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    Stocks making the biggest moves midday: Tesla, Berkshire Hathaway, PayPal, Cinemark and more

    Model Y cars are pictured during the opening ceremony of the new Tesla Gigafactory for electric cars in Gruenheide, Germany, March 22, 2022.
    Patrick Pleu | Pool | via Reuters

    Check out the companies making headlines in midday trading.
    Tesla — The electric vehicle stock dropped nearly 3% after announcing the departure of its chief financial officer, Zach Kirkhorn. Tesla said it appointed Vaibhav Taneja to the position. Taneja will hold the role concurrently with his position as chief accounting officer.

    BioNTech — U.S.-traded shares of the biotech firm slipped 9.1% after BioNTech reported disappointing revenue in the second quarter. The company earned 168 million euros in revenue, while analysts polled by Refinitiv expected 672 million euros.
    Tyson Foods — Shares fell about 6% after a fiscal third-quarter earnings miss. The company reported adjusted earnings of 15 cents per share on $13.14 billion in revenue, while analysts polled by Refinitiv forecast earnings of 26 cents per share and $13.59 billion in revenue.
    Berkshire Hathaway — Shares of Warren Buffett’s conglomerate rallied to a record high as investors cheered a strong quarter as well as its near-record cash hoard. Class A shares climbed more than 3% to hit an all-time high of $551,387 on an intraday basis, exceeding the conglomerate’s previous high from March 2022. Class B shares of Warren Buffett’s conglomerate rose about 3.4%, putting them on track to close at a record high.
    Viatris — The pharmaceutical company added 6.6% after an earnings beat. The company reported adjusted net income and revenue that beat expectations for the second quarter. Viatris reported revenue of $3.92 billion, while analysts polled by StreetAccount called for $3.86 billion.
    DaVita — The kidney dialysis services stock added 5.3% after UBS upgraded shares to buy from neutral Monday. Analyst Andrew Mok cited stronger patient growth as a driver.

    Sovos Brands, Campbell Soup — Pasta sauce maker Sovos Brands rallied 25% following news that the Rao’s parent would be acquired by Campbell Soup. Campbell fell 1.3% to trade at its lowest share price in more than a year.
    PayPal — PayPal stock climbed 2% after launching its first stablecoin, PayPal USD, backed by the U.S. dollar Monday. The move adds to PayPal’s broader offering of cryptocurrency services and is the first move into stablecoins from a major U.S. financial firm.
    Palantir Technologies — Shares slipped nearly 5% ahead of second-quarter results. Analysts polled by FactSet are forecasting an adjusted 5 cents per share on $534.2 million in sales.
    Cinemark — The movie theater stock added 1.7% following an upgrade from Morgan Stanley earlier Monday. Analyst Benjamin Swinburne said the success of blockbusters “Barbie” and “Oppenheimer” could help lift the stock as much as 35%.
    — CNBC’s Yun Li, Alex Harring and Samantha Subin contributed reporting. More

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    Berkshire Hathaway rises as investors cheer strong earnings and Buffett’s near-record cash stockpile

    Warren Buffett, Berkshire Hathaway CEO and chairman.
    Cnbc | Nbcuniversal | Getty Images

    Berkshire Hathaway shares climbed on Monday following a strong quarterly report that showed a rebound in insurance operations as well as a massive cash hoard that swelled to nearly $150 billion.
    Class B shares of Warren Buffett’s conglomerate rose 1.6% in premarket trading, on track to trade near an all-time closing high. The Omaha-based giant reported on Saturday that its operating earnings jumped 6.6% year over year, totaling $10.04 billion last quarter.

