More stories

  • in

    Buy now, pay later firm Klarna swings to first-half profit ahead of IPO

    Klarna said it made an adjusted operating profit of 673 million Swedish krona ($66.1 million) in the six months through June 2024, up from a loss of 456 million krona in the same period a year ago.
    The company said it was focused on “sustainable, profitable growth and leveraging AI to lower costs.”
    After leaning into AI, Klarna said its average revenue per employee increased 73% year-over-year, to 7 million Swedish krona.

    “Buy-now, pay-later” firm Klarna aims to return to profit by summer 2023.
    Jakub Porzycki | NurPhoto | Getty Images

    Klarna said it posted a profit in the first half of the year, swinging into the black from a loss last year as the buy now, pay later pioneer edges closer toward its hotly anticipated stock market debut.
    In results published Tuesday, Klarna said that it made an adjusted operating profit of 673 million Swedish krona ($66.1 million) in the six months through June 2024, up from a loss of 456 million krona in the same period a year ago. Revenue, meanwhile, grew 27% year-on-year to 13.3 billion krona.

    On a net income basis, Klarna reported a 333 million Swedish krona loss. However, Klarna cites adjusted operating income as its primary metric for profitability as it better reflects “underlying business activity.”
    Klarna is one of the biggest players in the so-called buy now, pay later sector. Alongside peers PayPal, Block’s Afterpay, and Affirm, these companies give consumers the option to pay for purchases via interest-free monthly installments, with merchants covering the cost of service via transaction fees.
    Sebastian Siemiatkowski, Klarna’s CEO and co-founder, said the company saw strong revenue growth in the U.S. in particular, where sales jumped 38% thanks to a ramp-up in merchant onboarding.

    “Klarna’s massive global network continues to expand rapidly, with millions of new consumers joining and 68k new merchant partners,” Siemiatkowski said in a statement Tuesday.

    Using AI to cut costs

    The company achieved its adjusted operating profit “by focusing on sustainable, profitable growth and leveraging AI to lower costs,” he added.

    Klarna has been one of the forerunners in the corporate world when it comes to touting the benefits of using AI to increase productivity and cut operating costs.
    On Tuesday, the company said that its average revenue per employee over the previous twelve months increased 73% year-over-year, to 7 million Swedish krona.
    It comes as Klarna tries to pitch itself as a primary banking provider for clients as it approaches a much-anticipated initial public offering.
    The firm earlier this month launched its own checking account-like product, called Klarna balance, in a bid to persuade consumers to move more of their financial lives onto its app.

    The move highlighted how Klarna is looking to diversify beyond its core buy now, pay later product, for which it is primarily known.
    Klarna has yet to set a fixed timeline for the stock market listing, which is widely expected to be held in the U.S.
    However, in an interview with CNBC’s “Closing Bell” in February, Siemiatkowski said an IPO this year was “not impossible.”
    “We still have a few steps and work ahead of ourselves,” he said. “But we’re keen on becoming a public company.”
    Separately, Klarna earlier this year offloaded its proprietary checkout technology business, which allows merchants to offer online payments, to a consortium of investors led by Kamjar Hajabdolahi, CEO and founding partner of Swedish venture capital firm BLQ Invest.
    The move, which Klarna called a “strategic” step, effectively removed competition for rival online checkout services including Stripe, Adyen, Block, and Checkout.com. More

  • in

    Xpeng releases mass-market EV with basic driver-assist for less than $20,000

    The basic version of the Mona M03 electric coupe starts at 119,800 yuan ($16,812), with a driving range of 515 kilometers (320 miles) and some parking assist features.
    A version of the Mona M03 with the more advanced “Max” driver assist features and a driving range of 580 kilometers will sell for 155,800 yuan.
    In comparison, Tesla’s cheapest car — the Model 3 — costs 231,900 yuan in China, after a price cut in April.

