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    Activist Oasis suggests three steps to build shareholder value at embattled Kobayashi Pharmaceutical

    A man walks past Kobayashi Pharmaceutical’s headquarters building in Osaka on April 2, 2024.
    Yuichi Yamazaki | AFP | Getty Images

    Company: Kobayashi Pharmaceutical (4967.T)

    Business: Kobayashi Pharmaceutical manufactures and sells pharmaceuticals and consumer products in Japan and internationally. The company operates in three segments: The Domestic Business and International Business segments offer health care, household, skin care and other products. The Company recently merged its mail-order segment into its domestic business segment, which is engaged in the mail-order sale of dietary supplements, skin care and other products. The Other segment is engaged in transportation, plastic container manufacturing, real estate management and advertising planning and production.
    Stock Market Value: ~440 billion Japanese yen (5,635 yen per share)

    Activist: Oasis Management Company

    Percentage Ownership:  5.20%
    Average Cost: n/a
    Activist Commentary: Oasis Management is a global hedge fund management firm headquartered in Hong Kong with additional offices in Tokyo and Austin, Texas, as well as the Cayman Islands. Oasis was founded in 2002 by Seth Fischer, who leads the firm as its chief investment officer. Oasis is an authentic international activist investor, doing activism primarily in Asia (and occasionally Europe). The firm seeks to identify investment opportunities that are undervalued and have great potential for value creation. The firm has an impressive track record of prolific and successful international activism. Oasis has as many arrows in its quiver as any activist and has been successful in getting seats on boards, opposing strategic transactions, advocating for strategic actions, improving corporate governance and holding management accountable.

    What’s happening

    Oasis recently reported a 5.20% position in Kobayashi. Amid a scandal around Kobayashi’s red koji-related products, Oasis said that it could engage the company if there was no self-improvement and suggested three paths for value creation: (i) Kobayashi could improve operational performance on its own; (ii) go private via a management buyout; or (iii) work with Oasis to improve operational performance, corporate governance and the constitution of the board.

    Behind the scenes

    Kobayashi Pharmaceutical is a Japan-based pharmaceuticals and consumer products company. It owns a stable of over 150 brands in categories across pharmaceuticals, oral care, food, skin care, air fresheners, mail order and more. The company generated 173.45 billion yen of sales in 2023 with 75% coming from domestic sales, 24% from international sales, and less than 1% from its other businesses. While the business posted record revenue in 2023, it was coming off of a declining base and only narrowly exceeded its 2018 revenue of 167 million yen. Moreover, since 2019, return on assets declined from 12% to 10.4%, return on equity from 11.3% to 10.1% and operating margins from 16.2% to 14.9%. As a result, the company’s shares declined over 45% from its peak in December 2020 to the end of 2023.