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    2 days ago

    Insurance underwriting earnings recorded a 74% increase to $1.25 billion, benefitting from higher interest rates and lower catastrophe losses. The solid performance in insurance helped offset the softness in railroad due to lower volumes.
    Meanwhile, Berkshire’s massive cash pile grew to $147.38 billion at the end of June, near a record and much higher than the $130.62 billion in the first quarter.
    Elevated interest rates are now enabling Berkshire to earn a hefty return from its cash. The conglomerate held more than $97 billion in short term Treasury bills. Buffett previously revealed that he’s been buying $10 billion worth of 3-month or 6-month T-bills every Monday.
    “Berkshire Hathaway’s resilient earnings illustrated the value of its diversified business mix as it added to its cash hoard,” said Bill Stone, chief investment officer at Glenview Trust and a Berkshire shareholder. 
    Berkshire also reported a near $26 billion unrealized gain from its investments, and much of this gain came from its gigantic stake in Apple. The tech giant fueled the market rally in the second quarter, climbing nearly 18%. Berkshire’s Apple bet has ballooned to $177.6 billion.

    Berkshire’s Class A shares hit a new record close of $541,000 on Thursday, exceeding the conglomerate’s previous high of $539,180 reached on March 22, 2022. The stock has gained 13.8% this year.
    “We continue to believe BRK’s shares are an attractive play in an uncertain macro environment,” Brian Meredith, a Berkshire analyst at UBS, said in a note. More

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    Stocks making the biggest moves premarket: Sovos Brands, BioNTech, Tyson Foods and more

    A truck delivers a load of live chickens to the Tyson Foods processing plant in Monroe, North Carolina.
    Alan Slitz | Tribune News Service | Getty Images

    Check out the companies making headlines before the bell Monday.
    Tyson Foods — Shares of the food processing company fell more than 7% after Tyson’s fiscal third-quarter report missed estimates on the top and bottom lines. Tyson generated 15 cents in adjusted earnings per share on $13.14 billion of revenue. Analysts surveyed by Refinitiv were expecting 26 cents per share on $13.59 billion of revenue. Tyson’s sales declined year over year.

    DaVita — Shares of the dialysis company rose more than 1% after being upgraded to buy from neutral by UBS. In a note to clients, UBS said it sees “tailwinds that support our Street-high earnings estimates and contrarian Buy rating.”
    Sovos Brands — Shares of Rao’s parent Sovos Brands’ popped 25% in premarket trading after food giant Campbell Soup said Monday it would acquire the pasta sauce maker for $2.33 billion. Campbell will pay $23 per share for the company, which is 27.6% higher than the Sovos Brands’ last closing price. Campbell Soup shares dipped 1.6%.
    DraftKings — DraftKings rose 1.5% in the premarket after Wells Fargo upgraded the sports betting app to overweight from neutral. The bank said DraftKings’ “EBITDA is inflecting more quickly/steeply than we previously envisioned, and we expect its op. momentum to continue.”
    Berkshire Hathaway — Class B shares of the conglomerate rose more than 1% in premarket trading after Warren Buffett’s company reported a solid increase in second-quarter operating earnings, bolstered by a jump in its insurance underwriting and investment income. Berkshire’s cash hoard swelled to nearly $150 billion, near a record and much higher than the $130.616 billion in the first quarter.
    BioNTech — Shares of the biotech company, which is Pfizer’s partner in developing Covid-19 vaccines, slid 4.9% after the company reported lower-than-expected revenue for the second quarter. BioNTech posted quarterly revenue of €168 million, while analysts surveyed by Refinitiv expected €672 million. The company also said it cut its projected research and development budget for this year.

    KKR — Shares of the investment company gained more than 1% premarket after the firm posted adjusted earnings for the second quarter that beat analysts’ estimates and a 6% year-over-year increase in assets under management. KKR also announced it’s taking a minority stake in the German space company OHB.
    Nikola — Shares of the electric truck maker advanced 7% in early morning trading, taking back some of its losses from Friday — when the stock dropped 26% on news of lower-than-expected second-quarter sales and an announcement that the company’s CEO stepped down. 
    Viatris – Shares gained more than 2% before the bell. Viatris posted adjusted net income and revenues that topped Wall Street’s second-quarter expectations and reaffirmed its full-year guidance. Revenue came in at $3.92 billion, ahead of the $3.86 billion expected by analysts, per StreetAccount.
    — CNBC’s Fred Imbert, Samantha Subin, Yun Li, Tanaya Macheel and Jesse Pound contributed reporting. More

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    Beyond Big Tech: Alternative ways to invest in A.I., according to two ETF experts

    While ETFs holding stocks such as Microsoft, Tesla and Meta Platforms have outperformed this year, there are other ways to play the artificial intelligence trade beyond familiar Big Tech names.
    For those who want to ride the AI rally while still diversifying their portfolio beyond the tech sector, there are other fields benefiting indirectly from the AI craze, two ETF experts say.