    Chinese electric car company Xpeng displays its mass-market Mona M03 coupe inside a headquarters’ showroom in Guangzhou, China, on Aug. 26, 2024.
    CNBC | Evelyn Cheng

    BEIJING — Chinese electric car company Xpeng on Tuesday announced that its mass-market brand Mona will start selling some models for less than $17,000.
    The basic version of the Mona M03 electric coupe will be listed at 119,800 yuan ($16,812), with a driving range of 515 kilometers (320 miles) and some parking assist features.

    A version of the Mona M03 with the more advanced “Max” driver assist features and a driving range of 580 kilometers will sell for 155,800 yuan.
    In comparison, Tesla’s cheapest car — the Model 3 — costs 231,900 yuan in China, after a price cut in April.
    Xpeng CEO He Xiaopeng did not specify a launch date for the standard version of the car in his presentation on Tuesday. The company told investors last week on an earnings call that mass deliveries would begin shortly after Tuesday’s announcement.
    Presales of the Mona M03 began on Aug. 8.

    The Mona M03 standard driver-assist supports parking, including parallel parking. The company says it uses a range of automatic sensors, cameras and light detection and ranging sensors.

    The Max version of driver assist includes features such as automatically backing up a car to a designated position in a dead-end street with the push of a button. Xpeng also plans for it to support the remote control of entering and exiting a narrow parking spot.
    That Max version is set to begin deliveries after the Lunar New Year holiday in 2025, CEO He said. The Chinese holiday runs from late January to early February next year.
    Xpeng’s driver-assist technology is widely considered one of the best currently available in China. Tesla’s version, marketed as “full self-driving,” isn’t fully accessible in China, although it is widely expected to be released in the coming months.
    The Xpeng CEO’s presentation on Tuesday also commemorated the 10th anniversary of Xpeng’s founding. Chinese smartphone company Xiaomi’s founder Lei Jun was among those in attendance
    CEO He said the brand name Mona stands for “Made of new AI.” He emphasized that over the next decade, Xpeng would focus on developing artificial intelligence for cars.
    The company also said Tuesday that it plans to reveal its second-generation humanoid robot in October. It also revealed its own chip, but did not specify what nanometer process — or level of production technology — is used in its manufacturing.
    Premium Chinese electric car startup Nio in late July said it had finished designing a five nanometer automotive-grade chip, the NX9031. The company had teased the chip in December, and plans to use it in its high-end ET9 sedan, set for delivery in 2025.

    Collaboration with Didi

    Xpeng built Mona using tech it acquired from ride-hailing company Didi in August 2023.
    Wu Zhefeng, a Mona project manager, told reporters Monday that the basic version of driver-assist technology in the M03 comes from Didi, while the more advanced version was made by Xpeng.
    Since the battery is the priciest component of an electric car, he said Xpeng was able to bring the cost down for Mona thanks in part to efforts to boost energy efficiency. The coupe uses BYD’s popular “blade battery,” Wu said.
    He said the brand is focused on young people, two or three years after graduation.
    Nearly half of similar cars available in China within this price range are used for ride-hailing, according to Wu. While electric car companies such as BYD have worked with Didi to promote their cars among drivers on the ride-hailing platform, he said Mona would remain focused on consumer drivers.
    BYD, which has quickly become a giant in China’s electric car industry, sells cars across a range of prices and models, including many hybrid-powered versions. Consumers in China have increasingly preferred hybrids to battery-only cars as anxiety persists over how far they can drive on a single charge.
    Geely-owned electric car company Zeekr announced earlier this month that it would launch its first hybrid car next year.
    Other Chinese companies have launched cars this year in direct competition with Tesla.
    Nio, which has focused on premium electric cars, in May announced a lower-priced brand Onvo. Its first car, the L60 SUV, is set to begin deliveries in September. The L60 starts at 219,900 yuan (US$30,439) versus the Model Y’s 249,900 yuan (US$34,617), according to prices shared in May. 
    Chinese smartphone company Xiaomi, meanwhile, in March released its first electric car, the SU7 sedan for 215,900 yuan.
    — CNBC’s Sonia Heng contributed to this report. More

  • in

    Volkswagen China is spending lots of time at Xpeng to make new EVs

    Hundreds of Volkswagen staff are spending time at Xpeng as the German auto giant and Chinese startup work to create electric cars for China, Xpeng co-president Brian Gu told CNBC.
    Volkswagen in July 2023 announced a $700 million investment into Xpeng to jointly develop two electric cars for delivery in China, expected in 2026.
    The partnership will help Xpeng’s global ambitions, Gu said.