    Matters went from bad to worse in early 2024 amid reports of health issues that appeared to be linked to Kobayashi’s red koji-related products. In March, the company recalled three products. Subsequently, Kobayashi began an investigation into the matter and formed a fact-finding committee to assess the situation and the board’s response. Last month, the company released the results of the investigation. While the committee concluded that the company did not engage in any malicious actions to conceal the matter, it also found that Kobayashi lacked awareness of the safety of health foods and failed to make timely reports and consultation to the board, auditors, government and consumers. The committee also found that the company lacked preparation for health damages and failed to invest sufficient resources into quality control. The scandal around the red koji supplement has sent the stock down nearly 20% since the end of 2023.
    In May, Oasis Management highlighted the opportunity at Kobayashi. At that time, Oasis highlighted that this was not a case of an extraordinary or unimaginable crisis. At the time, Oasis said that they could step in if there was no “self-improvement” and that the company would stand to gain if it implemented improved crisis management protocols and improved corporate governance to better hold management accountable and root out nepotism. Oasis suggested three paths for value creation: (i) improve operational performance on its own; (ii) go private via a management buyout; or (iii) work with Oasis to improve operational performance, corporate governance, and the constitution of the board.
    In July, president and CEO Akihiro Kobayashi and Chairman Kazumasa Kobayashi resigned from their roles. However, Akihiro Kobayashi remained on the board to continue handling compensation for victims, and Kazumasa Kobayashi was made a special advisor to the company. Both individuals announced they would return approximately half of their compensation from the past six months. Executive officer and head of sustainability management Satoshi Yamane took over as president and CEO.
    Now, Oasis reported a 5.20% stake in the company, likely a sign that the activist is ready to begin engaging management more aggressively. It is clear to us that Kobayashi needs a reset and that Oasis is a willing and able partner to do so, but it is yet to be seen if the newly appointed CEO and shaken board will play ball. The company’s annual meeting passed in March 2024 before the results of the fact-finding committee were released, so we will have to wait nearly a year before Oasis could submit any shareholder proposals barring the requisition of an Extraordinary Meeting. This is a board which has overseen several product recalls and has been found to be ineffective in its oversight role of quality assurance and crisis management. While accepting the resignations of Akihiro and Kazumasa Kobayashi is a step in the right direction, keeping them involved with the company is more telling as to how this board weighs shareholder concerns versus management interests.
    Kobayashi would be wise to overhaul much of its board and auditors, and at minimum invite a representative of Oasis onto the board. It would imbue the company with a sense of urgency to improve operational performance, corporate governance and shareholder value maximization. Moreover, Oasis has an extensive history of working to improve corporate governance at its Japanese portfolio companies, delivering an average 31.7% return on its Japanese campaigns with a corporate governance thesis versus 1.9% for the MSCI EAFE index. Despite this, a board invitation to an activist is something that rarely happens in Japanese companies today. If Oasis wants to create value for shareholders from a board level, it is something that would probably have to happen through a proxy fight. But that is also a long shot, even at a company with corporate governance issues as we have here. Oasis has encountered difficulties recently in campaigns which have centered around poor corporate governance, being delivered losses at the 2024 annual general meetings of Hokuetsu and Ain Holdings. The recent loss at Ain was especially disconcerting, as the pharmacy company had displayed problematic corporate governance, yet Oasis was unable to achieve enough shareholder support to gain board representation.
    This is not a criticism of Oasis. The firm is a top-tier Japan shareholder activist and if anyone can get board seats in Japan, it is Oasis. Rather, it is more of a reality of Japanese corporate governance, which has come a long way over the past several years but has much further to go. Oasis is not the type of activist to be deterred from one or two losses: Japanese activists are used to losing proxy fights. We would hope the firm pursues this for the sake of Kobayashi shareholders and to continue the upward momentum toward better corporate governance in Japan.
    If the firm receives a board seat, Oasis could assist in assessing strategic alternatives, including a management buyout at Kobayashi’s currently depressed share price or an acquisition by a strategic acquirer who could improve quality assurance and integrate it into a more well-governed structure. Oasis has been very active in Japanese pharmaceuticals and drug store companies in recent years. The firm has cited consolidation as a major structural theme, campaigning for change at Tsuruha Holdings, Kao Corp, Ain Holdings and management buyout opposition at Taisho Pharmaceutical Holdings.
    Ken Squire is the founder and president of 13D Monitor, an institutional research service on shareholder activism, and the founder and portfolio manager of the 13D Activist Fund, a mutual fund that invests in a portfolio of activist 13D investments. More

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    Tech companies want nuclear power. Some utilities are throwing up roadblocks

    Power companies such as Constellation Energy and Vistra are in talks with customers interested in directly connecting data centers to nuclear plants.
    Constellation and Vistra shares have soared as investors see a chance for their nuclear plants to power the tech sector.
    But connecting data centers directly to nuclear plants already faces controversy.
    Some utilities have challenged an agreement between Amazon and Talen Energy.

    A cooling tower at the Constellation Nine Mile Point Nuclear Station in Scriba, New York, US, on Tuesday, May 9, 2023. 
    Lauren Petracca | Bloomberg | Getty Images

    Tech companies are increasingly looking to directly connect data centers to nuclear plants as they race to secure clean energy to power artificial intelligence, sparking resistance from some utilities over the potential impact on the electric grid.
    Data centers, the computer warehouses that run the Internet, in some cases now require a gigawatt or more of power, comparable to the average capacity of a nuclear reactor in the U.S.

