People are seen walking through Roosevelt Field shopping mall in Garden City, New York.
Shannon Stapleton | Reuters
Before the coronavirus hit, America’s most valuable malls were driving billions of dollars in sales annually, contributing hundreds of millions of dollars to local tax coffers.
Now, nobody knows what those numbers are going to look like coming out of the Covid-19 crisis — other than definitely being a lot less.
Malls started temporarily shutting down in March to try to help curb the spread of the virus. In some states, such as New York, malls have still not been able to completely reopen. Gov. Andrew Cuomo, for example, has said that New York malls will need high-quality air systems that can filter out the coronavirus before they will be allowed to open their doors again.
Many shoppers, meantime, are hesitant to return to malls after staying at home and practicing social distancing. And some smaller shops and entertainment venues like movie theaters are not jumping to reopen right away, even if the mall is back open for business and department store lights are on.
Macy’s Chief Executive Jeff Gennette said during a conference call earlier this week: “In the malls that are open, many of the other stores and services remain closed. This does impact our store traffic.”
Some companies are beginning to close their doors in malls for a second time, as Covid-19 cases rise in parts of the country. Apple is reshutting dozens of stores in states like Florida and South Carolina. And Microsoft has said it plans to close all of its bricks-and-mortar stores for good, pivoting its business to 100% online.
This all spells trouble for America’s malls, even the best of the best.
An analysis by the independent investment firm Compass Point found the top 30 malls in the U.S., based on tenants’ annual sales and the underlying real estate, were valued at more than $57 billion and contributed an estimated $1.8 billion of annual tax revenue to states, pre-Covid-19.
“The pandemic will have a significant impact on tenant sales and tax collection as the government mandated shutdown could reduce sales this year by up to 33%, based on our estimates,” Compass Point analyst Floris van Dijkum said. “Lower state tax receipts will likely pressure budgets and force cutbacks to services.”
CNBC previously reported on the impact this could have on communities that depend on their malls to fund schools and police infrastructures, among other things.
The consequences include unpaid bills by some mall owners not being able to pay their own bills. Tennessee-based CBL & Associates has skipped two interest payments and has entered into a forbearance period with its lenders. The Mall of America didn’t make its mortgage payment.
“The financial profiles of many [mall] tenants has been damaged, and it will remain that way for awhile,” said Neill Kelly, commercial real estate services firm CBRE’s head of restructuring in North America.
Two of the biggest mall owners in the U.S., Simon Property Group and Brookfield, rank high on the list of top malls, operating several of those properties. Some of them are in current Covid-19 hot spots, including Texas and Florida.
Here are the top 10 most valuable malls in the country, based on their tenants’ sales before the pandemic, as reported by Compass Point.
10. Houston Galleria
Customers ride an escalator at The Galleria shopping mall after it opened during the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) outbreak in Houston Texas, May 1, 2020.
Adrees Latif | Reuters
Location: Houston
Owner: Simon and Calpers
Annual sales: $1.03 billion
9. Orlando Premium Outlets
Orlando Premium Outlets
Jeffrey Greenberg | Universal Images Group via Getty Images
Location: Orlando, Florida
Owner: Simon
Annual sales: $1.06 billion
8. Roosevelt Field
People are seen walking through Roosevelt Field shopping mall in Garden City, N.Y.
Shannon Stapleton | Reuters
Location: Garden City, New York
Owner: Simon
Annual sales: $1.08 billion
7. Mall of America
Mall of America in Bloomington, Minnesota.
Ariana Lindquist | Bloomberg | Getty Images
Location: Bloomington, Minnesota
Owner: Triple Five Group
Annual sales: $1.26 billion
6. South Coast Plaza
Due to social distancing, shoppers wear protective masks while waiting in line outside Louis Vuitton as South Coast Plaza reopens, requiring customers maintain a social distance and wear face masks at South Coast Plaza Thursday, June 11, 2020 in Costa Mesa, CA.
Allen J. Schaben | Los Angeles Times via Getty Images
Location: Costa Mesa, California
Owner: The Segerstrom family
Annual sales: $1.27 billion
5. Woodbury Common
People walk past the Vineyard Vines, Steve Madden, Fila and Columbia Sportswear Company stores at the Woodbury Common Premium Outlets shopping mall on November 17, 2019 in Central Valley, New York.
Gary Hershorn | Getty Images
Location: Central Valley, New York
Owner: Simon
Annual sales: $1.3 billion
4. Aventura Mall
Aventura Mall atrium.
Jeffrey Greenberg | Universal Images Group via Getty Images
Location: Aventura, Florida
Owner: Simon and Turnberry Associates
Annual sales: $1.35 billion
3. King of Prussia
A delivery of boxes is wheeled as shoppers walk towards Neiman Marcus at the King of Prussia Mall in King of Prussia, Pennsylvania, November 22, 2019.
Mark Makela | Reuters
Location: King of Prussia, Pennsylvania
Owner: Simon
Annual sales: $1.37 billion
2. Ala Moana Center
A high school band performing on stage at the Ala Moana Center in Honolulu, Hawaii.
Jeffrey Greenberg | UIG | Getty Images
Location: Honolulu
Owner: Brookfield and AustralianSuper
Annual sales: $1.64 billion
1. Sawgrass Mill
Patrons leave a life-size house, ‘Barbie The Dreamhouse Experience,’ at Sawgrass Mills Mall in Sunrise, Florida.
Amy Beth Bennett | Sun Sentinel | MCT | Getty Images
Location: Sunrise, Florida
Owner: Simon
Annual sales: $1.81 billion
Source: Business - cnbc.com