    Top Volkswagen and Xpeng executives pose at the German automaker’s launch event in Beijing, China, on Aug. 24, 2024.
    Bloomberg | Bloomberg | Getty Images

    BEIJING — Hundreds of Volkswagen staff are spending time at Xpeng as the German auto giant and Chinese startup work to create electric cars for China, Xpeng co-president Brian Gu told CNBC on Monday.
    He also said the partnership will help Xpeng’s global ambitions.

    Volkswagen in July 2023 announced a $700 million investment into Xpeng to jointly develop two electric cars for delivery in China in 2026. The vehicles will be based on the platform for Xpeng’s G9, a midsize electric crossover SUV.
    The German company’s workers are spending more time at Xpeng’s offices than the startup’s are at Volkswagen’s, Gu said. They are learning about the startup’s technology.
    Xpeng’s driver-assist technology is widely considered one of the best currently available in China. Tesla’s version, marketed as “full self-driving,” isn’t fully accessible in China.
    The German automaker did not immediately respond to a request for comment.

    Gu emphasized the forthcoming vehicles will be “very different” from those that currently sold by Xpeng or Volkswagen. He said the cars would likely have “better range, charging, much smarter driving, more feature luxury technology, for the same price, potentially.”

    China is a key market for Volkswagen. The German automaker delivered 3.2 million cars in China last year, more than the 3.1 million in all of Western Europe.
    But like many traditional foreign auto giants, Volkswagen has also struggled in China as the local market rapidly shifts towards battery-only and hybrid powered vehicles. The company’s China deliveries plunged by 19.3% in the quarter ended June from a year ago.
    While Xpeng saw second-quarter deliveries grow by 30% year-on-year to more than 30,200 vehicles, the startup lags behind many of its Chinese rivals.

    Looking overseas

    The company has, meanwhile, pushed overseas, as have Chinese electric car companies BYD and Nio. In the second quarter, Xpeng said its overseas sales exceeded 10% of total revenue for the first time.
    Xpeng CEO and Founder He Xiaopeng told Bloomberg last week that the Chinese automaker is in preliminary stages of selecting a site in the European Union as part of future plans for localizing production. The interview was published Tuesday.
    Asked for comment, Xpeng said it shared during the Beijing auto show in the spring that the company is considering the possibility of overseas production.
    Gu separately told reporters Monday that localization efforts in Southeast Asia would likely happen earlier than any in Europe.
    He said the 10-year-old startup aims to reach at least 40 countries and regions by the end of this year, up from around 30 so far.
    Xpeng launched in Thailand, Hong Kong and Macao earlier this month. Gu said that this week, the startup is launching in Malaysia, and officially unveiling its entry into Singapore, where Xpeng has a pop-up store.
    The startup also plans to enter Australia, New Zealand, the U.K. and Ireland, Gu said.

    Supply chain partnership

    Speaking on how the Chinese company is learning from its German partner, Gu said that Xpeng staff visit Volkswagen offices in the city of Hefei, the capital of China’s Anhui Province, for design and technology, and Beijing for supply chain discussions.
    The two companies in February announced that they had entered a “joint sourcing program” for auto parts.
    Xpeng has invested in robotics since 2020 and is now focused on humanlike robots that can handle multiple tasks in factories, Gu told CNBC. He indicated Xpeng would likely reveal more details soon.
    But when asked whether that humanoid integration included Volkswagen-related supply chains, he said it was too early for such implementation.
    — CNBC’s Sonia Heng contributed to this report. More

  • in

    BHP CEO expects a turnaround in China’s property sector in year ahead

    BHP’s CEO Mike Henry said he expects China’s property sector to rebound in the upcoming year on the back of favorable government policies.
    While acknowledging that the country’s property sector is a “weak point” for steel demand, Henry is optimistic about Chinese government measures announced recently.
    “The government has enacted policies recently that are meant to support the property sector… We expect that we could see a turnaround in the property sector in the year ahead,” Henry said.