    The data centers are essential to U.S. economic competitiveness and national security as the country competes with adversaries such as China for supremacy in the race to develop AI, said Joe Dominguez, the CEO of Constellation Energy, which operates the largest nuclear fleet in the U.S.
    “When you’re talking about large [demand] load that also wants to use zero-emission energy, you’re going to bring it very close to nuclear power plants,” Dominguez said on Constellation’s second-quarter earnings call Tuesday. Constellation, headquartered in Baltimore, operates 21 of the 93 reactors in the U.S.
    Constellation’s shares have surged 58% this year, the sixth-best stock in the S&P 500, as investors attach a higher value to the company’s nuclear power capacity to meet the growth in data centers. Shares of Vistra Corp., based outside Dallas and owner of six reactors, have doubled this year, the second-best performing stock in the S&P after AI chipmaker Nvidia.
    Tech companies are building out data centers just as power supply is increasingly constrained due to the retirement of coal plants and as demand is climbing from the expansion of domestic manufacturing and the electrification of vehicles.
    The largest grid operator in the U.S., PJM Interconnection, warned in late July that power supply and demand is tightening as construction of new generation lags demand. PJM covers 13 states primarily in the Mid-Atlantic region, including the world’s largest data center hub in northern Virginia.

    Constellation’s Dominguez argued that connecting data centers directly to nuclear plants, called co-location by the industry, is the fastest and most cost-effective way to support the buildout of data centers, without burdening consumers with the costs of building new transmission lines.
    “The notion that you could accumulate enough power somewhere on the grid to power a gigawatt data center is frankly laughable to me — that you could do that in anywhere that doesn’t start with decades of time,” Dominguez said. “This is an enormous amount of power to go out and try to concentrate.”

    Amazon’s nuclear agreement

    But co-locating data centers next to nuclear plants already faces controversy.
    In March, Amazon Web Services bought a data center powered by the 41-year-old Susquehanna nuclear plant in Pennsylvania from Talen Energy for $650 million . But the agreement to directly sell power to the AWS data center from the nuclear plant already faces opposition from utilities American Electric Power and Exelon, who have filed complaints at the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC).
    AEP and Exelon argue that the deal between Amazon and Talen sets a precedent that will result in less available power in the PJM grid area as resources “flee to serve load that uses and benefits from — but does not pay for — the transmission system”
    “This will harm existing customers,” the utilities told FERC in a filing in June. Talen Energy has dismissed the objections as “demonstrably false,” accusing the utilities of stifling innovation.
    “The rapid emergence of artificial intelligence and data centers has fundamentally changed the demand for power and leads to an inflection point for the power industry,” Talen said in a June statement. “Talen’s co-location arrangement with AWS brings one solution to this new demand, on a timeline that serves the customer quickly.”
    FERC has requested more information on the service agreement between Talen and AWS. The regulator is holding a conference in the fall to discuss issues associated with connecting large electricity loads directly to power plants.
    “It really is a great opportunity for there to be interaction between stakeholders and the commissioners in an informal setting like a conference, as opposed to doing so in litigation,” Kathleen Barrón, chief strategy officer at Constellation, said on the power company’s recent earnings call, referring to the fall FERC meeting.