    Baird’s head of ETF trading, Rich Lee, and VettaFi’s head of research, Todd Rosenbluth, both said there is a wider choice of industries seeing AI gains than investors may initially think.
    “We’re seeing trends towards health care, we’re seeing eCommerce companies,” Rosenbluth told CNBC’s Bob Pisani on “ETF Edge” on Monday.
    “In the last four months, we’ve seen consistent flows and trends towards robotics,” he said, highlighting ETFs such as the Global Robotics and Automation Index ETF (ROBO), and the Global X Robotics & Artificial Intelligence ETF (BOTZ).
    “AI is going to empower the industrial space and robotics to make them more efficient,” he added.
    ROBO is up 21% year to date, while BOTZ has gained more than 34%.

    Rosenbluth also cited fintech as a future major beneficiary of AI.
    “Even the financial technology space in general is going to be driven in part by AI,” he said. “It’s going to help advisors do their jobs better, it’s going to help investors sort through information better, it’s going to help processing.”
    Lee said the industrial sector could also see gains from the technology as it becomes more incorporated into everyday workflow.
    “[Industrial companies] are looking for better processing through automation,” he said. “They’re going to have to look at AI as part of their business processes to realize some of these gains.”
    “So, we’re going to see AI creep into other sectors and industries we may not traditionally associate with tech or AI,” Lee said.

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    Goldman Sachs’ future hinges on a low-profile, high-growth business

    Goldman faces an inflection point: Boom-or-bust activities like trading or advising on mergers have fallen out of favor with investors.
    Which is why Goldman CEO David Solomon has hitched his fortunes to asset and wealth management after dropping an ill-fated retail banking effort.
    Concerns surfaced recently after former asset management co-head Julian Salisbury departed Goldman for a smaller rival. His former co-head, Luke Sarsfield, also left earlier this year, helping fuel worries about a brain drain at Goldman.

    David Solomon, Chairman and CEO, Goldman Sachs, participates in a panel discussion during the annual Milken Institute Global Conference at The Beverly Hilton Hotel on April 29, 2019 in Beverly Hills, California.
    Michael Kovac | Getty Images Entertainment | Getty Images

    Goldman Sachs is known as Wall Street’s top brand, a juggernaut employing some of the world’s best traders and investment bankers.
    But it’s facing an inflection point: Those high-profile businesses have fallen out of favor with investors since the 2008 financial crisis. Instead, it’s been steady, fee-generating areas like wealth and asset management that are valued far more than boom-or-bust activities like trading or advising on mergers.

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    Goldman shares have been stuck at a relatively low price-to-tangible-book value, a key industry metric that measures how the market sizes up a firm compared to the value of its hard assets. Goldman trades for just above one times price to TBV, while rivals including JPMorgan Chase and Morgan Stanley are valued at roughly double that.
    Which is why Goldman CEO David Solomon has hitched his fortunes to asset and wealth management. His latest move positions Goldman to take advantage of two big trends in finance: The rise of alternative assets including private equity and growth in the fortunes of the ultrarich.
    Still, concerns surfaced recently after former asset management co-head Julian Salisbury departed Goldman for a smaller rival. Salisbury, who was most recently chief investment officer for AWM, is joining San Francisco-based private equity firm Sixth Street. His former co-head, Luke Sarsfield, also left earlier this year, helping fuel worries about a brain drain at the firm.
    Goldman, which put former trading co-head Marc Nachmann in charge of AWM in October, says the company has a deep bench and that the average tenure of partners is its longest in a decade.

    What is asset management, exactly?

    Simply put, Goldman portfolio managers make bets across the universe of financial instruments, either on behalf of clients or using the bank’s own funds.

    That runs the gamut from the least risky, plain-vanilla holdings like money market funds, to fixed-income products like corporate bonds funds, stock ETFs and mutual funds, and finally to alternative assets including private equity, private credit (i.e. loans to corporations), real estate and hedge funds.