    The company logo adorns the side of the BHP gobal headquarters in Melbourne on February 21, 2023. – The Australian multinational, a leading producer of metallurgical coal, iron ore, nickel, copper and potash, said net profit slumped 32 percent year-on-year to 6.46 billion US dollars in the six months to December 31. (Photo by William WEST / AFP) (Photo by WILLIAM WEST/AFP via Getty Images)
    William West | Afp | Getty Images

    BHP CEO Mike Henry said he expects China’s property sector to rebound in the upcoming year on the back of favorable government policies.
    While acknowledging that the country’s property sector is a “weak point” for steel demand, Henry is optimistic about the suite of measures the Chinese government has announced recently.

    “The government has enacted policies recently that are meant to support the property sector… We expect that we could see a turnaround in the property sector in the year ahead,” Henry said.
    In recent months, China has rolled out a slew of measures aimed at stabilizing the country’s property sector, which once purportedly accounted for about 25% to 30% of the country’s GDP. For example, Beijing scrapped the nationwide minimum mortgage interest rate and reduced the minimum down payment ratio for first-time buyers to 15%, compared to 20% previously.

    In May, the central bank also announced it would allocate 300 billion yuan ($42.25 billion) to financial institutions to lend to local state-owned enterprises for purchasing unsold apartments that have already been completed.
    On Saturday, China’s minister of housing Ni Hong said that there is still “great potential and room” for China’s property sector to expand as the country continues to urbanize and demand for good housing continues to grow.
    BHP reported a 2% climb in its annual underlying profits on Tuesday, attributing the growth to “solid operational performance and higher commodity prices in key commodities.”

    Henry noted, however, there is still “a bit of volatility” with respect to China’s steel demand, which has been under pressure from the property sector. 
    But the CEO said there are still other sectors in China that contribute to steel demand that are growing quite healthily, such as infrastructure, shipping and automobiles.
    Australian shares of BHP were 1.97% higher in Tuesday trading. More

  • in

    The IRS has a method of ‘last resort’ to collect overdue taxes: Revoking your passport

    By law, the IRS must notify the State Department if an individual’s federal tax debt is “seriously delinquent.”
    This is a large federal tax debt — of more than $62,000 in 2024 — that the taxpayer has repeatedly ignored.
    If taxpayers don’t remedy their overdue bill, the government will generally deny their passport application and can revoke or limit their active passport.

    Grace Cary | Moment | Getty Images

    Travelers, be warned: The federal government may revoke your passport if you ignore a big tax bill.
    Such punishments have become more frequent in recent years, experts said.

    Federal law requires the IRS and Treasury Department to notify the State Department if an American has a “seriously delinquent tax debt.”
    This is a large federal debt — of more than $62,000 in 2024 — that the taxpayer has repeatedly ignored.
    The debt threshold includes aggregate total federal tax liabilities, plus penalties and interest, levied against an individual. It’s adjusted annually for inflation.
    The State Department generally won’t issue a new passport and may revoke or limit an existing one in cases of serious delinquency, according to the IRS.

    The government typically uses this enforcement mechanism — which has been in place since 2018 — as a sort of last-ditch effort to collect unpaid tax levies, experts said.

    Should those debts remain unpaid, the potential consequences are ample: Travelers might not be able to take trips overseas until they’ve resolved their debt. Expats and those who travel abroad for business may have to return to U.S. soil indefinitely until their tax case concludes, for example, experts said.
    Revoking a passport is “a step of last resort,” said Troy Lewis, a certified public accountant based in Draper, Utah, and an accounting and tax professor at Brigham Young University.
    “How do you get rich folks’ attention regarding paying their taxes? Just make sure they can’t summer in Europe,” he said.