    Shopping for nuclear power

    Constellation and Vistra have backed the AWS-Talen agreement in filings to FERC, with each of their CEOs saying on their earnings calls this week that co-location and traditional grid connection will be needed to meet demand.
    Barrón told CNBC that Constellation has “seen interest from many” tech companies in potentially co-locating a data center at one of its sites.
    Vistra is having numerous conversations with customers about co-location and is “in due diligence for a number of sites,” CEO Jim Burke said Thursday. With the dispute in the PJM region over co-location, data center developers may take a closer look at Texas, which operates its own grid called ERCOT, Burke said.
    “We’re seeing some interest in Comanche Peak,” Burke told analysts on the company’s second-quarter earnings call, referring to one of Vistra’s nuclear plants. Comanche Peak, about 50 miles outside Fort Worth, Texas, has two reactors with 2.4 gigawatts of capacity, enough to power 1.2 million homes in typical conditions and 480,000 homes in peak periods, according to Vistra.
    And Dominion Energy has indicated it is open to connecting a data center to the Millstone nuclear plant in Connecticut. The Dominion service region includes northern Virginia, the epicenter of the data center boom.
    “We continue to explore that option,” CEO Robert Blue said on Dominion’s second-quarter earnings call. “We do clearly realize any co-location option is going to have to make sense for us, our potential counterparty and stakeholders in Connecticut.”
    Kelly Trice, president of Holtec International, a privately held nuclear company headquartered in Florida, said the U.S. needs to start thinking more about balancing the power needs of data centers with those of all consumers. Holtec is working to restart the Palisades nuclear plant in Michigan and has also had conversations with tech companies about nuclear energy.
    “Essentially, the hyperscalers and the data centers can take all the power and the consumer not get any of that if we’re not careful,” Trice told CNBC. “So the balance there, where the consumers actually get what is rightfully theirs too, is a factor.”
    “The United States hasn’t really started wrestling [with] that yet,” Trice said. “But I think we’re getting close.” More

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    Trump wants to cut taxes on Social Security — but it could threaten benefits, experts say

    Former President Donald Trump repeated his plan to eliminate taxes on Social Security benefits for seniors.
    But the plan could accelerate insolvency for the Social Security and Medicare trust funds, experts say.
    Roughly 40% of Americans who receive Social Security benefits pay federal income tax, according to the Social Security Administration. 

    Republican presidential nominee and former U.S. President Donald Trump holds a campaign rally in Harrisburg, Pennsylvania, U.S., July 31, 2024.
    Elizabeth Frantz | Reuters

    Trump’s plan could move insolvency for Social Security, including the disability program, up two years, from 2035 to 2033, according to the Tax Foundation. Insolvency for Medicare could move up six years, from 2036 to 2030.

    “President Trump delivered on his promise to protect Social Security and Medicare in his first term” and will “continue to strongly protect Social Security and Medicare in his second term,” Trump campaign national press secretary Karoline Leavitt said in a statement.
    She said Trump will boost the U.S. economy and strengthen Social Security, “all the while eliminating taxes on Social Security for America’s well-deserving seniors.”

    Cutting tax primarily benefits higher earners

    “In the short run, [Trump’s plan] will provide a fairly modest benefit, on average, to Social Security beneficiaries,” said Howard Gleckman, senior fellow at the Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center. “But nearly all of that benefit goes to high-income retirees who really don’t need it.”
    For 2025, the tax break could save U.S. households an average of $550, according to a Tax Policy Center analysis released Aug. 1. But households could see an average tax break of $90 with income between $32,000 and $60,000 or no benefit with earnings of $32,000 or less.

    Roughly 40% of Americans who receive Social Security benefits pay federal income tax, and several states collect taxes on Social Security.
    The federal income tax formula uses “combined income,” including your adjusted gross income, non-taxable interest and one-half of Social Security benefits.
    With combined income between $25,000 and $34,000 — or $32,000 and $44,000 for married couples filing jointly — up to 50% of Social Security benefits may be taxable. Once combined income exceeds those levels, up to 85% of your Social Security benefits could be subject to tax.
    The thresholds don’t adjust for inflation, so “it’s hitting middle-income people who have Social Security benefits and probably a pension or 401(k),” Gleckman said. More

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    Biden administration’s student loan relief plan may be paused for ‘months or even a year,’ expert says

    The Biden administration’s new affordable repayment plan, known as SAVE, may be on hold for months or longer due to legal challenges.
    Here’s what borrowers should know in the meantime.

    Alistair Berg | Digitalvision | Getty Images

    Why the SAVE plan is on hold

    The SAVE plan has been a magnet for controversy ever since the Biden administration rolled out the program in the summer of 2023, describing it as “the most affordable student loan plan ever.”
    Indeed, the terms of the new income-driven repayment plan are the most generous to date.
    SAVE comes with two key provisions that legal challenges have targeted: It has lower monthly payments more than any other federal student loan repayment plan, and it leads to quicker debt erasure for those with small balances.