    Compared to rivals JPMorgan and Morgan Stanley, which are big players in traditional assets like stock funds, Goldman is more weighted to the esoteric world of alternative investments, which is why it’s sometimes said that Goldman wants to build a “mini-Blackstone” within the bank.
    Goldman gets paid through management and incentive fees, which swell as funds attract more assets. Altogether, Goldman has $2.71 trillion in assets under supervision as of June 30, which includes wealth management assets.  

    What about wealth management?

    The industry has coalesced around a model where financial advisors charge fees, often 1% to 2% of a typical client’s assets annually, to manage investments. They also can earn fees for loans or other products geared towards the wealthy.
    Goldman does particularly well with the ultra-rich, defined as those with at least $30 million to invest; it has about 8% of that cohort in the U.S., according to a company presentation. In fact, Goldman’s average ultra-high net worth client keeps about $60 million at the bank.
    Where Goldman fares less well is serving the merely rich; it has only about 1% of the high-net worth market, or those who have between $1 million and $10 million to invest.
    The bank has more than $1 trillion in wealth management client assets. While significant, key rivals are both larger and growing faster: Morgan Stanley had $4.9 trillion in client assets as of June 30.

    Why does it matter?

    Goldman is still very much tethered to the ups and downs of Wall Street. The bank’s trading and advisory division generated two-thirds of Goldman’s $23.1 billion in revenues so far this year.
    A pandemic-era boom in deals and trading in 2020 and 2021 was quickly followed by a bust, and last quarter marked the industry’s lowest investment banking haul in a decade. That’s caused Goldman to report the steepest profit drop this year of the six biggest U.S. banks, making the push for sustainable sources of growth even more urgent.

    Arrows pointing outwards

    For Solomon, who has battled criticism over his ill-fated retail banking push, leadership style and hobbies, success in AWM would provide a welcome counterpoint to those who say he’s made too many errors.

    Has it been smooth sailing?

    Not exactly. Solomon has made tough decisions to consolidate the various pockets of investment at the firm, and then to focus on raising outside funds while shrinking wagers made with house money. That’s upset some insiders used to autonomy over decades of operation.
    He’s also shuffled the deck several times. In a 2020 reorganization, Solomon pulled apart asset and wealth management and assigned Salisbury and later Sarsfield to co-lead the asset manager, a move he reversed when he reunited the businesses and named Nachmann to lead AWM.
    That upheaval has led to the departure of the ex-asset management co-heads, as well as other senior leaders.

    How’s the business doing now?

    Despite the turbulence, AWM has been making progress against its fee and fundraising goals, supporting the idea that Goldman’s reputation for savvy investing gives it an edge.
    The bank is on track to reach its goal of generating at least $10 billion in fee revenue by next year. And its total assets under supervision rose by $42 billion to $2.71 trillion in the second quarter.

    While Solomon cautioned that Goldman’s “asset management journey” would take two to three years before meaningfully helping margins, he sounded optimistic.
    “I feel very, very good about the strategic decisions that we’re making,” Solomon told investors in July. “We see a clear line of sight, and we’re going to make progress.” More

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    Berkshire Hathaway’s operating earnings rise nearly 7%, cash pile approaches $150 billion

    The Omaha-based conglomerate’s operating earnings totaled $10.043 billion last quarter, 6.6% higher than the figure from the same quarter a year ago.
    Net income totaled $35.91 billion, compared with a $43.62 billion loss during the second quarter last year.
    Berkshire’s massive cash pile grew to $147.377 billion at the end of June, near a record and much higher than the $130.616 billion in the first quarter.

    Warren Buffett tours the grounds at the Berkshire Hathaway Annual Shareholders Meeting in Omaha Nebraska.
    David A. Grogan | CNBC

    Berkshire Hathaway on Saturday reported a solid increase in second-quarter operating earnings, while the cash hoard at Warren Buffett’s conglomerate swelled to nearly $150 billion.
    The Omaha-based giant’s operating earnings — which encompass profits made from the myriad of businesses owned by the company, like insurance, railroads and utilities — totaled $10.043 billion last quarter, 6.6% higher than the figure from the same quarter a year ago.