    ‘It gets people to call the IRS’

    Demand to travel abroad has surged as the Covid-19 pandemic has waned. Americans applied for about 21.6 million U.S. passports in fiscal 2023 — a record number, according to the State Department.
    Todd Whalen, a CPA based in Denver, has seen tax enforcement efforts involving passports ramp up over the past three years.
    “This is becoming more and more of a big deal,” said Whalen, founder of Advanced Tax Solutions, which helps consumers and businesses resolve tax debts. “We’ve gotten several [cases] this year.”
    More from Personal Finance:Here’s how the election could affect your taxesHow to use RMDs to improve your portfolio4 ways to use leftover money in a 529 plan
    In one instance, a client only found out his passport had been revoked while at the airport trying to fly to Mexico for a trip to celebrate his son’s high school graduation.
    “It works,” Whalen said of the collection effort. “It gets people to call [the IRS].”
    A State Department spokesperson declined to provide annual statistics on how many taxpayers had their passports revoked or denied. The IRS didn’t comment by press time.

    All other collections must have been ‘exhausted’

    J. David Ake | Getty Images News | Getty Images

    It can be “quite easy” for overdue tax debts to exceed the $62,000 threshold, according to Virginia La Torre Jeker, an attorney who specializes in U.S. international tax law.
    Americans living abroad, for example, may have “significant penalties” for not filing various foreign information returns, she said in an email.
    Debts can also include any tax levies owed by individuals, she added. Those may be business taxes for which the taxpayer is personally liable or trust fund recovery penalties, she said. (The latter relate to withheld income and employment taxes like Social Security taxes or railroad retirement taxes.)

    How do you get rich folks’ attention regarding paying their taxes? Just make sure they can’t summer in Europe.

    Troy Lewis
    accounting and tax professor at Brigham Young University

    However, revoking a passport isn’t generally the government’s first way to collect such overdue debts, experts said.
    The IRS must have already “exhausted” all other typical collection activities, said Lewis, owner of Lewis & Associates, CPAs.
    Generally, that would mean the taxpayer hasn’t responded to prior IRS notices of a federal tax lien, for example. (A lien is the government’s legal claim to a debtor’s assets like real estate and other personal property. It isn’t a move to collect said property, though.)
    Various courts have upheld the federal government’s ability to revoke passports in order to collect tax debts as constitutional, Lewis said.

    He pointed to two recent cases as examples: Franklin v. United States in the U.S. Court of Appeals for the 5th Circuit and Maehr v. United States Department of State in the U.S. Court of Appeals for the 10th Circuit.
    In the former, the defendant, James Franklin, owed about $422,000 in taxes for failing to file accurate tax returns and report a foreign trust of which he was the beneficial owner. The IRS ultimately filed a tax lien and levied his Social Security benefits, and the State Department later revoked his passport.
    “It seems pretty well established this is something [the government] can do,” Lewis said.

    Travelers have remedies available

    The State Department doesn’t revoke a passport straight away. When the IRS certifies debt as seriously delinquent and alerts the State Department of that, it will mail the taxpayer a notice — CP508C — outlining the potential implications of that classification.
    If an individual then applies for a passport, the State Department would generally deny and close that application if the person doesn’t make efforts to pay their debts. Such efforts might include paying the balance in full, entering into a payment plan or making a compromise agreement with the IRS.
    The debtor would still be able to use an active passport, if they have one, unless notified in writing by the State Department that their passport had been revoked or limited, the IRS said.