    Republican-led states that have sued the U.S. Department of Education over SAVE argue that the agency overstepped its authority and essentially is trying to find a roundabout way to forgive student debt after the Supreme Court blocked its sweeping plan in June 2023.

    Before the legal challenges, the Education Department had already forgiven $5.5 billion in student debt for 414,000 borrowers through the SAVE plan.
    Those who have already received the relief are not impacted by any pause to the plan, experts say.

    Payments are not due for now

    No credit toward forgiveness

    Unlike during other payment pauses on student loans, months during this forbearance will not count toward borrowers’ timeline to loan forgiveness.
    That means those enrolled in SAVE who are hoping to eventually get their debt cleared under either the income-driven repayment plan’s terms or Public Service Loan Forgiveness are not getting credit for this period in which they’re not making payments.
    However, borrowers pursuing student loan forgiveness should still explore their options, said Elaine Rubin, director of corporate communications at Edvisors, which helps students navigate college costs and borrowing.

    For example, the Education Department offers a so-called buyback option for borrowers working toward PSLF who might have missed payments. That opportunity lets borrowers close to debt forgiveness get credit for previous months by retroactively making payments, Rubin said.
    Alternatively, borrowers who don’t want to lose credit for the months they spend in this forbearance might consider switching to another income-driven repayment plan, Rubin said.
    “However, transitioning between repayment plans may take several months,” she said. “Some borrowers have reported that their servicers informed them it could take up to 90 days.”
    Also, even if they’re not moving closer toward debt forgiveness for the time being, SAVE enrollees are benefiting from a $0 monthly payment, Kantrowitz pointed out.
    “Borrowers do not lose anything because of the pause, other than time,” he added. More

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    If Debby damages your basement, here’s what’s not covered by flood insurance

    Debby has weakened to a post-tropical storm, after making landfall in Florida as a Category 1 hurricane Monday.
    It’s expected to bring more heavy rain and flooding to the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast on Friday and into the weekend.
    Homeowners insurance doesn’t cover flood damage. You need a separate flood insurance policy.
    Flood insurance generally doesn’t cover items stored in basements, however.

    A flooded street caused by the rain and storm surge from Hurricane Debby on Aug. 05, 2024, in Cedar Key, Florida.
    Joe Raedle | Getty Images

    You need a separate insurance policy for floods

    A house is surrounded by floodwaters from Tropical Storm Debby on Aug. 6, 2024 in Charleston, South Carolina.
    Miguel J. Rodríguez Carrillo | Getty Images

    Flooding causes 90% of annual disaster damage in the U.S., according to the Federal Emergency Management Agency.
    Just an inch of water can cause roughly $25,000 of damage to a property, the agency said.
    Homeowners and renters insurance policies do not cover flood damage, however.
    Consumers need separate insurance to cover physical damage caused by a flood, which is defined as water entering a home from the ground up. That may occur due to storm surge, heavy rainfall or an overflowed body of water like a lake or river.
    Most people who have flood insurance get it through the federal government, via FEMA’s National Flood Insurance Program, experts said.

    Americans had about 4.4 million residential NFIP policies at the end of 2023, according to FEMA. They had total coverage of $1.2 trillion.
    Many homeowners go without coverage, though. On average, about 30% of U.S. homes in the highest-risk areas for flooding have flood insurance, according to the University of Pennsylvania’s Wharton Risk Center.
    Nearly 21,000 policyholders filed a claim in 2023, with an average payment of almost $46,000, according to FEMA data.
    The average annual flood insurance premium was $700 in 2019, FEMA said.
    Private insurers also offer flood policies and may offer higher coverage than FEMA’s policies, according to the Insurance Information Institute.

    What items aren’t covered in a basement?

    A Johnson, Vermont, resident removes items destroyed in flooding of a finished basement in 2023.
    Jessica Rinaldi/The Boston Globe via Getty Images

    American basements can be a hodgepodge of personal property, leveraged as storage units, man caves, game rooms, wine cellars, home bars and secondary living rooms.
    But basement coverage “is limited” through NFIP policies, FEMA said.
    The agency defines a “basement” as any area of a building with a floor below ground level on all sides.
    Even rooms that aren’t fully below ground level — like sunken living rooms, crawlspaces and lower levels of split-level buildings — may still be considered basements, the agency said.