    Net income totaled $35.91 billion, compared with a $43.62 billion loss during the second quarter last year. The strong results were bolstered by a jump in Berkshire’s insurance underwriting and investment income.
    Berkshire reported a near $26 billion unrealized gain from its investments as its gigantic stake in Apple led the market rally in the second quarter. The tech giant soared nearly 18% during the quarter and Berkshire’s bet has ballooned to $177.6 billion.
    The “Oracle of Omaha” trimmed his Chevron stake by $1.4 billion to $19.4 billion at the end of June. Shares of Chevron have significantly lagged the broader market this year, down more than 11%. The S&P 500 has rallied almost 17% in 2023.

    Cash hoard swells

    Berkshire’s massive cash pile grew to $147.377 billion at the end of June, near a record and much higher than the $130.616 billion in the first quarter.
    Share repurchase activity slowed down as the conglomerate’s stock climbed back to a record high. The company spent just about $1.4 billion in buybacks during the quarter, bringing the year-to-date total to $5.8 billion.
    The conglomerate’s Class A shares hit a new record close of $541,000 on Thursday, exceeding the conglomerate’s previous high of $539,180 reached on March 22, 2022. The stock has gained 13.8% this year.

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    An unlikely tech cluster exemplifies China’s economic vision

    A stroll down “Quantum Boulevard” reveals one of the world’s tightest concentrations of bleeding-edge technology firms. Dozens of companies feed a quantum-computing supply chain that did not exist a few years ago. Their wares include some of the most advanced commercialised technology on the planet. The district is hardly a decade old; not long ago the most modern tech in the area was farming equipment. And it is in an unlikely spot: Hefei, the capital of Anhui, one of China’s less fancied provinces. China’s growth is flagging, but its economic miracle appears alive and well in Hefei. Home to about 9.6m people, the inland city saw its GDP grow by more than 8% a year on average from 2012 to 2022. Once considered backward and poor, Hefei’s residents now enjoy a disposable income that comfortably exceeds China’s urban average (see chart). The city’s success owes much to what some call the “Hefei model”. A unique combination of local-government investment and private enterprise, the model has been described as state capitalism at its best. It has fostered industries like high-end manufacturing, electric vehicles (EVs), biotech and semiconductors. These so-called strategic, emerging industries now account for over 56% of Hefei’s industrial output, compared with less than 27% in 2013. Whatever local officials have been doing, it appears to be “the right mix of industrial policy and private-sector mojo,” says Robin Xing, an economist at Morgan Stanley and a Hefei local.This style of growth is precisely how Xi Jinping, China’s leader, envisions the country’s future. Hefei’s technological progress chimes with Mr Xi’s call for an “Industrial Revolution 4.0”, in which China shakes off “low-quality” growth—cheap manufacturing and debt-financed homebuilding—by capturing entirely new industries and their supply chains. This vision reserves special attention for the inland backwaters that have missed out on much of the internet boom in coastal provinces. If Mr Xi has his way, the next decade of development will look more like Hefei than today’s tech hubs of Shenzhen and Hangzhou.BOE Technology, the world leader in LCD displays, has some of its main factories in Hefei. So does NIO, one of the world’s fastest-growing ev companies. China’s leader in voice-recognition artificial intelligence, iFlyTek, was founded by the local university. Its most advanced DRAM chipmaker, CXTM, was co-founded by the local government.Foreign companies have also endorsed Hefei’s efficiency. Volkswagen, a German carmaker, has operated manufacturing plants in the city for years. Earlier this year it announced plans for a €1bn ($1.1bn) innovation centre in Hefei that will help design evs. Such hubs are rare outside China’s largest coastal cities, especially for multinationals. Few inland areas can muster the talent, logistics and supply chains to foster them. But Hefei has the right conditions to set up such a facility, says Ralf Brandstätter, Volkswagen’s China chief.Boulevard of unbroken dreamsHefei’s success has stirred plenty of curiosity. Delegation after delegation of officials from less prosperous regions have visited the city in the hopes of taking some economic magic back home.. A staff member at a state investment group in Hefei says his firm is booked to capacity over the next month hosting visitors from other city governments.They will quickly learn the model’s essential ingredients. The first is a large pool of highly educated, motivated people. Hefei is far enough inland—about 470km from Shanghai—to have missed out on the 1990s boom in the Yangzi river delta. But it is close enough to absorb the influence of its better-off neighbours, giving it what Anhui locals say is a scrappy, underdog attitude.During the Cultural Revolution, a politically tumultuous period between 1966 and 1976, the University of Science and Technology of China (USTC) was forced to leave Beijing. The nation’s top tech college tried several cities before settling in Hefei in 1970. In the flight from political violence, often directed at academics, it lost more than half its scholars and equipment. But utsc has now re-emerged as a global centre for science. The surrounding education system has also flourished, giving the city a high density of good schools, notes Christopher Marquis, the co-author of “Mao and Markets: The Communist Roots of Chinese Enterprise”.That has made it a hub for advanced technology. USTC has designed China’s most advanced quantum computer. Not far away at the Institute of Physics, scientists are testing one of the world’s most advanced fusion-energy reactors, the Experimental Advanced Superconducting Tokamak. The earliest human trials with CRISPR, a genetic-engineering tool, were conducted at a Hefei hospital in 2015. Since then a thriving biosciences industry has sprung up.A second ingredient of the Hefei model is the flow of talent. The city government frequently recruits from the engineering and science departments of local universities. It also encourages exchanges between government offices, university departments and companies, building trust and