    “IRS looks at various factors, including taxpayer noncompliance in the past and taxpayer failure to cooperate with the IRS” when opting to revoke a passport, according to La Torre Jeker.
    The State Department can limit the passport’s use only to return travel to the U.S., thereby preventing the person “from being trapped in limbo” if outside the country, she said.
    The IRS sends taxpayers Letter 6152 before revocation, asking them to call the IRS within 30 days in order to resolve their account and avoid passport cancellation, she added.
    Still, sometimes passport denial catches debtors by surprise when they travel, said Whalen at Advanced Tax Solutions.
    For example, the IRS may have the wrong address on file — especially if a taxpayer has moved — and mail notices to the wrong place, Whalen said.
    “A lot of times, they don’t know they have a balance due until they … show up at the airport,” he said. More

  • in

    Why dividend stocks should be a hot play into fall

    It appears more investors are eyeing dividend stocks ahead of the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision in September.
    Paul Baiocchi of SS&C ALPS Advisors thinks it is a sound strategy because he sees the Fed easing rates.

    “Investors are moving back toward dividends out of money markets, out of fixed income, but also importantly toward leveraged companies that might be rewarded by a declining interest rate environment,” the chief ETF strategist told CNBC’s “ETF Edge” this week.
    ALPS is the issuer of several dividend exchange-traded funds including the ALPS O’Shares U.S. Quality Dividend ETF (OUSA) and its counterpart, the ALPS O’Shares U.S. Small-Cap Quality Dividend ETF (OUSM).
    Relative to the S&P 500, both dividend ETFs are overweight health care, financials and industrials, according to Baiocchi. The ETFs exclude energy, real estate and materials. He refers to the groups as three of the most unstable sectors in the market.
    “Not only do you have price volatility, but you have fundamental volatility in those sectors,” Baiocchi said.
    He explains this volatility would undermine the goal of the OUSA and OUSM, which is to provide drawdown avoidance.

    “You’re looking for dividends as part of the methodology, but you’re looking at dividends that are durable, dividends that have been growing, that are well supported by fundamentals,” Baiocchi said.
    Mike Akins, ETF Action’s founding partner, views OUSA and OUSM as defensive strategies because the stocks generally have clean balance sheets.
    He also notes  the dividend category in ETFs has been surging in popularity.
    “I don’t have the crystal ball that explains why dividends are so in vogue,” Akins said. “I think people look at it as if you’re paying a dividend, and you have for years, there is a sense to viability to that company’s balance sheet.”

    Disclaimer More

  • in

    How investors can prepare for lower interest rates: It’s ‘like getting a haircut,’ advisor says

    Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell signaled on Friday that lower interest rates are ahead.
    It would be the first time the central bank cut rates since the beginning of the Covid-19 pandemic.
    Investors likely shouldn’t do much to prepare for that shift, advisors said.
    They can expect lower-risk assets like cash and short-term bonds to pay less of a return.

    Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell.
    Andrew Harnik | Getty Images

    Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell on Friday gave the clearest indication yet that the central bank is likely to start cutting interest rates, which are currently at their highest level in two decades.
    If a rate cut comes in September, as experts expect, it would be the first time officials have trimmed rates in over four years, when they slashed them to near zero at the beginning of the Covid-19 pandemic.  

    Investors may be wondering what to do at the precipice of this policy shift.
    Those who are already well diversified likely don’t need to do much right now, according to financial advisors on CNBC’s Advisor Council.
    “For most people, this is welcome news, but it doesn’t mean we make big changes,” said Winnie Sun, co-founder and managing director of Sun Group Wealth Partners, based in Irvine, California.
    “It’s kind of like getting a haircut: We’re doing small trims here and there,” she said.

    Many long-term investors may not need to do anything at all — like those holding most or all of their assets in a target-date fund via their 401(k) plan, for example, advisors said.

    Such funds are overseen by professional asset managers equipped to make the necessary tweaks for you.
    “They’re doing it behind the scenes on your behalf,” said Lee Baker, a certified financial planner and founder of Claris Financial Advisors, based in Atlanta.
    More from Personal Finance:Why remote work has staying powerThis RMD strategy can help avoid IRS penaltiesSome colleges is now cost nearly $100,000 a year
    That said, there are some adjustments that more-hands-on investors can consider.
    Largely, those tweaks would apply to cash and fixed income holdings, and perhaps to the types of stocks in one’s portfolio, advisors said.