    Its flood policies exclude the following items from coverage in a basement:

    “Personal property” like couches, computers, or televisions
    Basement improvements (such as finished flooring, finished walls, bathroom fixtures, and other built-ins)
    Generators (and similar items)
    Certain dehumidifiers

    Items “stored in a basement, meaning they are not connected to a power source,” aren’t covered, FEMA said.
    Consumers concerned about flood risk and insurance coverage should consider removing their stuff from a basement, if possible, Kochenburger said. They should “move it to a storage unit or somewhere else” on higher ground, he said.

    These basement items are included, with an add-on

    A man uses a mop to wipe up rain water on the interior of the Lincoln Memorial on Aug. 09, 2024 in Washington, DC. The Washington DC area experienced a tornado warning and flooding as a result of remnants from Debby. 
    Anna Moneymaker | Getty Images

    The following basement items are covered, but only if NFIP policyholders buy additional “contents coverage,” which is optional, and if connected to a power source, FEMA said:

    Clothes washers and dryers
    Air conditioners (portable or window units)
    Food freezers and the food in them (excluding walk-in freezers)

    Private insurance policies may offer broader property coverage in basements, depending on the insurer, Don Griffin, vice president of policy and research at the American Property Casualty Insurance Association, previously told CNBC.

    You can put anything you want in your basement, but don’t expect it to be insured for floods.

    Peter Kochenburger
    visiting law professor at Southern University Law Center

    One silver lining to all this: Fewer U.S. homes are being built with basements.
    The share of new single-family homes with full or partial basements has fallen by more than half since the mid-1970s, from 45% to 21%, according to U.S. Census Bureau data as of 2022.
    On Feb. 6, FEMA announced a proposal to update its NFIP program and potentially enhance basement coverage for policyholders.
    “Policyholders with basements continue to be surprised that under the current Dwelling Form, the policy provides limited coverage in a basement,” FEMA wrote.

    What basement items are covered by flood insurance?

    “Flood insurance’s primary focus is structure: the building itself,” Kochenburger said.
    Here are examples of how NFIP policies cover the building and structure in basements, FEMA said:

    Central air conditioners
    Fuel tanks and the fuel in them
    Furnaces and water heaters
    Sump pumps, heat pumps, and well water tanks and pumps
    Electrical outlets and switches
    Elevators and dumbwaiters
    Certain drywall
    Electrical junction and circuit breaker boxes
    Stairways and staircases attached to the building
    Foundation elements and anchorage systems required to support a building

    Policyholders can also get compensation for cleanup costs such as pumping out trapped floodwater, treatment for mold and mildew and structural drying of the interior foundation, FEMA said.
    As a precaution, the agency recommends documenting the manufacturer, model, serial number and capacity of equipment in your basement like furnaces, central AC units and appliances like freezers, washers and dryers.
    Should you experience flooding, the NFIP requires this information during the claims process, FEMA said.
    Policyholders should review their flood insurance policy for a comprehensive list of covered items and expenses, according to FEMA. More

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    Friday’s big stock stories: What’s likely to move the market in the next trading session

    Traders work on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., August 8, 2024.
    Brendan McDermid | Reuters

    Stocks @ Night is a daily newsletter delivered after hours, giving you a first look at tomorrow and last look at today. Sign up for free to receive it directly in your inbox.
    Here’s what CNBC TV’s producers were watching during the rebound and what’s on the radar for the next session.

