report.
    Perhaps the most important thing for consumers is inflation for groceries “continues to grow very slowly,” Zandi said.
    Combined with similar good news for other necessities like gasoline and market rents for new tenants, “that’s really encouraging news, particularly for the lower-income consumers that are the most hard pressed,” he added.

    Inflation guides Fed interest rate policy

    The July inflation reading is down significantly from the 9.1% pandemic-era peak in mid-2022, which was the highest level since 1981.

    It’s also nearing policymakers’ long-term target, around 2%.
    “We think we’re though the worst of it from an inflation perspective,” said Joe Seydl, senior markets economist at J.P. Morgan Private Bank.

    The U.S. Federal Reserve uses inflation data to help guide its interest rate policy. It raised rates to their highest level in 23 years during the Covid-19 pandemic era, pushing up borrowing costs for consumers and businesses in a bid to tame inflation.
    Recent labor market data has spooked some investors, who fear it signals a U.S. recession may be near. Many economists say those concerns are overblown, at least for now.

    Nonetheless, easing inflation coupled with a cooler labor market make it likely that Fed officials will start cutting interest rates at their next policy meeting in September, economists said. Doing so would reduce borrowing costs, helping buoy the economy.
    “In short, this CPI report represents more good data and adds to the evidence supporting a [0.25 percentage point] September rate cut,” Paul Ashworth, chief North America economist at Capital Economics, wrote in a note Wednesday.

    Housing is a stumbling block

    Housing is the one major impediment keeping inflation elevated above the Fed’s target right now — on paper, at least, economists said.
    Shelter is largest component of the CPI, and therefore has an outsized effect on inflation readings.
    The shelter index has risen 5.1% since July 2023, accounting for more than 70% of the annual increase in the “core” CPI, the BLS said Wednesday. (The core CPI is economists’ preferred gauge of inflation trends. It strips out food and energy costs, which can be volatile.)

    After declining to 0.2% in June on a monthly basis, shelter inflation jumped back to 0.4% in July, the BLS reported.
    Housing inflation moves up and down at glacial speed due to how the government measures it, economists said. Such data quirks mask positive news in the real-time rental market, which has seen inflation flatline for about two years, Zandi said.
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    Excluding shelter — which is likely warranted given measurement issues — “we’re at the Fed’s target and then some,” Zandi said.
    “Mission accomplished, in my view,” he said of the fight against inflation.
    After stripping out shelter, the CPI rose 1.7% in July, below the Fed’s annual target.
    Economists broadly expect shelter CPI inflation to continue to throttle back slowly given prevailing trends for market rents.

    Other ‘notable’ categories

    Motor vehicle insurance, medical care, personal care and recreation are some other indexes with “notable” increases over the last year, according to the BLS.
    Prices in those categories are up 18.6%, 3.2%, 3.4% and 1.4%, respectively.
    A surge in new and used car prices a few years ago is likely now fueling high inflation for car insurance premiums and vehicle repair, since it generally costs more to insure and repair pricier cars, economists said.

    Insurance inflation should ultimately fade alongside falling car prices, they said. New vehicle prices are down 1% over the past year, and those for used cars and trucks have declined almost 11%.
    Egg prices — which had surged in 2022 due to a historic outbreak of bird flu — are rising again following a reemergence of the deadly disease. They’re up 19% from a year ago.
    Other food categories including bacon and crackers are up over the past year (by 8.5% and 3%, respectively), but their prices fell during the month of July, suggesting more potential declines ahead.
    Overall annual grocery inflation was 1.1% in July, down from an average 11.4% in 2022, which was the highest since 1979.

    How supply and demand impacted inflation

    Inflation for physical goods spiked as the U.S. economy reopened in 2021. The Covid-19 pandemic disrupted supply chains, while Americans spent more on their homes and less on services such as dining out and entertainment.
    It is a different story now. Goods inflation has largely normalized, while the services sector is a fly in the ointment, economists said.
    However, services inflation — generally more sensitive to labor costs — should ease further due to a slacker job market and declining wage growth, economists said.
    High interest rates have also served to reduce overall inflation by reducing demand, Seydl said.

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    How to get your student debt forgiven under a state program. Some are ‘really generous,’ expert says

    With the fate of federal student loan forgiveness programs facing uncertainty, borrowers should explore the many state-level relief options available, experts say.
    “Most states have [a program], especially if you’re in health care,” said Betsy Mayotte, president of The Institute of Student Loan Advisors, a nonprofit.

    Halfpoint Images | Moment | Getty Images

    With the federal government’s ability to forgive student debt up in the air, experts say it would behoove borrowers to explore the many state-level relief programs available.
    “Most states have one, especially if you’re in health care,” said Betsy Mayotte, president of The Institute of Student Loan Advisors, a nonprofit that helps borrowers navigate the repayment of their debt.

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    A student loan forgiveness initiative for nonprofit and hospital nurses in Minnesota has gotten some attention of late, because Vice President Kamala Harris’ running mate, Tim Walz, signed it into law last year. Under that program, registered nurses who work at a nonprofit or public hospital in Minnesota are eligible for up to $12,000 in student debt relief.
    Different states have programs focusing on various fields.
    “There’s a bunch for teachers and public defenders, and some oddball ones,” Mayotte added. “And some of them are really generous.”

    What’s happening with federal forgiveness programs

    Currently, the federal government’s ability to forgive student debt is in jeopardy.

    The Biden administration’s new repayment Saving on a Valuable Education plan, known as SAVE, that leads to expedited forgiveness for certain borrowers is on hold amid a barrage of Republican-led legal challenges. President Joe Biden’s broad-based forgiveness effort could be finalized this fall, but is likely to end up in court, too.

    State forgiveness often based on occupation

    Most state-level student debt forgiveness programs offer relief to borrowers in specific occupations, said higher education expert Mark Kantrowitz.
    “So they should look for forgiveness based on their job, especially for their state,” Kantrowitz said.
    For example, in California, licensed mental health professionals who work at certain facilities may be eligible for up to $15,000 in student loan assistance. (The next application deadline is Aug. 26.)
    The Maine Dental Education Loan Repayment Program offers a total of $100,000 in student loan repayment assistance to dentists in underserved areas of the state.

    One benefit of the state loan forgiveness programs, Mayotte pointed out, is that private student loans are often eligible. The federal government, meanwhile, excludes private loans from its relief.
    Other state programs may offer forgiveness based on your finances rather than your occupation.
    In New York, the Get On Your Feet Loan Forgiveness Program, rolled out in 2015, allows certain residents to get loan forgiveness for up to 24 months of their payments. Among other qualification requirements, borrowers must have an adjusted gross income of less than $50,000 a year.
    The Institute of Student Loan Advisors has a database of student loan forgiveness programs by state.

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