    Lower rates are ‘positive’ for stocks

    In his keynote address on Friday at the Fed’s annual retreat in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, Powell said that “the time has come” for interest-rate policy to adjust.
    That proclamation comes as inflation has fallen significantly from its pandemic-era peak in mid-2022. And the labor market, though still relatively healthy, has hinted at signs of weakness. Lowering rates would take some pressure off the U.S. economy.

    The Fed will likely be choosing between a 0.25 and 0.50 percentage-point cut at its next policy meeting in September, Stephen Brown, deputy chief North America economist at Capital Economics wrote in a note Friday.
    Lower interest rates are “generally positive for stocks,” said Marguerita Cheng, a CFP and chief executive of Blue Ocean Global Wealth, based in Gaithersburg, Maryland. Businesses may feel more comfortable expanding if borrowing costs are lower, for example, she said.

    But uncertainty around the number of future rate cuts, as well as their size and pace, mean investors shouldn’t make wholesale changes to their portfolios as a knee-jerk reaction to Powell’s proclamation, advisors said.
    “Things can change,” Sun said.
    Importantly, Powell didn’t commit to lowering rates, saying the trajectory depends on “incoming data, the evolving outlook, and the balance of risks.”

    Considerations for cash, bonds and stocks

    Falling interest rates generally means investors can expect lower returns on their “safer” money, advisors said.
    This would include holdings with relatively low risk, like cash held in savings accounts, money market funds or certificates of deposit, and money in shorter-term bonds.
    High interest rates have meant investors enjoyed fairly lofty returns on these lower-risk holdings.

    It’s kind of like getting a haircut: We’re doing small trims here and there.

    Winnie Sun
    co-founder and managing director of Sun Group Wealth Partners

    However, such returns are expected to fall alongside declining interest rates, advisors said. They generally recommend locking in high guaranteed rates on cash now while they’re still available.
    “It’s probably a good time for people who are thinking about buying CDs at the bank to lock in the higher rates for the next 12 months,” said Ted Jenkin, a CFP and the CEO and founder of oXYGen Financial, based in Atlanta.
    “A year from now you probably won’t be able to renew at those same rates,” he said.
    Others may wish to park excess cash — sums that investors don’t need for short-term spending — in higher-paying fixed-income investments like longer-duration bonds, said Carolyn McClanahan, a CFP and founder of Life Planning Partners in Jacksonville, Florida.

    “We’re really being aggressive about making sure clients understand the interest-rate risk they’re taking by staying in cash,” she said. “Too many people aren’t thinking about it.”
    “They’ll be crying in six months when interest rates are a lot lower,” she said.
    Bond duration is a measure of a bond’s sensitivity to interest rate changes. Duration is expressed in years, and factors in the coupon, time to maturity and yield paid through the term.
    Short-duration bonds — with a term of perhaps a few years or less — generally pay lower returns but carry less risk.
    Investors may need to raise their duration (and risk) to keep yield in the same ballpark as it has been for the past two or so years, advisors said. Duration of five to 10 years is probably OK for many investors right now, Sun said.

    Advisors generally don’t recommend tweaking stock-bond allocations, however.
    But investors may wish to allocate more future contributions to different types of stocks, Sun said.
    For example, stocks of utility and home-improvement companies tend to perform better when interest rates fall, she said.
    Asset categories like real estate investment trusts, preferred stock and small-cap stocks also tend to do well in such an environment, Jenkin said. More

  • in

    Jerome Powell (almost) declares victory over inflation

    For economists and investors accustomed to staring at charts, the jagged peaks of the Teton mountains possess more than a passing resemblance to financial trend lines. They also form the backdrop to one of the year’s most keenly awaited central-bank speeches: annual reflections by the chair of the Federal Reserve at a conference hall in Jackson Hole, located in the valley below the Teton range. On August 23rd Jerome Powell did not disappoint. He made clear that having raised interest rates as sharply as any of the slopes in the distance, the central bank was now ready to begin the descent. More