    E.l.f. Beauty blew past Wall Street estimates, posting a 50% gain in sales in its fiscal first quarter. That follows a 76% jump in the year-ago period. On its post-earnings conference call, the company said to expect higher container and transportation cost headwinds in FY25. Shares rose 3.4% during the regular session, but fell 10% in after-hours trading.
    Paramount Global added 5% after the closing bell – after dropping 2.4% during the regular trading day. The company’s streaming division swung to an unexpected profit for the first time ever. Paramount also announced it is cutting 15% of its U.S. workforce, as part of broader cost savings. CNBC TV’s Julia Boorstin will have the latest.
    Sweetgreen soared more than 20% after the closing bell. The company boosted its full-year sales outlook. Earnings missed, with a loss of 13 cents per share versus the Street’s estimates of a loss of 10 cents a share. Revenue came in at $185 million, beating estimates of $181 million.

    Stock chart icon

    Sweetgreen’s year-to-date performance

    Dropbox added 3% in after-hours trading after the company beat on earnings and revenue.
    Archer Aviation tumbled in after-hours trading, after reporting quarterly results. The company also unveiled plans for a Los Angeles air taxi network, as soon as 2026. CNBC TV’s Phil LeBeau will cover the story on Friday.

    —Jill Schneider

    Renovation nation

    CNBC’s real estate reporter Diana Olick will report on an uptick for home renovations in the U.S.
    She’ll have details on CNBC TV Friday.
    Shares of Home Depot are down 2% this week. The stock is 12% from the 52-week high hit back in March. Year to date, shares are flat.
    Lowe’s is 10% from the 52-week high. The stock is down 1.7% week to date, but it’s up 6% in 2024.

    Bonds in the U.S.A.

    CNBC.com’s Darla Mercado reports as the Federal Reserve may very well be getting ready for a rate cut, investors will have to look for new sources of yield rather than those 5%-plus short-term bonds.
    She lists several core and core-plus bond funds for investors to consider including Vanguard’s Core Bond Fund (VCORX), which has a 30-day SEC yield of 4.47% right now.
    Fidelity’s Intermediate Bond Fund (FTHRX) has a 30-day yield of 4.32%.
    Vanguard’s Core-Plus Bond Fund (VCPIX) has a 30-day SEC yield of 4.66%.
    BAGIX is the Baird Aggregate Bond Fund, which has a 30-day SEC yield of 4.32%.
    BlackRock’s Total Return ETF (BRTR) has a 30-day SEC yield of 4.97%.

    Magnificent gains for the Magnificent Seven

    Nvidia jumped 6% on Thursday. The stock is 25% from the June 20 high.
    Meta Platforms was up 4.2% in Thursday’s rally. The stock is 6% from the July 8 high.
    Tesla added 3.7% in the session. The stock is 28.7% from the September high.
    Alphabet was up nearly 2%. The stock is 15.5% from the July high.
    Amazon was up 1.86% Thursday. The stock is 17.6% from the July high.
    Apple was up about 1.7%. The stock is 10% from the July high.
    Microsoft closed 1% higher. The stock is 14% from the early July high.
    Thursday was the S&P 500’s best session since November 2022. Tech was the best performing sector of the day, while Communication Services was second.

    Stock chart icon

    S&P 500’s five-day performance

    Delta Air Lines and CrowdStrike

    The airline says the CrowdStrike tech outage last month cost it $380 million dollars.
    CrowdStrike said it offered to help, and it called the airline’s narrative “misleading.”
    “Fast Money” trader Karen Finerman announced that she was opening a position in CrowdStrike, saying the sell-off since the crisis is “overdone.”
    CrowdStrike was up 4.27% on Thursday. The stock is 40% from the July 9 high.
    The relative strength index on the stock, which is one metric traders use to tell when a stock is oversold, is now at 30.8. An RSI of 30 suggests a stock may be oversold, while a reading of 70 or greater means it’s overbought. There is no guarantee that a stock will fall when the RSI hits 70 or that it will jump at 30, but it is one piece of data that some traders use to make decisions.

    Make-up

    As Jill Schneider said above E.l.f. sales jumped 50% in the last quarter. That seems pretty good.  Guidance, however, was cautious. The stock is down 11% after hours. E.l.f. is up 13% in four days. It’s up 30% year to date, and it’s 15% from the March high.
    Ulta Beauty is 43% from the March high.
    Estee Lauder is down 45% in the last year.
    Coty is 30% from the February high.