networks. One local cadre spent years at USTC helping researchers identify marketable patents, while holding a government position. Businesspeople in Hefei say officials throughout the local administration can discuss industry topics in depth. A third factor is the “chain boss” system. The government has created groups of firms in 12 industries, including semiconductors, EVs, quantum sciences and biotechnology. Each group has a “chain boss”: a government official who oversees big-picture planning for the industry. In 2020, for example, Hefei’s Communist Party chief was the chain boss of the city’s integrated-circuits industry. The mayor oversaw the display-screen industry.These bosses work with a state-appointed “chain leader”, typically the dominant company within an industry. The government passes policy directions to this leader, which shares them with other companies in the supply chain. Companies and officials use this communication channel to discuss the allocation of state capital, the sourcing of materials and potential bottlenecks in supplies, noted Ni Hua, an analyst at East Asia Qianhai Securities, in a report last year.Before the state invests in a new company, officials consult with all members of a chain to understand how the newcomer will fit in, says an executive at a local quantum-computing firm. One young entrepreneur who recently started a business in Hefei says that breaking into these industry groups is incredibly difficult. There is little scope for ruthless competition within supply chains. Instead the focus is on beating companies in other regions or countries.The fourth ingredient in the model is state capital. While cities elsewhere in the world fund schools, build sewers or house the poor, Hefei’s administration ploughs money into the most promising companies it can identify. It has been described as a “government of investment bankers”. Its outlays flow mainly through three vehicles. Each has sprawling portfolios spanning hundreds of investments. Chained melodyThese investments give the city government broad reach. Companies such as BOE, the display-maker, and NIO, the ev firm, stand at the centre of vast supply chains. Smaller companies move to Hefei to be closer to them. Most remain privately owned. But if they suit the government’s plan for the supply chain, they will probably attract some state investment. In this way entire supply chains are linked up by just a few state investors that answer to the city government.For nearly a decade cities and provinces across China have been experimenting with state-backed venture capital, raising as much as $1trn. But many of their investments have yielded mediocre returns at best. China’s venture-capital state has been written off as a cash sink and a prime opportunity for corruption. Last year, for example, anti-corruption authorities rounded up executives at China’s premier state fund, the National Integrated Circuit Fund, in an attempt to weed out graft. What sets Hefei apart? The city’s state capitalists have clearly benefited from the city’s history and location. Not every inland metropolis can learn from Shanghai without being swamped by it, or provide refuge to a great university. The tight links of the “chain boss” system also ensure that Hefei’s state capitalists do not invest without guidance from industry.Hefei’s state investors have also been unusually adventurous. Most cities lack the expertise to run private-equity funds. And they do not have incentives to make bets with distant, uncertain pay-offs. Cadres often spend just five years in one location. Even if a long-term investment were to succeed, they would not be around to enjoy their triumph. These short horizons inhibit officials’ investment choices. Many government funds, for example, have put money into chip designers not chipmakers, notes Tilly Zhang, an analyst at Gavekal Dragonomics, a research house. Chip design is less capital-intensive and quicker to show returns.Hefei’s state capitalists have no such inhibition. The local government’s first big punt was a $5.2bn investment in BOE in 2008. (Officials delayed the construction of a subway system in order to scrape the funds together.) The LCD screen industry was then dominated by South Korea and Japan. Critics noted that it would take years to for Chinese firms to be able to compete. But BOE eventually built several plants in Hefei and has since come to dominate the global industry. NIO, the electric-car maker, was even riskier. In 2020 the group was on the verge of collapse when Hefei invested 5bn yuan ($700m). nio then moved its China headquarters and some production facilities to the city. In less than two years NIO had recovered and its share price soared. The city made a return of up to 5.5 times its initial investment, according to Bloomberg. Hefei Jiantou, a government fund that invested in both BOE and NIO, has taken in investment income of at least 5bn yuan each year between 2019 and 2021. For Mr Xi’s economic vision to succeed, the Hefei model will have to spread far beyond its place of origin. Smaller cities will have to sprout big firms in leading industries, such as EVs, solar energy and chips. One quantum boulevard will not be enough. But experimentation in one city has often provided a template for the rest of the country. The “Shenzhen model” in the 1980s, for example, pioneered the combination of Chinese labour and foreign capital that turned southern China into the workshop of the world. Around the same time the “Wenzhou model”, named after the south-eastern port city, showed that household factories, often financed by family savings, could succeed, with the help of peripatetic sales agents travelling up and down the country.Can the Hefei model also be exported? Several inland cities have similar starting conditions, such as good schools and strong industrial bases. Such places might be able to replicate some of Hefei’s investment strategies, says Mr Xing. But Hefei’s success suggests that education, industry and geography are not enough. Political incentives must also align. Mr Xi frequently demands loyalty and austerity from his cadres. The Hefei model, on the other hand, requires gumption and daring. State capitalists must be prepared to take the kind of risky bets that do not always pay off. The model cannot succeed in other cities unless their local cadres are free to fail. ■For more expert analysis of the biggest stories in economics, finance and markets, sign up to Money Talks, our weekly subscriber-only newsletter. More