    —Jason Gewirtz More

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    Average consumer now carries $6,329 in credit card debt. ‘People are stretched,’ expert says

    Collectively, Americans owe $1.14 trillion on their credit cards, the Federal Reserve Bank of New York reported Tuesday.
    The average credit card balance is now $6,329, a new report by TransUnion found.
    As consumers lean on credit cards, more borrowers are also falling behind on their payments, both reports show. 

    Credit card debt is on the rise.
    Americans now owe a record $1.14 trillion on their credit cards, the Federal Reserve Bank of New York reported Tuesday.

    The average balance per consumer stands at $6,329, up 4.8% year over year, according to a separate quarterly credit industry insights report from TransUnion.

    Credit card delinquency rates are also higher across the board, the New York Fed and TransUnion found. Over the last year, roughly 9.1% of credit card balances transitioned into delinquency, the New York Fed reported.
    Borrowers with revolving debt “are maxing out their credit cards,” said Michele Raneri, vice president and head of U.S. research and consulting at TransUnion, “that’s usually a pretty good indicator that people are stretched.”

    Time to ‘reassess’ revenge spending

    “Credit card balances briefly fell in 2020 and early 2021 due to pandemic-related factors,” said Ted Rossman, Bankrate’s senior industry analyst, which included government-supplied stimulus checks and fewer opportunities for spending.
    “But since early 2021, credit card balances have rocketed upward by 48%, fueled by a post-pandemic boom in services spending as well as high inflation and high interest rates,” he said.

    Consumers have showed a remarkable willingness to splurge on travel and entertainment, a recent report by Bankrate also shows, to recapture the experiences they lost during the Covid years.
    “Maybe people can reassess that now,” Raneri said.
    The surge in “revenge spending” has now lasted several years, she added. “Maybe there is a way to position it that they can check off some of the things that they feel like they missed and get back to normal.”
    More from Personal Finance:’Underconsumption core’ is in — and not a moment too soon’Recession pop’ is back: How music hits on economic trendsMore Americans are struggling even as inflation cools
    Credit cards are one of the most expensive ways to borrow money. The average credit card charges more than 20% — near an all-time high.
    “With credit card balances at an all-time high and the average credit card rate hovering near record territory, it’s more important than ever to pay down this debt as soon as possible,” Rossman said.
    If you’re carrying a balance, try consolidating and paying off high-interest credit cards with a lower interest personal loan or switch to an interest-free balance transfer credit card, he advised.
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    Thursday’s big stock stories: What’s likely to move the market in the next trading session

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    Office demand and office stocks

    CNBC TV’s Diana Olick will report on the state of office demand in the U.S. on Thursday, with a special focus on New York City.
    SL Green is up roughly 12% in a month, and it’s gained 20% in three months. The stock has dropped 11% since the July high.
    Vornado is up 16.6% in a month, and it’s added 24% in three months. The stock is 7% from the December high.
    CBRE is up 22% in a month, but the stock has dropped 7% from the July 31st high.
    BXP is up 12% in a month, and it’s higher by 11% in three months. The stock is 8.7% from the December high.

    Eli Lilly

    The pharma giant will report quarterly numbers on Thursday morning.
    Eli Lilly is up 32.5% so far in 2024.
    The stock is 20% from the July high.
    Eli Lilly is flat since over the past three months.

    Retail earnings

    Under Armour reports before the bell.
    Capri Holdings reports after the bell. Their brands include Versace, Jimmy Choo and Michael Kors.
    Class C shares of Under Armour are down 4.4% over the past three months. The stock is 30% from the December high.
    Capri is down 13.7% in three months, and it’s 41.5% from the high hit almost a year ago.

    Stock chart icon

    Capri Holdings, 3-month performance

    Other retailers

    Etsy hit a four-year low on Wednesday. The stock is 40% from the December high. The stock is down 18% in a week.
    Ulta Beauty hit a 37-month low Wednesday. This stock is 44% from the March high, and it’s down 12% in a week.
    Dollar Tree hit a 34-month low on Wednesday. The stock is down about 37% in a year, and it’s off by 22% in three months.

    Stock chart icon

    Dollar Tree, one-year performance More