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    Are U.S. seniors among the developed world’s poorest? It depends on your point of view

    About 23% of Americans over age 65 live in poverty, according to the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development. That’s one of the highest shares among developed nations.
    U.S. Census data suggests a smaller share of the elderly are poor, and that old-age poverty nationwide has been falling.
    Experts say tweaks to Social Security benefits would be the best way to address senior poverty. But it would be costly at a time when the program’s finances are already shaky.

    Peopleimages | E+ | Getty Images

    Is old-age income poverty too high?

    Consider this thought exercise: What is a tolerable poverty rate among American seniors?

    By one metric, the U.S. fares worse than most other developed nations in this category.
    About 23% of Americans over age 65 live in poverty, according to the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development. This ranks the U.S. behind 30 other countries in the 38-member bloc, which collectively has an average poverty rate of 13.1%.

    According to OECD data, only Mexico ranks worse than the U.S. in terms of old-age “poverty depth,” which means that among those who are poor, their average income is low relative to the poverty line. And just three countries have worse income inequality among seniors.
    There are many contributing factors to these poverty dynamics, said Andrew Reilly, pension analyst in the OECD’s Directorate for Employment, Labour and Social Affairs.
    For one, the overall U.S. poverty rate is high relative to other developed nations — a dynamic that carries over into old age, Reilly said. The U.S. retirement system therefore “exacerbates” a poverty problem that already exists, he said.
    Further, the base U.S. Social Security benefit is lower than the minimum government benefit in most OECD member nations, Reilly said.

    There’s very little security relative to other countries.

    Andrew Reilly
    pension analyst in the OECD’s Directorate for Employment, Labour and Social Affairs

    The U.S. is also the only developed country to not offer a mandatory work credit — an important factor in determining retirement benefit amount — to mothers during maternity leave, for example. Most other nations also give mandatory credits to parents who leave the workforce for a few years to take care of their young kids.
    “There’s very little security relative to other countries,” Reilly said of U.S public benefits.
    That said, the U.S. benefit formula is, in some ways, more generous than other nations. For example, nonworking spouses can collect partial Social Security benefits based on their spouse’s work history, which isn’t typical in other countries, Mitchell said.

    Old-age poverty seems to be improving

    Here’s where it gets a little trickier: Some researchers think the OECD statistics overstate the severity of old-age poverty, due to the way in which the OECD measures poverty compared with U.S. statisticians’ methods.
    For example, according to U.S. Census Bureau data, 10.3% of Americans age 65 and older live in poverty — a much lower rate than OECD data suggests. That old-age income poverty rate has declined by over two-thirds in the past five decades, according to the Congressional Research Service.
    Historically, poverty among elderly Americans was higher than it was for the young. However, that’s no longer true — seniors have had lower poverty rates than those ages 18-64 since the early 1990s, CRS found.

    “The story of poverty in the U.S. is not one of older folks getting worse off,” Mitchell said. “They’re improving.”
    Regardless of the baseline — OECD, Census Bureau or other data — there’s a question as to what poverty rate is, or should be, acceptable in a country like the U.S., experts said.
    “We are arguably the most developed country in the world,” said David Blanchett, managing director and head of retirement research at PGIM, the investment management arm of Prudential Financial.
    “The fact anyone lives in poverty, one can argue, isn’t necessarily how we should be doing it,” he added.
    Despite improvements, certain groups of the elderly population — such as widows, divorced women and never-married men and women — are “still vulnerable” to poverty, wrote Zhe Li and Joseph Dalaker, CRS social policy analysts.

    Two major problem areas persist

    At the very least, there are facets of the system that should be tweaked, experts said.
    Researchers seem to agree that a looming Social Security funding shortfall is perhaps the most pressing issue facing U.S. seniors.
    Longer lifespans and baby boomers hurtling into their retirement years are pressuring the solvency of the Old-Age and Survivors Insurance Trust Fund; it’s slated to run out of money in 2033. At that point, payroll taxes would fund an estimated 77% of promised retirement benefits, absent congressional action.
    “You could argue pending insolvency of Social Security is threatening older people’s financial wellbeing,” Mitchell said. “It is the whole foundation upon which the American retirement system is based.”

    About 40 years ago, half of workers were covered by an employer-sponsored plan. The same is true now.

    Olivia Mitchell
    University of Pennsylvania economics professor and executive director of the Pension Research Council

    Raising Social Security payouts at the low end of the income spectrum would help combat old-age poverty but would also cost more money at a time when the program’s finances are shaky, experts said.
    “The easiest way to combat poverty in retirement is to have a safety-net benefit at a higher level,” Reilly said. It would be “extremely expensive,” especially in a country as large as the U.S., he added.
    Blanchett favors that approach. Such a tweak could be accompanied by a reduction in benefits for higher earners, making the system even more progressive than it is now, he said.
    Currently, for example, Social Security replaces about 75% of income for someone with “very low” earnings (about $15,000), and 27% for someone with “maximum” earnings (about $148,000), according to the Social Security Administration.
    Reducing benefits for some would put a greater onus on such households to fund retirement with personal savings.

    However, the relative lack of access to a savings plan at work — known as the “coverage gap” — is another obstacle to amassing more retirement wealth, experts said.
    Research shows that Americans are much more likely to save when their employer sponsors a retirement plan. But coverage hasn’t budged much in recent decades, even as employers have shifted from pensions to 401(k)-type plans.
    “About 40 years ago, half of workers were covered by an employer-sponsored plan,” Mitchell said. “The same is true now.”
    Of course, workplace plans aren’t a panacea. Contributing money is ultimately voluntary, unlike in other nations, such as the U.K. And it requires financial sacrifice, which may be difficult amid other household needs such as housing, food, child care and health care, experts said. More